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Wabash National Corp (WNC)
NYSE:WNC
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Wabash National (WNC) AI Stock Analysis

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WNC

Wabash National

(NYSE:WNC)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(2.71% Upside)
Wabash National's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, particularly in revenue generation and profitability. While there are positive aspects such as growth in the Parts and Services segment and strategic initiatives, these are overshadowed by broader economic uncertainties and reduced market demand. The technical analysis provides mixed signals, and valuation metrics indicate ongoing financial difficulties. The company's ability to navigate these challenges will be crucial for future performance.

Wabash National (WNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wabash National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWabash National Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes engineered solutions for the transportation, logistics, and distribution industries primarily in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Transportation Solutions and Parts & Services. The Transportation Solutions segment provides dry van and platform trailers; refrigerated trailers; converter dollies; van bodies for dry-freight transportation; cutaway van bodies for commercial applications; service bodies; insulated van bodies; stake bodies; refrigerated truck bodies; and used trailers, as well as laminated hardwood oak flooring products. This segment also offers stainless steel and aluminum tank trailers for the dairy, food and beverage, oil, gas, and chemical end markets; dry bulk trailers; and fiberglass reinforced poly tank trailers. The Parts & Services segment provides aftermarket parts and services; aluminum and steel flatbed bodies, shelving for package delivery, partitions, roof racks, hitches, liftgates, and thermal solutions; and door repair and replacement, collision repair, and basic maintenance services. This segment also offers stainless steel storage tanks and silos, mixers, and processors for the dairy, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, chemical, craft brewing, and biotech end markets; and composite products, including truck bodies, overhead doors, and other industrial application products. The company offers its products under the Wabash, DuraPlate, DuraPlateHD, DuraPlate AeroSkirt, and AeroSkirt CX brands, as well as EcoNex brand. It distributes its products directly, as well as through its retail operations and independent dealers to truckload common carriers, leasing companies, private fleet carriers, less-than-truckload common carriers, and package carriers. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyWabash National generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semi-trailers and transportation equipment. The company's key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of different trailer types, including refrigerated trailers, dry vans, and specialty trailers. Additionally, Wabash National offers aftermarket parts and services, contributing to ongoing revenue from existing customers. Significant partnerships with major logistics and transportation companies enhance its market presence and sales volume. The company also benefits from trends in the freight and logistics industry, such as increased demand for e-commerce and more efficient transportation solutions, which drive revenue growth.

Wabash National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in the Parts and Services segment and continued expansion of the Trailers as a Service initiative. However, economic uncertainty and reduced market demand have led to a decrease in the revenue outlook for 2025, a decline in backlog, and negative cash flow. The sentiment is balanced with positive growth areas and strategic initiatives, but significant challenges remain due to broader market conditions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Parts and Services Growth
The Parts and Services segment grew 15% sequentially and 8.8% year-over-year with EBITDA margins returning to the high teens. The upfit business is on pace to exceed 2,000 units in 2025, and two new upfit centers are being opened in strategic markets.
Trailers as a Service Expansion
Continued expansion of the Trailers as a Service initiative, signing shippers, carriers, and brokers across North America. The acquisition of TrailerHawk has accelerated the technology roadmap with new features being added to the platform.
Strong Quarterly Revenue Performance
Consolidated revenue for the second quarter was $459 million, at the top end of the guidance range, with shipments of approximately 8,640 new trailers and 3,190 truck bodies.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty and Reduced Outlook
Economic conditions remain softer than anticipated with customers showing increased hesitation in capital decisions. The revenue outlook for 2025 has been reduced to $1.6 billion with an EPS range of minus $1 to minus $1.30.
Decline in Backlog and Industry Forecast
The backlog declined to approximately $1 billion at the end of Q2, with industry forecasters suggesting 2025 shipment volumes will fall well below basic replacement demand.
Negative Cash Flow and High Net Debt Leverage
Year-to-date operating cash flow was negative $16.1 million, and the net debt leverage ratio was 6.2x. Adjusted net income was negative $6.1 million, or negative $0.15 per diluted share.
Company Guidance
During the Wabash Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided updated guidance, reflecting a challenging market environment. The revenue outlook for 2025 has been reduced to approximately $1.6 billion, with an expected adjusted EPS ranging from negative $1 to negative $1.30, a decrease from previous midpoints by $200 million in revenue and $0.55 in EPS. The company reported a consolidated revenue of $459 million for Q2, with adjusted EBITDA at $16 million or 3.6% of sales. Although the trailer industry continues to face pressure, Wabash's Parts and Services segment showed resilience, growing 8.8% year-over-year and achieving EBITDA margins in the high teens. The company's backlog declined to approximately $1 billion by the end of Q2, and while the order book for 2026 is not yet open, there is cautious optimism for a return to growth next year. Despite a softer market, Wabash aims to maintain near free cash flow breakeven for 2025, excluding capital investments in Trailers as a Service.

