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W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) AI Stock Analysis

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WPC

W. P. Carey Inc.

(NYSE:WPC)

Select Model
Rating:68.3Neutral
Price Target:$69.00â–²(6.42% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins and cash-flow coverage) and a notably positive earnings update (raised AFFO guidance and strong investment momentum). These positives are partly offset by weak technical trend signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and only mixed valuation support (high yield but a not-low P/E).

Positive Factors
AFFO and investment growthRaised AFFO guidance and increased investment targets indicate that recent acquisitions and rent growth are translating into durable earnings expansion. Continued deployment at attractive yields can broaden the income base and support compounding cash flow over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Soft top-line growthThe recent revenue contraction shows that portfolio changes and asset dispositions have weakened reported top-line momentum despite healthy profitability. A choppy revenue path can limit operating leverage and makes sustained earnings growth more dependent on successful reinvestment and lease performance.

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%WPC+1.32%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$15.04B
Dividend Yield
5.77%
Average Volume (3M)
1.53M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
22.4
Beta (1Y)
0.13
Revenue Growth
8.96%
EPS Growth
75.31%
Country
US
Employees
199
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Diversified

W. P. Carey Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

W. P. Carey is recognized as a leading net lease Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), boasting an enterprise value of approximately $18 billion. As of September 30, 2020, its extensive portfolio comprises 1,215 essential net lease properties, spannin...

How the Company Makes Money

W. P. Carey makes money primarily by acquiring and owning income-producing real estate and leasing it to tenants under long-term net-lease agreements. Under the net-lease structure, tenants typically pay rent and are generally responsible for many pr...

W. P. Carey Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:2.09%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Management reported 6.4% year-over-year third-quarter AFFO per share growth, raised full-year AFFO and investment volume guidance, reduced expected rent losses, maintained high occupancy, and described liquidity and 2027 funding capacity as strong. The main challenges were higher interest rates, tighter sector spreads, uncertain transaction timing, rising interest expense, and a manageable 2027 Eurobond refinancing headwind, but these were presented alongside substantial capital availability and continued investment opportunities.

Positive Updates

AFFO Growth Outlook Raised
Third-quarter AFFO per share was $1.33, up $0.08 or 6.4% year over year, driven by investment activity and rent growth, partly offset by settling forward equity. Full-year 2026 AFFO per share guidance was raised and narrowed to $5.23 to $5.29, with the midpoint increased by $0.03 and implying year-over-year growth of 5.8%.

Negative Updates

Higher Interest Rates Create Transaction Uncertainty
The sharp rise in long-term interest rates has made fourth-quarter activity harder to predict. Management cited wider bid-ask spreads, potential delays for deals tied to broader corporate transactions, and uncertainty about how quickly sellers will adjust pricing.

Company Guidance

W. P. Carey raised and narrowed 2026 AFFO per share guidance to between $5.23 and $5.29, implying year over year growth of 5.8%, and set full-year investment volume guidance at $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion, with a path to the top half of the range; investments expected to close in the fourth quarter have cap rates averaging in the mid to high 7s and average yields well into the 9s, approaching double digits in some cases. Estimated potential rent loss from tenant credit events is between $3 million and $5 million or 25 basis points of ABR at the midpoint, other lease related income is expected to total in the mid-30 million dollars range, and fourth-quarter rent abatements could have a $0.02 to $0.03 impact. Full-year dispositions are expected to be between $350 million and $450 million, property expenses between $54 million and $57 million, tax expense between $40 million and $43 million, and G&A expense between $104 million and $106 million. Contractual same store rent growth is expected to remain in the mid- to high 2% range throughout next year, while approximately $300 million of annual retained cash flow is expected from the real estate portfolio in 2027.

W. P. Carey Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials screen solid overall: strong profitability for a diversified REIT and high cash-flow quality (operating cash flow and free cash flow running well above net income). Offsetting factors are a weaker top line (TTM revenue decline) and moderate leverage (around ~1.0 debt-to-equity), which increases sensitivity to rates and refinancing conditions.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.71B1.72B1.58B1.74B1.47B1.26B
Gross Profit979.94M491.49M1.46B1.60B1.40B1.21B
EBITDA1.40B1.33B1.33B1.46B1.29B1.16B
Net Income651.50M466.36M460.84M708.33M599.14M409.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.66B17.99B17.54B17.98B18.10B15.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments143.39M155.33M640.62M634.86M168.00M165.43M
Total Debt8.78B8.72B8.18B8.28B7.88B6.94B
Total Liabilities9.88B9.86B9.10B9.27B9.09B7.90B
Stockholders Equity8.76B8.12B8.43B8.70B8.99B7.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B1.09B1.70B951.81M899.12M812.86M
Operating Cash Flow1.24B1.28B1.83B1.07B1.00B926.48M
Investing Cash Flow-1.49B-960.14M-1.13B-905.88M-1.05B-1.57B
Financing Cash Flow715.54M-761.71M-688.47M292.56M57.89M557.05M

W. P. Carey Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price64.84

Price Trends

50DMA65.36Positive
100DMA68.34Negative
200DMA69.15Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.08Negative
RSI53.13Neutral
STOCH78.80Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WPC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 64.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.42, below the 50-day MA of 65.36, and below the 200-day MA of 69.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WPC.

W. P. Carey Inc. Risk Analysis

W. P. Carey Inc. disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. W. P. Carey Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Uninsured losses relating to property or excessively expensive premiums for insurance coverage could adversely affect our cash flows and operating results.Q4, 2025
2.Our portfolio is concentrated by tenant industry and geographic location.Q4, 2024
3.We may be subject to a limitation on our deductions for business interest expense.Q4, 2023

W. P. Carey Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

WPC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
WPCWPC68Neutral$15.04B22.367.69%5.77%8.96%75.31%
EPRTEPRT67Neutral$6.23B22.565.99%4.50%20.67%-1.36%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
BNLBNL62Neutral$3.43B23.285.07%6.60%7.70%61.99%
GOODGOOD61Neutral$492.44M25.307.57%11.86%10.65%-33.01%
OLPOLP59Neutral$463.55M20.387.44%8.48%10.68%-26.89%
GNLGNL43Neutral$1.53B-25.96-0.61%11.26%-21.80%77.49%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%30%WPCGOODOLPGNLEPRTBNLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
WPC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WPCW. P. Carey Inc.64.840.941.47%
GOODGladstone Commercial10.12-0.07-0.70%
OLPOne Liberty Properties21.232.2311.77%
GNLGlobal Net Lease6.75-0.56-7.64%
EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust27.97-1.51-5.11%
BNLBroadstone Net Lease, Inc.17.690.603.48%

W. P. Carey Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

W. P. Carey Raises Dividend and AFFO Guidance

Positive
Oct 27, 2026

For the quarter ended September 30, 2026, W. P. Carey reported net income attributable to the company of $141.0 million, unchanged from a year earlier, and diluted earnings per share of $0.61. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) rose to $308.2 mill...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

W. P. Carey Highlights Strong 2026 Investment Momentum

Positive
Sep 10, 2026

On Sept. 10, 2026, W. P. Carey reported strong investment activity, with visibility into more than $1.9 billion of investment volume for full-year 2026, including approximately $1.4 billion already completed, deals expected to close this year and cap...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026