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Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT)
NASDAQ:PHAT
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Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) AI Stock Analysis

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PHAT

Phathom Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:PHAT)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(3.78% Upside)
Phathom Pharmaceuticals has a mixed outlook. The strong performance in the latest earnings call, with significant revenue growth and cost reductions, is a positive factor. However, the company's financial instability, negative valuation metrics, and reliance on external financing pose significant risks. Technical indicators show positive momentum, but the financial challenges weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand for Phathom's products, enhancing its competitive position in the gastrointestinal sector.
Operational Efficiency
Reducing operating expenses significantly improves Phathom's operational efficiency, potentially leading to better profitability and cash flow management.
Leadership Changes
The appointment of experienced leadership can drive strategic initiatives and strengthen financial management, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
Negative equity reflects high liabilities, posing risks to financial stability and limiting the company's ability to finance growth or withstand economic downturns.
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent negative cash flow indicates inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash, which may hinder the company's ability to fund operations and invest in growth.
Supply Chain Uncertainty
Supply chain uncertainties can disrupt product availability, affecting sales and customer satisfaction, and potentially impacting long-term market presence.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for gastrointestinal diseases. The company primarily targets conditions such as peptic ulcer disease and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) with its lead product candidate, Vonoprazan, a novel potassium-competitive acid blocker designed to provide improved efficacy and tolerability compared to traditional therapies. Phathom operates in the pharmaceuticals sector, emphasizing research, development, and potential commercialization of medications that enhance patient outcomes in digestive health.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhathom Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its pharmaceutical products, particularly Vonoprazan, once it receives regulatory approval and gains market access. The company may also explore partnerships with larger pharmaceutical firms for co-development and distribution agreements, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. Additionally, the company's revenue stream could be bolstered by securing licensing agreements and collaborations that leverage its research capabilities and product pipeline, allowing it to monetize its intellectual property and scientific advancements.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Phathom Pharmaceuticals had a strong Q3 with significant revenue growth and a substantial reduction in operating expenses and cash usage. The company is effectively executing its gastroenterology-focused strategy. However, there are potential challenges such as the temporary impact of sales force realignment and ongoing uncertainty in TRIPLE PAK supply.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Phathom Pharmaceuticals reported a 25% revenue growth in Q3 2025, with net revenue reaching $49.5 million, which exceeded expectations and is in line with the revenue guidance for the year.
Reduction in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were reduced by 43% quarter-over-quarter and nearly 50% since Q1 2025, contributing to a significant reduction in cash usage.
Cash Usage Down
Cash usage for Q3 was less than $15 million, a reduction of 77% compared to Q2 2025.
Strong Prescription Growth
There was a 36% growth in filled prescriptions since Q2, with 221,000 prescriptions in Q3, including 144,000 covered scripts and 77,000 cash prescriptions.
New Leadership Hires
The company welcomed Sanjeev Narula as the new Chief Financial and Business Officer and Nancy Phelan as the new SVP of Marketing and Analytics, both bringing significant experience to Phathom.
Negative Updates
Potential Temporary Impact of Sales Force Realignment
The realignment of sales territories to focus more on gastroenterology could have a temporary impact on Q4 performance.
TRIPLE PAK Supply Uncertainty
There is ongoing uncertainty regarding the availability of the clarithromycin component in the TRIPLE PAKs, though no disruption has occurred yet.
Company Guidance
During the Phathom Pharmaceuticals' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Call, the company reported notable financial and operational achievements. They achieved a 25% increase in net revenue, reaching $49.5 million, while significantly reducing operating expenses by 43% to $49.3 million, which was better than their target of below $60 million. The company also reported a substantial reduction in cash usage, down 77% to less than $15 million for the quarter. Phathom's strategy to focus on gastroenterology has yielded 790,000 filled prescriptions to date, a 36% increase since Q2, with 221,000 filled prescriptions in Q3 alone. They have narrowed their full-year revenue guidance to the top half of the previously communicated range due to these results. Looking ahead, Phathom expects to maintain cash operating expenses below $55 million in Q4, even with the additional costs from the start of the EoE Phase II trial, and aims for operating profitability in 2026 without requiring additional equity financing.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phathom Pharmaceuticals is facing financial challenges with significant net losses and negative cash flows. Despite revenue growth, the company has a negative net profit margin and high liabilities compared to assets, indicating financial instability.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Phathom Pharmaceuticals has shown significant revenue growth, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increasing to $81.86 million from $55.25 million annually. However, the company is experiencing substantial losses, with a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin in both TTM and annual reports. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 86.2% in TTM, but the net loss remains a concern, impacting the overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a negative stockholders' equity of $338.38 million, reflecting high liabilities compared to assets. Total debt has reduced, but the company still faces a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity. This presents a risk of instability. The equity ratio is also negative, further emphasizing the financial leverage and instability concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, with a worsening trend in TTM at -$282.68 million. Free cash flow also decreased, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the company has managed to maintain financing cash flows, which slightly offsets the negative operating cash flow impact. The operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects inefficiency in converting income to cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue147.19M55.25M682.00K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit128.42M47.28M515.00K-620.00K-521.00K-300.00K
EBITDA-203.56M-261.52M-159.05M-171.82M-134.56M-124.19M
Net Income-274.55M-334.33M-201.59M-223.01M-148.09M-133.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.29M378.32M413.84M164.81M189.43M295.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments135.16M297.26M381.39M155.38M183.26M287.50M
Total Debt2.71M554.95M139.03M97.07M91.34M49.02M
Total Liabilities662.82M631.90M486.60M239.62M117.28M100.84M
Stockholders Equity-422.53M-253.58M-72.76M-74.81M72.16M194.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-225.25M-266.90M-139.21M-147.57M-148.94M-70.73M
Operating Cash Flow-225.23M-266.77M-137.58M-146.53M-148.62M-69.69M
Investing Cash Flow-147.00K-135.00K-1.63M-1.04M-328.00K-1.04M
Financing Cash Flow25.86M182.77M367.58M120.04M44.71M114.46M

