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Wabash National (WNC)
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Wabash National (WNC) AI Stock Analysis

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WNC

Wabash National

(NYSE:WNC)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-11.41% Downside)
Wabash National's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its mixed financial performance, with strong profitability overshadowed by declining revenue and historical leverage issues. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the valuation reflects potential financial distress. The earnings call provided cautious guidance, contributing to a moderate overall score.

Wabash National (WNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wabash National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWabash National Corporation (WNC) is a leading manufacturer of semi-trailers and a provider of transportation equipment in the United States. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Lafayette, Indiana, the company specializes in producing a wide range of products, including refrigerated trailers, dry freight vans, and tank trailers. Wabash National operates in various sectors, including transportation, logistics, and manufacturing, with a focus on innovation in lightweight and durable materials to enhance fuel efficiency and reduce costs for its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyWabash National generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semi-trailers and transportation equipment. The company's key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of different trailer types, including refrigerated trailers, dry vans, and specialty trailers. Additionally, Wabash National offers aftermarket parts and services, contributing to ongoing revenue from existing customers. Significant partnerships with major logistics and transportation companies enhance its market presence and sales volume. The company also benefits from trends in the freight and logistics industry, such as increased demand for e-commerce and more efficient transportation solutions, which drive revenue growth.

Wabash National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted growth in parts and services and strategic expansions but faced significant challenges in the truck body business and overall market conditions, leading to reduced guidance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Parts and Service Revenue Growth
Parts and service business delivered both sequential and year-over-year revenue growth in Q3, demonstrating resilience with a 16% year-over-year growth and about 2% sequentially.
Expansion of Upfit Centers
Successfully opened 2 new upfit centers in Q3, with plans to open another in Phoenix in Q4, setting the stage for continued growth.
Trailers as a Service Initiative
Continued expansion of Trailers as a Service (TaaS), including new capabilities like predictive analytics and automated tracking, positioning for future demand recovery.
Settlement of Legal Matter
Finalized a settlement related to a 2019 legal matter, resolving uncertainty with a net adjustment of approximately $81 million in Q3.
Negative Updates
Decline in Truck Body Business
Truck body business faced significant challenges, with lower production volumes leading to revenue coming in below guidance.
Overall Revenue and EPS Decline
Q3 revenue of $382 million was below guidance, and adjusted net income was negative $21.2 million or negative $0.51 per share.
Reduced Full Year Guidance
Lowered full year 2025 guidance to $1.5 billion in revenue and negative $2 in adjusted EPS due to softer market conditions.
Impact of Tariffs
Section 232 tariffs expected to affect competitive landscape, with an estimated $1 million impact from vendor price increases in Q3.
Company Guidance
During the Wabash Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating challenging market conditions that persisted throughout the year, resulting in a downward revision of their 2025 revenue and EPS expectations. The company adjusted its full-year guidance to $1.5 billion in revenue and an adjusted EPS of approximately negative $2, citing softer demand, particularly in the truck body business, with a backlog declining to about $800 million by the end of the third quarter. The call highlighted a net adjustment of approximately $81 million in the third quarter related to a legal settlement, and a significant reduction in capital expenditure plans to $25-$30 million from an initial $50-$60 million due to market conditions. The company anticipates a continued soft market through the fourth quarter but remains optimistic for a gradual recovery starting in 2026, supported by pent-up replacement needs and improved freight conditions.

Wabash National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wabash National shows strong profitability with a net profit margin of 15.89% and an EBIT margin of 18.33%. However, declining revenue and historical high leverage pose risks. Improved leverage and strong cash flow growth are positive, but the overall financial performance is mixed due to revenue decline.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Wabash National's income statement shows mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 4.79%, which is concerning. However, the company has managed to maintain strong profitability metrics with a net profit margin of 15.89% and an EBIT margin of 18.33%. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, indicating potential cost management issues. Overall, while profitability is strong, the declining revenue trend is a risk factor.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.01 in the TTM period from a high of 2.30 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is exceptionally high at 74.55%, which may not be sustainable. The equity ratio is not provided, but the improvement in leverage is a positive sign. Overall, the balance sheet shows improvement but still carries some risk due to historical high leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong recovery in free cash flow growth, which increased by 91.67% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.34, indicating that cash generation is aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 91.57%, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow position is strong, with significant improvement in free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.64B1.95B2.54B2.50B1.80B1.48B
Gross Profit119.07M265.07M498.19M322.69M196.47M159.75M
EBITDA396.87M-299.77M359.86M214.25M73.26M-37.05M
Net Income260.30M-284.07M231.25M112.26M1.16M-97.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.35B1.41B1.36B1.20B1.11B1.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.67M115.48M179.27M58.24M71.78M217.68M
Total Debt458.19M433.56M428.68M418.82M439.75M459.44M
Total Liabilities929.79M1.22B812.72M805.40M781.53M756.59M
Stockholders Equity418.73M188.83M549.50M397.61M325.54M404.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow122.41M45.08M221.51M67.00M-56.58M104.00M
Operating Cash Flow149.98M117.27M319.61M124.08M-7.47M124.13M
Investing Cash Flow-109.43M-94.79M-106.04M-55.30M-27.08M-3.02M
Financing Cash Flow-30.72M-86.27M-92.54M-82.31M-111.35M-43.96M

Wabash National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.03
Price Trends
50DMA
9.68
Negative
100DMA
10.05
Negative
200DMA
10.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Positive
RSI
28.49
Positive
STOCH
11.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WNC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.50, below the 50-day MA of 9.68, and below the 200-day MA of 10.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WNC.

Wabash National Risk Analysis

Wabash National disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wabash National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wabash National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$398.56M6.868.82%-0.83%
70
Neutral
$436.38M111.530.44%1.79%-2.36%-73.77%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$500.30M-1.05%-2.75%22.20%
49
Neutral
$314.41M1.2884.07%4.13%-22.95%
48
Neutral
$604.20M231.300.51%4.17%-8.30%-98.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WNC
Wabash National
7.74
-11.82
-60.43%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
15.65
-20.86
-57.14%
GENC
Gencor
13.60
-9.08
-40.04%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
10.94
-0.26
-2.32%
TWI
Titan International
7.82
0.24
3.17%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
34.07
-18.08
-34.67%

Wabash National Corporate Events

Wabash National Reports Q3 2025 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

Wabash National Corporation, headquartered in Lafayette, Indiana, is a leading provider of innovative supply chain solutions for the transportation, logistics, and infrastructure markets, offering a wide range of products including trailers, truck bodies, and specialty equipment.

Legal Proceedings
Wabash National Finalizes $30M Settlement in Lawsuit
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Wabash National finalized a settlement in a product liability lawsuit related to a vehicle accident involving a tractor-trailer. The settlement, which includes a $30 million contribution from the company, will be covered by insurance. The company will recognize an $81.2 million reduction to a previous charge, reflecting adjustments in insurance receivables and liabilities. The court had previously reduced punitive damages from $450 million to $108 million, maintaining compensatory damages at $11.5 million. The settlement does not imply any admission of liability or wrongdoing by Wabash National.

The most recent analyst rating on (WNC) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wabash National stock, see the WNC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025