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Virtu Financial (VIRT)
NYSE:VIRT
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Virtu Financial (VIRT) AI Stock Analysis

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VIRT

Virtu Financial

(NYSE:VIRT)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(11.94% Upside)
Virtu Financial's strong financial performance, characterized by high profitability and robust cash flow management, is the most significant factor contributing to its score. The company's valuation is attractive, with a low P/E ratio and a decent dividend yield. The earnings call provided positive guidance, although some strategic shifts may affect short-term shareholder returns. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, but the stock's fundamentals remain strong.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash conversion supports long-term operational stability and investment capacity, enabling strategic growth and resilience.
High Profit Margins
High profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing power, contributing to sustainable profitability and competitive advantage.
Growth in Crypto and Options
Expanding in high-growth areas like crypto and options positions Virtu for future revenue diversification and market leadership.
Negative Factors
Volatile Revenue Growth
Inconsistent revenue growth suggests potential instability in market demand or operational challenges, impacting long-term predictability.
Reduction in Share Repurchases
Reducing share repurchases may affect shareholder returns and signal a need to conserve cash, impacting investor sentiment.
Market Making Revenue Decline
A decline in Market Making revenue could indicate competitive pressures or market shifts, affecting core business profitability.

Virtu Financial (VIRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Virtu Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVirtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT) is a leading technology-enabled market maker and liquidity provider in the global financial markets. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in New York City, the company operates in sectors such as electronic trading, financial technology, and capital markets. Virtu's core services include market making across various asset classes, including equities, fixed income, foreign exchange, and commodities, leveraging advanced algorithms and technology to facilitate efficient trading and liquidity.
How the Company Makes MoneyVirtu Financial generates revenue primarily through its market-making activities, where it earns profits from the bid-ask spread when buying and selling securities. This involves providing liquidity by continuously quoting prices for various financial instruments, allowing other market participants to transact. The company also earns revenues from trading activities, including proprietary trading, where it trades its own capital to capture market opportunities. Additionally, Virtu benefits from transaction fees and commissions on trades executed on exchanges and other trading platforms. Significant partnerships with exchanges and trading venues enhance its trading capabilities, while robust technology infrastructure allows for high-frequency trading, optimizing profit margins.

Virtu Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in Market Making and VES, with significant growth in crypto and options. However, there were challenges such as a decline in Market Making revenue and a strategic shift away from share repurchases. The company is focused on expanding its capital base to capture growth opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Net Trading Income
The firm reported adjusted net trading income (ANTI) of $467 million, or $7.4 million per day, driven by a positive operating environment and renewed focus on growth.
Market Making and VES Performance
Market Making reported ANTI of $344 million ($5.1 million per day), with strong performance across global equities, cryptos, currencies, and commodities. VES reported ANTI of $123 million ($1.9 million per day), marking its best quarter since early 2021 and a sixth consecutive quarter of increased ANTI.
Crypto and Options Growth
The company reported strong performance in crypto and options, indicating continued growth in these segments as part of their broader strategy.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Share Repurchases
The company indicated a shift away from share repurchases to build capital, which may impact immediate shareholder returns.
Market Making Revenue Decline
Despite overall positive results, Market Making revenue fell 26% sequentially, which was not fully explained by the 3% decline in quoted spread opportunity.
Company Guidance
During Virtu Financial's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance focusing on growth and capital allocation strategies. The firm reported a normalized adjusted EPS of $1.05 and adjusted net trading income (ANTI) of $467 million, or $7.4 million per day. The Market Making segment contributed $344 million to ANTI, driven by strong performances in global equities, cryptos, currencies, and commodities. Virtu Execution Services (VES) reported ANTI of $123 million, marking its best quarter since early 2021. CEO Aaron Simons emphasized a strategic shift towards expanding trading results by investing in infrastructure, talent, and capital base, aiming to trend towards the higher end of an ANTI range of $6 million to $10 million per day. The company plans to grow its capital base significantly, having already raised over $500 million in 2025 through retained earnings and debt financing. Virtu highlighted its flexibility to adapt to various market opportunities, with a focus on growth in areas like crypto, options, and ETF blocks, while continuing to maintain a strong operating leverage and capital management approach.

Virtu Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Virtu Financial demonstrates strong financial health with excellent profitability, efficient cash flow management, and moderate leverage. While revenue growth has been inconsistent, the company maintains high margins and robust cash flows, positioning it well within the capital markets industry. The balance sheet shows stability but requires attention to maintain adequate equity levels to mitigate financial risks.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Virtu Financial's income statement reveals strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 81.34% and a net profit margin of 27.95% for the TTM, indicating efficient cost management and healthy earnings. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 30.74% and 69.74%, respectively. However, revenue growth has been volatile, showing a TTM growth rate of 0.77% after a decline the previous year, suggesting some instability in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating a conservative leverage approach. The return on equity is impressive at 51.89% for the TTM, highlighting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 8.90%, slightly low, suggesting a risk of over-leverage in case of fluctuating market conditions. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but with potential vulnerability due to low equity support.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis shows strong operational performance with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.25, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow has grown significantly, with a TTM free cash flow of $986.52 million, up from $544.68 million the previous year, reflecting robust cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.22, suggesting efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.50B2.88B2.29B2.36B2.81B3.24B
Gross Profit506.55M1.77B1.39B1.35B1.69B2.09B
EBITDA3.10B1.39B1.05B1.01B1.35B1.74B
Net Income1.87B276.42M142.04M265.03M476.88M649.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.27B15.36B14.47B10.58B10.32B9.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments707.87M872.51M820.44M981.58M1.07B889.56M
Total Debt316.08M5.71B6.93B3.73B3.60B3.43B
Total Liabilities19.57B13.87B13.06B8.93B8.46B8.11B
Stockholders Equity1.70B1.25B1.20B1.34B1.55B1.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow384.28M544.68M454.00M679.60M1.15B1.03B
Operating Cash Flow469.21M598.99M491.78M706.80M1.17B1.06B
Investing Cash Flow-17.57M-61.85M-94.48M-29.53M-87.35M-2.56M
Financing Cash Flow-404.55M-469.56M-585.03M-735.75M-957.86M-839.92M

