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Zenas BioPharma, Inc. (ZBIO)
:ZBIO
US Market
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Zenas BioPharma, Inc. (ZBIO) AI Stock Analysis

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ZBIO

Zenas BioPharma, Inc.

(NASDAQ:ZBIO)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(5.60% Upside)
Zenas BioPharma's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by significant revenue decline and cash flow challenges. While technical analysis shows strong bullish momentum, the negative valuation metrics due to ongoing losses weigh heavily on the score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trial Success
The successful Phase 2 trial of obexelimab in Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis indicates potential for future product approval and revenue growth, strengthening Zenas BioPharma's position in the biopharmaceutical market.
Strong Equity Position
Zenas BioPharma's strong equity position with low financial leverage provides financial stability, enabling the company to invest in R&D and withstand market fluctuations.
Strategic Partnerships
The licensing deal for orelabrutinib enhances Zenas BioPharma's pipeline and market reach, potentially increasing future revenue streams and competitive advantage in the biopharmaceutical industry.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The significant revenue decline indicates challenges in product commercialization and market penetration, which could impact long-term growth and financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow highlights inefficiencies in operations and the need for improved cash management, which could strain resources and limit strategic initiatives.
Persistent Losses
Ongoing losses indicate profitability challenges, necessitating operational improvements and cost management to achieve sustainable financial performance.

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. (ZBIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZenas BioPharma, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of transformative immunology-based therapies. Its lead product candidate is obexelimab, a bifunctional monoclonal antibody for various indications, including immunoglobulin G4-related disease, multiple sclerosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia. The company also develops ZB002, an anti-TNFa monoclonal antibody; ZB004, a cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen 4-immunoglobulin fusion; ZB001, an anti-insulin-like growth factor-1 receptor monoclonal antibody; and ZB005, an anti-active complement component 1s monoclonal antibody. Zenas BioPharma, Inc. was formerly known as Zenas BioPharma (Cayman) Limited and changed its name to Zenas BioPharma, Inc. in August 2023. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyZenas BioPharma generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary therapies. The company earns money through multiple revenue streams, including product sales once therapies are approved and launched in the market, milestone payments from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, and potential royalties on product sales from licensed technologies. Significant partnerships and collaborations with other biopharmaceutical firms and research institutions also contribute to its earnings by providing funding for research and development activities, as well as enhancing its market reach and distribution capabilities.

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zenas BioPharma is facing severe financial challenges, with a significant revenue decline, persistent operating losses, and negative cash flow, indicating substantial operational inefficiency despite a strong equity recovery.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Zenas BioPharma has shown a significant decline in revenue from $50 million in 2023 to $5 million in 2024, indicating a severe contraction. The gross profit margin remains high due to zero cost of goods sold, yet the company faces substantial operating losses with negative EBIT and net income, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.003, suggesting low financial leverage. However, the negative equity in previous years indicates past difficulties, although recent improvements in stockholder's equity to $312 million show significant recovery. The equity ratio of approximately 84% is a positive indicator of financial stability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Zenas BioPharma's free cash flow remains negative, with a decline in operating cash flow from -$30 million to -$120 million. While financing activities have injected significant cash, the operational cash burn is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiency in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.00M5.00M50.00M0.00
Gross Profit14.95M5.00M50.00M-78.00K
EBITDA-185.46M-163.75M-27.03M-75.12M
Net Income-176.97M-156.99M-37.12M-119.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets293.08M369.97M68.18M74.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments273.28M350.77M56.86M67.21M
Total Debt1.01M1.00M21.11M1.53M
Total Liabilities53.46M57.51M293.90M266.87M
Stockholders Equity239.63M312.46M-225.72M-192.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-148.50M-119.81M-30.55M-67.85M
Operating Cash Flow-148.41M-119.67M-30.53M-65.65M
Investing Cash Flow-229.06M-30.55M-17.00K-2.20M
Financing Cash Flow237.65M412.96M20.12M59.39M

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.25
Price Trends
50DMA
22.11
Positive
100DMA
17.66
Positive
200DMA
13.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.25
Negative
RSI
63.18
Neutral
STOCH
60.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZBIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.41, above the 50-day MA of 22.11, and above the 200-day MA of 13.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ZBIO.

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Risk Analysis

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zenas BioPharma, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$963.93M460.30%33.03%
$1.32B-88.40%
$800.59M-36.50%30.95%-78.41%
$846.52M-52.56%26.68%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$906.73M-52.82%53.23%35.32%
$947.03M10.85%-1.41%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZBIO
Zenas BioPharma, Inc.
31.25
10.34
49.45%
ABUS
Arbutus Biopharma
4.73
0.77
19.44%
RZLT
Rezolute
9.32
3.88
71.32%
URGN
Urogen Pharma
20.47
8.26
67.65%
PHAT
Phathom Pharmaceuticals
13.55
-4.82
-26.24%
VALN
Valneva
9.27
3.49
60.38%

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Zenas BioPharma Reports Positive Phase 2 Trial Results
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Zenas BioPharma announced positive results from its Phase 2 MoonStone trial of obexelimab in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). The trial demonstrated a 95% relative reduction in new gadolinium-enhancing T1 lesions compared to placebo, indicating a strong inhibitory mechanism of obexelimab. This outcome supports its potential as a significant therapy for autoimmune diseases. The company plans to report further data in early 2026, which could impact future development decisions for obexelimab in RMS.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZBIO) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenas BioPharma, Inc. stock, see the ZBIO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Zenas BioPharma Secures Licensing Deal with InnoCare
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Zenas BioPharma entered into a license agreement with InnoCare Pharma, granting Zenas exclusive rights to develop and commercialize several small molecule compounds, including orelabrutinib, a BTK inhibitor for multiple sclerosis. This agreement positions Zenas to potentially transform the treatment landscape for progressive MS, with a Phase 3 trial for orelabrutinib already initiated. The deal also includes a $35 million upfront payment and potential milestone payments, reflecting Zenas’s strategic expansion in the autoimmune treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZBIO) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenas BioPharma, Inc. stock, see the ZBIO Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Zenas BioPharma Secures $300M Funding for Obexelimab
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Zenas BioPharma entered into a $300 million funding agreement with Royalty Pharma, granting them rights to revenue streams from the sales of obexelimab. This deal provides Zenas with financial support to advance obexelimab’s development and potential commercial launch, particularly for treating IgG4-Related Disease, and underscores the drug’s potential as a significant player in the autoimmune disease market.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZBIO) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenas BioPharma, Inc. stock, see the ZBIO Stock Forecast page.

Zenas BioPharma Faces Legal and Financial Challenges Amid Securities Class Action Lawsuit
Aug 13, 2025

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. faces significant business risks due to securities class action litigation, which can arise after fluctuations in their stock prices. In April 2025, a lawsuit was filed against the company and its executives, alleging violations of the Securities Act of 1933 related to their IPO. This litigation demands compensatory damages and legal fees, potentially diverting management’s focus and increasing operational costs. Furthermore, the situation could elevate the cost of liability insurance for directors and officers, impacting the company’s financial health and reliance on its balance sheet for covering legal expenses.

Zenas BioPharma Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 13, 2025

Zenas BioPharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage global biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing transformative therapies for autoimmune diseases, with a lead product candidate, obexelimab, designed to inhibit B cell activity without depleting them.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025