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.49
Price Trends
50DMA
12.38
Positive
100DMA
10.93
Positive
200DMA
8.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Positive
RSI
56.89
Neutral
STOCH
19.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PHAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.14, above the 50-day MA of 12.38, and above the 200-day MA of 8.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PHAT.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Phathom Pharmaceuticals disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phathom Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$959.66M460.30%33.03%
55
Neutral
$1.26B-7.08-88.40%
52
Neutral
$1.16B-51.86%-37.09%58.96%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$862.64M-52.82%53.23%35.32%
50
Neutral
$916.49M10.85%-1.41%
46
Neutral
$733.72M-8.68-31.09%11877.28%63.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PHAT
Phathom Pharmaceuticals
13.49
-4.51
-25.06%
GERN
Geron
1.15
-3.12
-73.07%
ABUS
Arbutus Biopharma
4.50
0.58
14.80%
URGN
Urogen Pharma
19.81
7.57
61.85%
TSHA
Taysha Gene Therapies
4.27
2.90
211.68%
ZBIO
Zenas BioPharma, Inc.
29.95
9.13
43.85%

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company specializing in gastrointestinal disease treatments, has reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth and strategic advancements. The company, known for its innovative VOQUEZNA® treatments, continues to strengthen its position in the GI sector.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals’ EoE Study: A Potential Game-Changer?
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a Phase 2 study titled A Phase 2, Randomized, Double-Blind, Multi-Center Study in Adult Subjects With Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Vonoprazan 20 mg Compared to Placebo After 12 Weeks and to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Vonoprazan 20 mg Up to 24 Weeks. The study aims to assess the efficacy of vonoprazan 20 mg once daily compared to a placebo in reducing eosinophilic histologic response in adult participants with EoE.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals’ Vonoprazan Pregnancy Study: A Market Game Changer?
Oct 27, 2025

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting an observational study titled ‘Vonoprazan Pregnancy Registry: An Observational Study of the Safety of Vonoprazan Exposure in Pregnant Women and Their Offspring.’ The primary objective is to assess the safety of vonoprazan exposure in pregnant women by comparing maternal, fetal, and infant outcomes with those of a cohort not exposed to the drug. This study is significant as it aims to provide crucial safety data for vonoprazan, a treatment for conditions like erosive esophagitis and heartburn, during pregnancy.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Phathom Pharmaceuticals Publishes Phase 3 Trial Results
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 25, 2025, Phathom Pharmaceuticals announced the publication of additional analyses from its Phase 3 pHalcon-NERD-301 trial in the American Journal of Gastroenterology, highlighting the effectiveness of VOQUEZNA® (vonoprazan) tablets in treating nighttime symptoms of Non-Erosive Reflux Disease (NERD). The trial demonstrated that VOQUEZNA significantly improved the percentage of heartburn-free nights and was generally well tolerated, offering a promising alternative for patients who experience inadequate relief from existing treatments. This development could enhance Phathom’s positioning in the gastrointestinal treatment market by addressing a significant gap in current GERD therapies.

The most recent analyst rating on (PHAT) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phathom Pharmaceuticals stock, see the PHAT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Phathom Pharmaceuticals Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Phathom Pharmaceuticals appointed Sanjeev Narula as Chief Financial and Business Officer, succeeding Robert Breedlove as the principal financial officer. Mr. Narula’s extensive experience includes roles at Intra-Cellular Therapies, Viatris Inc., and Pfizer, bringing significant financial leadership to Phathom. His appointment is accompanied by a comprehensive employment agreement that outlines his compensation, severance benefits, and stock options, potentially impacting the company’s strategic financial management and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (PHAT) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phathom Pharmaceuticals stock, see the PHAT Stock Forecast page.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Phathom Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, underscored by robust growth in prescriptions and revenue, a strong financial standing, and effective cost-saving strategies. Despite these achievements, the company faces challenges such as potential supply disruptions and strategic shifts in sales focus.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q2 Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in the development and commercialization of innovative treatments for gastrointestinal diseases, with a focus on their flagship product, VOQUEZNA®.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025