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Vroom, Inc. (VRM) AI Stock Analysis

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VRM

Vroom, Inc.

(NASDAQ:VRM)

Select Model
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:$6.50â–¼(-6.47% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:11/13/26

Vroom scores low primarily because of a highly leveraged and fragile balance sheet — roughly $777 million of debt against $91 million of equity (~8.5x leverage) — combined with continued bottom-line losses that widened in the latest TTM period. Technicals reinforce the caution, with the stock trading below all major moving averages and a negative MACD signalling a persistent downtrend, while a negative P/E and absence of any dividend leave valuation support thin. The offsetting positives are genuine: a transformed revenue mix with ~73% gross margins and ~48% growth, positive EBITDA, and a decisive swing to positive operating and free cash flow after years of heavy burn. This remains a high-risk turnaround that depends on continued execution and reliable access to securitization and insider-backed funding.

Positive Factors
Positive Cash GenerationPositive operating and free cash flow in 2025 and TTM indicates the core activities are currently funding themselves rather than consuming capital. If sustained, this conversion can support servicing obligations and reinvestment, although historical volatility makes durability an execution issue.
Negative Factors
High LeverageDebt of roughly $777 million against about $91 million of equity leaves leverage around 8.5x and materially limits balance-sheet flexibility. This structure increases sensitivity to operating setbacks and makes future capital allocation more dependent on preserving lender and financing-market access.

Vroom, Inc. (VRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%VRM-64.05%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$36.66M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
26.11K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.9
Beta (1Y)
0.91
Revenue Growth
183.44%
EPS Growth
59.16%
Country
US
Employees
652
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Vroom, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vroom, Inc. operates as an online automotive retail platform, focusing on the sale of pre-owned vehicles throughout the United States. The company offers a comprehensive digital ecosystem that manages all aspects of the car ownership journey, from ac...

Vroom, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed picture dominated by balance sheet fragility. The income statement (38) shows a much higher-quality revenue mix after the pivot to lending and data — ~48% TTM revenue growth, ~73% gross margin and positive EBITDA of $52.1 million — but the company remains unprofitable with a TTM net loss of $40.4 million that widened versus the prior period. The balance sheet (28) is the weakest link: $777.2 million of debt against only $91.1 million of equity implies ~8.5x leverage, with debt at over 80% of assets and ROE near -40%, leaving minimal cushion against credit or funding stress. Cash flow (66) is the clear bright spot, with TTM operating cash flow of $79.3 million and free cash flow of $73.5 million after years of heavy burn, though in a lending model this is sensitive to origination and securitization timing and must still be proven across a full credit cycle.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.01M112.27M11.61M893.20M1.95B3.18B
Gross Profit114.05M91.13M11.61M161.95M244.79M202.10M
EBITDA52.05M50.41M-43.11M-185.66M-392.19M-334.99M
Net Income-40.38M-7.96M-165.12M-365.54M-451.91M-370.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets952.26M937.38M1.07B1.48B1.62B2.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.98M10.38M29.34M140.07M419.51M1.13B
Total Debt777.17M779.49M752.34M1.23B985.76M1.14B
Total Liabilities820.49M820.77M1.10B1.35B1.14B1.45B
Stockholders Equity91.07M116.62M-30.95M122.15M475.24M915.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.53M68.09M-100.52M-536.31M-133.30M-597.10M
Operating Cash Flow79.29M75.15M-97.04M-533.68M-109.06M-568.69M
Investing Cash Flow-105.72M-108.17M132.57M173.15M-164.21M-104.29M
Financing Cash Flow50.26M37.88M-165.99M97.34M-469.49M797.71M

Vroom, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price6.95

Price Trends

50DMA8.77Negative
100DMA8.60Negative
200DMA11.09Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.55Negative
RSI36.23Neutral
STOCH40.98Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.51, below the 50-day MA of 8.77, and below the 200-day MA of 11.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VRM.

Vroom, Inc. Risk Analysis

Vroom, Inc. disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vroom, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Following our emergence from the Prepackaged Chapter 11 Case, a former holder of our previously issued Notes has the ability to significantly influence all matters submitted to stockholders of the reorganized company for approval.Q4, 2024
2.Trading in our securities is highly speculative and poses substantial risks, and our securities were subject to dilution following effectiveness of the Plan.Q4, 2024
3.The Prepackaged Chapter 11 Case, our emergence from it, and its impact has consumed and maycontinue to consume a substantial portion of the time and attention of our management, which may have anadverse effect on our business and results of operations, and we may experience increased levels of employee attrition.Q4, 2024

Vroom, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

VRM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CARGCARG81Outperform$3.10B17.4162.43%―7.29%33.39%
CVNACVNA68Neutral$79.84B23.5143.91%―50.28%157.02%
ANAN58Neutral$5.69B8.4431.76%―-1.77%22.76%
KMXKMX58Neutral$7.55B24.984.80%―4.09%-40.01%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
VRMVRM41Neutral$36.66M-0.87-39.79%―183.44%59.16%
UXINUXIN40Underperform$177.90M-2.7773.63%―97.00%-42.04%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%VRMANKMXCVNACARGUXINDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
VRM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VRMVroom, Inc.6.95-13.26-65.61%
ANAutoNation Inc177.75-15.45-8.00%
KMXCarMax Inc53.2221.1165.74%
CVNACarvana72.377.7511.99%
CARGCargurus34.81-0.16-0.46%
UXINUxin Limited0.81-2.02-71.45%

Vroom, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

Vroom Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Results and Liquidity

Negative
Nov 10, 2026

On November 10, 2026, Vroom, Inc. announced results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The company reported $91.1 million in stockholders’ equity, $80.2 million in tangible book value, $64.2 million in total available liquidity, and a $9.8 mil...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Vroom Expands Insider-Backed Convertible Notes Financing Capacity

Positive
Oct 15, 2026

On October 15, 2026, United Auto Credit Corporation executed an asset-backed securitization involving approximately $292.1 million in subprime auto receivables, transferring them through a special purpose depositor into United Auto Credit Securitizat...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Vroom Raises $20 Million via Preferred Equity Financing

Positive
Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, Vroom Automotive, LLC issued 16,000 Series A1 preferred units and 4,000 Series B1 preferred units to SPE Holdings 2026-1 for gross proceeds of $20 million, under newly updated LLC and purchase agreements. The preferred units ca...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Vroom Extends Warehouse Credit Facility Commitment Termination Date

Positive
Aug 28, 2026

On August 26, 2026, Vroom, Inc.’s subsidiaries United Auto Credit Corporation and UACC Auto Financing Trust V executed an eleventh amendment to their Amended and Restated Warehouse Agreement with Capital One, N.A. as administrative agent. The amendme...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026