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Washington Federal (WAFD)
NASDAQ:WAFD

Washington Federal (WAFD) AI Stock Analysis

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Washington Federal

(NASDAQ:WAFD)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
Washington Federal's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The robust cash flow management and high equity levels support financial stability, while the low P/E ratio and solid dividend yield enhance its investment appeal. Technical indicators show moderate positive momentum, contributing to the positive outlook. Despite these strengths, historical revenue volatility and past leverage fluctuations present potential risks.

Washington Federal (WAFD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Washington Federal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWashington Federal, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Washington Federal Bank, National Association that provides lending, depository, insurance, and other banking services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including business and personal checking accounts, and term certificates of deposit, as well as money market accounts and passbook savings accounts. It also provides single-family residential, construction, land acquisition and development, consumer lot, multi-family residential, commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, home equity, business and consumer loans. In addition, the company offers insurance brokerage services, such as individual and business insurance policies; holds and markets real estate properties; mobile and internet banking services; and debit and credit cards, as well as acts as the trustee. It serves consumers, mid-sized and large businesses, and owners and developers of commercial real estate. As of September 30, 2021, the company had 219 branches located in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, New Mexico, and Texas. Washington Federal, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyWashington Federal makes money primarily through the interest income it earns on loans and investments. The bank generates revenue from the interest charged on residential and commercial real estate loans, construction loans, and commercial and industrial loans. Additionally, WAFD earns income from service charges on deposit accounts, fees for treasury management services, and other financial services. The bank also invests in securities, which provides another source of interest income. Key factors contributing to its earnings include its ability to manage interest rate risk, maintain asset quality, and expand its customer base through strategic branch locations and customer service.

Washington Federal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Washington Federal shows a robust financial structure with strong gross profits and efficient cash flow management. Despite some volatility in revenue growth and past leverage, the company's current financial position is stable. The balance sheet is strengthened by high equity levels, though past fluctuations in leverage highlight potential risks.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company exhibits a strong gross profit margin, indicating effective cost management. However, there is volatility in EBIT margins, with a notable negative EBIT in the recent annual report. While revenue growth was positive from 2023 to 2024, the trajectory remains inconsistent, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining steady growth.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with no debt in the latest TTM period, enhancing financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio was significant in the annual report, implying past leverage. A high equity ratio further supports balance sheet strength, though the fluctuations in equity and liabilities over the years suggest potential risks.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Strong operating and free cash flow growth is evident, demonstrating efficient cash management. The company's capacity to convert net income into cash flow is robust, indicating healthy cash flow operations. However, the negative financing cash flow in recent periods suggests a focus on debt repayment or reduced external financing.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.17B721.83M742.61M661.61M566.10M556.49M
Gross Profit
814.54M721.83M742.61M661.61M566.10M556.49M
EBIT
579.94M256.06M325.08M285.41M233.14M219.19M
EBITDA
92.63M0.00348.05M364.09M267.05M259.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
229.22M200.04M257.43M236.33M183.62M173.44M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.0025.97M2.98B950.004.23B3.95B
Total Assets
27.64B28.06B22.47B20.77B19.65B18.79B
Total Debt
2.81B3.32B3.65B2.13B1.72B2.70B
Net Debt
2.81B937.21M2.67B1.44B-370.81M997.02M
Total Liabilities
24.61B25.06B3.65B300.04M1.72B2.70B
Stockholders Equity
3.03B3.00B2.43B2.27B2.13B2.01B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
190.70M414.55M198.89M256.68M284.98M134.66M
Operating Cash Flow
209.20M439.23M213.96M268.46M314.45M166.60M
Investing Cash Flow
2.36B3.29B-1.38B-2.49B-579.75M-920.98M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.57B-2.33B1.46B817.86M653.12M2.04B

Washington Federal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.03
Price Trends
50DMA
27.99
Positive
100DMA
28.51
Positive
200DMA
31.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
55.28
Neutral
STOCH
59.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WAFD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.92, above the 50-day MA of 27.99, and below the 200-day MA of 31.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WAFD.

Washington Federal Risk Analysis

Washington Federal disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Washington Federal reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our "Needs to Improve" rating under the Community Reinvestment Act ("CRA") may restrict our operations and limit our ability to pursue certain strategic opportunities. Q4, 2024

Washington Federal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$2.29B9.979.58%3.96%8.05%-3.31%
75
Outperform
$2.15B10.419.16%3.79%1.42%2.77%
71
Outperform
$2.33B11.027.70%3.65%24.53%0.16%
70
Outperform
$2.44B11.7926.52%10.99%21.05%
PFPFS
68
Neutral
$2.19B15.126.77%5.72%80.24%-30.60%
64
Neutral
$12.87B9.817.76%16985.65%12.28%-7.83%
61
Neutral
$2.20B21.514.33%2.86%121.04%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WAFD
Washington Federal
29.03
3.58
14.07%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
24.12
3.93
19.47%
FRME
First Merchants
37.25
7.28
24.29%
BANC
Banc of California
13.97
1.47
11.76%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
16.87
4.17
32.83%
TBBK
Bancorp
53.45
21.13
65.38%

Washington Federal Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Washington Federal Approves 2025 Stock Incentive Plan
Neutral
Feb 13, 2025

On February 11, 2025, WaFd, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where the stockholders approved the 2025 Stock Incentive Plan, which replaces the expired 2020 plan. This new plan aims to advance the company’s interests by attracting and retaining qualified personnel and aligning their incentives with shareholder value through various stock-based awards. It reserves 3,250,000 shares of common stock for issuance and will be administered by the Board’s Compensation Committee. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of directors and approval of executive compensation and Deloitte & Touche, LLP’s appointment as independent auditors for fiscal 2025.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Washington Federal Highlights Growth in Investor Presentation
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

WaFd, Inc. presented a slide presentation for institutional investors and industry analysts as of December 31, 2024, highlighting its strong performance, strategic growth, and commitment to customer satisfaction. The presentation illustrated WaFd’s evolution into a commercial bank with a digital focus, emphasizing its solid asset quality and growth in commercial loans despite fluctuating interest rates. WaFd’s investments in ESG initiatives and technology have resulted in increased web traffic and high customer satisfaction scores, underscoring its steadfast dedication to community development and stakeholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.