Wabash National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wabash National faces significant financial challenges, particularly in revenue generation and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but declining equity raises concerns about financial stability. Cash flow remains a relative strength, with positive operating and free cash flows, though inefficiencies must be addressed. Overall, the company needs to improve operational efficiency and profitability to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Wabash National's income statement reflects significant challenges, with declining revenues and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a drop in total revenue from the previous annual period, with a negative EBIT and net income indicating operational inefficiencies and loss-making activities. EBITDA margin is negative, highlighting the lack of operating leverage. The gross profit margin has narrowed, and the net profit margin has turned negative, raising concerns about the company's ability to manage costs and generate revenue efficiently.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderately leveraged position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.14 in the TTM, indicating reliance on debt financing. Stockholders' equity has fluctuated, reflecting operational losses. The equity ratio is around 28%, suggesting that a significant portion of assets is financed by equity, offering some stability. However, the declining net income has impacted the return on equity, which is negative, raising red flags about the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates some positive aspects, with a positive operating cash flow in the TTM, suggesting that core business operations are generating cash. Free cash flow has grown from the previous period, which is a positive sign for liquidity. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates inefficiencies, as net income is negative. The free cash flow to net income ratio also reflects operational challenges. The company must address these inefficiencies to maintain positive cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.72B1.95B2.54B2.50B1.80B1.48B
Gross Profit159.37M265.07M498.19M322.69M196.47M159.75M
EBITDA-94.16M-299.77M359.86M214.25M73.26M-37.05M
Net Income-109.86M-284.07M231.25M112.26M1.16M-97.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.38B1.41B1.36B1.20B1.11B1.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.42M115.48M179.27M58.24M71.78M217.68M
Total Debt437.49M433.56M428.68M418.82M439.75M459.44M
Total Liabilities989.58M1.22B812.72M805.40M781.53M756.59M
Stockholders Equity385.22M188.83M549.50M397.61M325.54M404.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow71.65M45.08M221.51M67.00M-56.58M104.00M
Operating Cash Flow107.55M117.27M319.61M124.08M-7.47M124.13M
Investing Cash Flow-99.19M-94.79M-106.04M-55.30M-27.08M-3.02M
Financing Cash Flow-28.23M-86.27M-92.54M-82.31M-111.35M-43.96M

Wabash National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.71
Price Trends
50DMA
10.65
Positive
100DMA
10.17
Positive
200DMA
11.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
45.49
Neutral
STOCH
8.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WNC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.22, above the 50-day MA of 10.65, and below the 200-day MA of 11.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WNC.

Wabash National Risk Analysis

Wabash National disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wabash National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wabash National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
1.09B23.956.80%1.09%1.17%0.00%
63
Neutral
356.01M7.966.59%-1.96%423.46%
61
Neutral
657.48M29.784.08%3.80%-7.11%-87.41%
58
Neutral
508.61M-23.97-3.87%-1.29%-171.86%
51
Neutral
$442.95M-23.48%2.99%-25.02%-171.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WNC
Wabash National
10.71
-7.45
-41.02%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
15.15
-18.34
-54.76%
GENC
Gencor
14.70
-5.70
-27.94%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
10.01
0.60
6.38%
TWI
Titan International
7.54
-0.20
-2.58%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
37.34
-21.80
-36.86%

Wabash National Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wabash National Highlights Strategic Growth at Investor Conference
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Wabash National Corporation presented at an investor conference, highlighting its strategic growth plans and the challenges faced in 2025 due to difficult operating conditions and tariff uncertainties. The company emphasized its ability to generate cash and maintain liquidity despite these challenges, leveraging its broad portfolio and patient debt structure. The presentation also included forward-looking statements about the company’s outlook for trailer and truck body shipments, demand levels, and financial performance, while acknowledging risks and uncertainties that could impact actual results.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025