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Vivendi (VIVHY) AI Stock Analysis

VIVHY

Vivendi

(Other OTC:VIVHY)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:$2.00â–²(14.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The score is held back primarily by volatile financial performance—especially the 2024–2025 revenue collapse, reliance on non-operating items for 2025 profitability, and sharply weaker 2025 cash generation—partially offset by a comparatively manageable leverage position. Technicals are only modestly constructive (short-term strength but still below longer-term averages). Valuation is a headwind with a high P/E, with only moderate support from the dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Manageable leverageModerate and improving leverage provides Vivendi with a financial cushion while preserving flexibility for investment, restructuring, or shareholder distributions. A sizable equity base relative to debt can also reduce balance-sheet pressure if operating performance remains volatile over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue collapseThe sharp revenue contraction represents a major deterioration in operating scale and makes future performance harder to compound from a stable base. It may reflect business changes or deconsolidation, but either outcome reduces the visibility and breadth of Vivendi’s reported earnings.

Vivendi (VIVHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%VIVHY-47.70%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$1.75B
Dividend Yield
2.68%
Average Volume (3M)
190.76K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
33.2
Beta (1Y)
1.33
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
2,500
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Entertainment

Vivendi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vivendi SE operates as a prominent global conglomerate in the entertainment, media, and communication sectors, with its reach extending across France, other European nations, the Americas, Asia/Oceania, and Africa. Its diverse business structure incl...

How the Company Makes Money

Vivendi makes money primarily through revenue generated by its operating businesses and, where applicable, income related to its equity interests. 1) Canal+ (pay-TV and streaming) - Subscription revenue: Canal+ earns recurring fees from individual an...

Vivendi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2025(Q4-2024)|% Change Since:-40.29%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlighted successful spin-off operations and positive stock performance. However, the company faced challenges with declining revenues, particularly for Gameloft, and a significant net loss due to the spin-off. While there were notable achievements in certain segments, the overall financial performance showed some negative trends.

Positive Updates

Vivendi Stock Performance
Vivendi's stock rose by 15% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the SBF120 index.

Negative Updates

Overall Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Revenue was reported at €297 million, with an EBITDA of minus 1%. The net earnings group shares were negatively impacted by €6 billion due to the split.

Company Guidance

During Vivendi's 2024 fiscal year earnings call, key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported a portfolio valued at €7.1 billion, with a net asset value of €4.8 billion, equating to €4.69 per share. Revenue was noted at €297 million, with EBITDA at minus 1%. Adjusted net income stood at €111 million, while net earnings group shares were negatively impacted by €6 billion due to the split of assets. The group experienced a 15% rise in stock value since the start of the year, outperforming the SBF120 index. Gameloft, an operational asset, saw a revenue drop of 5.7% but improved EBITDA from €5 million to €8 million. The company also highlighted a 30% loan-to-value ratio, with a net debt of €2.72 billion. The management spoke about reducing corporate costs and a strategic plan to sell its stake in Telecom Italia, while emphasizing continued investment in Gameloft for organic growth and potential acquisitions. An ordinary dividend of €0.04 per share, representing a yield of 1.5%, was proposed for approval at the April 28 shareholders' meeting.

Vivendi Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financial profile is mixed: income statement trends show a sharp 2024–2025 revenue collapse and volatile profitability, with 2025 net profit appearing supported by non-operating items despite negative operating profit. The balance sheet is a relative positive with manageable leverage, but returns on equity are weak/unstable. Cash flow is a key concern given the steep deterioration in 2025 operating and free cash flow versus 2023–2024.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

47Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue371.41M294.88M297.00M10.51B9.60B8.72B
Gross Profit106.27M64.36M86.00M4.82B4.24B3.85B
EBITDA-62.55M-74.92M101.00M-104.00M1.17B1.26B
Net Income32.20M19.21M-6.00B405.00M-1.01B24.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.91B6.95B7.93B38.25B31.28B33.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments184.92M201.91M107.00M2.19B2.55B4.46B
Total Debt1.80B1.38B2.69B9.11B4.43B5.15B
Total Liabilities2.29B2.25B3.34B21.01B13.68B14.17B
Stockholders Equity4.62B4.70B4.59B17.11B17.37B18.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.85M17.29M1.84B932.00M363.00M1.18B
Operating Cash Flow-20.72M20.17M1.84B937.00M748.00M1.64B
Investing Cash Flow246.88M1.07B-2.13B808.00M-695.00M-3.75B
Financing Cash Flow-218.50M-938.44M-1.83B-1.47B-1.44B4.43B

Vivendi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.75

Price Trends

50DMA1.68Positive
100DMA1.93Negative
200DMA2.18Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.01Negative
RSI60.11Neutral
STOCH36.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIVHY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.64, above the 50-day MA of 1.68, and below the 200-day MA of 2.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIVHY.

Vivendi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

VIVHY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
DISDIS77Outperform$191.56B22.837.87%1.35%5.31%-23.96%
NFLXNFLX76Outperform$254.92B17.6450.41%―15.41%43.84%
FOXAFOXA68Neutral$25.12B14.4514.74%0.90%5.07%-20.95%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
VIVHYVIVHY51Neutral$1.75B33.201.01%2.68%――

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%VIVHYDISNFLXFOXADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
VIVHY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VIVHYVivendi1.75-1.71-49.35%
DISWalt Disney Company110.940.420.38%
NFLXNetflix62.08-47.93-43.57%
FOXAFox Corporation Class A63.240.210.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026