Virtu Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price34.84
Price Trends
50DMA
36.00
Negative
100DMA
39.41
Negative
200DMA
38.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Negative
RSI
54.98
Neutral
STOCH
71.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIRT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 34.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.47, below the 50-day MA of 36.00, and below the 200-day MA of 38.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VIRT.

Virtu Financial Risk Analysis

Virtu Financial disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Virtu Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Virtu Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.32B7.5529.43%2.76%27.66%131.25%
$5.65B26.9419.30%1.77%12.49%36.43%
$5.10B21.1951.98%3.82%51.19%456.59%
$5.98B26.9316.41%1.89%8.30%-14.39%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$5.61B27.66106.47%0.62%18.40%54.77%
$4.51B15.6716.01%53.19%23.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIRT
Virtu Financial
34.84
4.22
13.78%
SNEX
StoneX Group
91.92
31.01
50.91%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
160.06
-123.49
-43.55%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
319.26
41.45
14.92%
MC
Moelis
63.33
-0.46
-0.72%
PJT
PJT Partners
161.11
22.29
16.06%

Virtu Financial Corporate Events

Virtu Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 30, 2025

Virtu Financial, Inc. is a prominent financial services firm that utilizes advanced technology to provide transparent trading solutions and liquidity to global markets. The company operates in the financial services sector, offering a range of products including execution, liquidity sourcing, and analytics across multiple asset classes.

Virtu Financial’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

In the recent earnings call, Virtu Financial Inc. showcased a mixed sentiment, highlighting strong performances in Market Making and Virtu Execution Services (VES), alongside significant growth in the crypto and options sectors. However, the call also addressed challenges such as a decline in Market Making revenue and a strategic pivot away from share repurchases, as the company aims to expand its capital base to seize new growth opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Virtu Financial Amends CEO Employment Agreement
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Virtu Financial, Inc. announced a new amended and restated employment agreement with Aaron Simons, who continues as the Chief Executive Officer. The agreement, effective from August 1, 2025, includes an increased base salary and bonus opportunities for Mr. Simons, reflecting his new role since August 1, 2025. The agreement outlines various compensation structures, including equity awards and a sign-on bonus, and details conditions for termination benefits. This move is significant for Virtu Financial as it aligns leadership compensation with company performance goals and ensures stability in executive management, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIRT) stock is a Sell with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Virtu Financial stock, see the VIRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Virtu Financial Secures $300 Million in Term Loans
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Virtu Financial, Inc. announced the successful pricing and closure of $300 million in incremental term loans, increasing its total term loan balance to $1,545 million. These loans, which bear interest at Term SOFR plus 250 basis points, will mature on June 21, 2031, and are intended for general corporate purposes. This financial maneuver is expected to enhance Virtu’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIRT) stock is a Buy with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Virtu Financial stock, see the VIRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Virtu Financial Announces New CEO Appointment
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Virtu Financial announced that Aaron Simons, the current Chief Technology Officer, will be appointed as the new Chief Executive Officer effective August 1, 2025, succeeding Douglas A. Cifu. Mr. Cifu will transition to a consultant role until the end of the year to ensure a smooth transition. This leadership change is part of Virtu’s long-term planning and reflects the company’s confidence in Mr. Simons’ leadership and vision to continue building on the company’s momentum and strategic direction. Mr. Simons, who has been with Virtu since 2008, brings extensive experience in technology and trading, which is expected to benefit Virtu’s operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIRT) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Virtu Financial stock, see the VIRT Stock Forecast page.

Virtu Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Jul 31, 2025

Virtu Financial Inc. is a prominent financial services provider, specializing in leveraging advanced technology to offer innovative trading solutions and liquidity to global markets. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Virtu Financial Inc. announced a significant increase in net income and revenue, showcasing robust financial performance. The company reported a net income of $293.0 million and total revenues of $999.6 million, marking a 44.2% increase from the same period in 2024. Key financial metrics include a 53.1% rise in trading income and a 69.8% increase in Adjusted EBITDA, reflecting strong operational efficiency. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per share. Looking ahead, Virtu Financial Inc. remains focused on maintaining its technological edge and market position, while navigating potential market fluctuations and regulatory changes.

Virtu Financial’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Jul 31, 2025

Virtu Financial’s recent earnings call revealed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by strong performance metrics and growth in key areas such as ETFs and digital assets. The company celebrated a successful leadership transition, although some concerns were raised about market penetration and regulatory uncertainties. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook remains optimistic.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025