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StoneX Group (SNEX)
NASDAQ:SNEX
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StoneX Group (SNEX) AI Stock Analysis

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SNEX

StoneX Group

(NASDAQ:SNEX)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(7.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
SNEX scores well on core fundamentals and recent cash-flow strength, with an attractive earnings valuation supporting the profile. The score is held back by thin net margins and mixed leverage history, plus currently weak-to-neutral price momentum and a noted sequential slowdown in results discussed on the earnings call.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue and earnings growth
Broad revenue expansion across products, acquisitions and client services is strengthening StoneX’s earnings base. The growth spans multiple business lines, reducing reliance on a single market and supporting durable scale benefits.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin net margins
Very low net margins leave limited protection if spreads, trading volumes or financing income weaken. Even modest cost increases or adverse market conditions can therefore produce disproportionate pressure on earnings and returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue and earnings growth
Broad revenue expansion across products, acquisitions and client services is strengthening StoneX’s earnings base. The growth spans multiple business lines, reducing reliance on a single market and supporting durable scale benefits.
Read all positive factors

StoneX Group (SNEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

StoneX Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services provider, connecting a diverse range of entities, including corporations, organizations, traders, and investors, to the worldwide market ecosystem. Its Commercial division offers a comprehe...
How the Company Makes Money
StoneX primarily earns revenue by intermediating customer trading and hedging activity and by providing clearing, execution, and related services across multiple asset classes. Key revenue streams include: (1) Commissions and fees: The company cha...

StoneX Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong set of year-over-year financial results driven by acquisitions (RJO, Benchmark), broad product-level growth, higher interest income and ramping Global Prime and Payments businesses. These positives were tempered by the sequential pullback in revenue and earnings due to moderation in market volatility, notable weakness in Self-Directed Retail and FX/CFD, and acquisition-related expense increases and one-time items. Integration synergies from RJO are tracking positively and management highlighted substantial runway for growth across the ecosystem.
Positive Updates
Strong Year-over-Year Revenue and Earnings Growth
Total net operating revenues of $719.7M, up 47% year-over-year; net income of $127.9M, up 102% year-over-year; diluted EPS of $1.00, up 85% year-over-year; trailing 12-month net income of $526.9M, up 77% and trailing 12-month operating revenues nearly $5.7B, up 48%.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue and Earnings Pullback
Net operating revenues were down 13% versus the immediately preceding quarter and net income was 27% lower than the record Q2, reflecting moderation in market volatility and normalization after an elevated prior quarter.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Year-over-Year Revenue and Earnings Growth
Total net operating revenues of $719.7M, up 47% year-over-year; net income of $127.9M, up 102% year-over-year; diluted EPS of $1.00, up 85% year-over-year; trailing 12-month net income of $526.9M, up 77% and trailing 12-month operating revenues nearly $5.7B, up 48%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated a 15% ROE target and said the U.S. FCM consolidation should be substantially completed later this fiscal year; R.J. O'Brien cost‑synergy run‑rate has moved from roughly $32M (exit Q2) to ~$37–38M exiting Q3 and is expected to reach mid‑$40M (~$45–46M) by the end of this fiscal year and ~$50M by end of next fiscal Q1. They added $750M of fixed‑rate SOFR swaps, bringing aggregate swaps to $2.55B (avg duration ~1.5 years, avg rate 3.51%) and estimate a 100‑bp move in short‑term rates would change net income by $46.9M (≈$0.38/share) annualized; interest & fee income (net) was $111.9M this quarter, average client equity & FDIC sweep balances were $16.2B (up 108% YoY), required client assets nearly $13B, and management expects client balances can grow at high‑single‑digit % post‑integration. They see significant cross‑sell potential (no quantified revenue synergy timetable) with Prime Services (700+ accounts, >$16B AUM, ≈$140M LTM net operating revenue, 60%+ CAGR) driving future growth.

StoneX Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall: strong revenue growth and improved TTM net income, plus materially stronger recent operating/free cash flow. Offsetting factors are structurally very thin net margins (around ~0.3% TTM) and a mixed balance-sheet picture given historically high leverage (despite a notably improved TTM leverage snapshot that warrants monitoring for sustainability).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue157.71B132.38B99.89B60.86B66.04B42.53B
Gross Profit4.13B2.58B2.01B1.61B861.30M561.80M
EBITDA2.72B1.99B1.61B1.25B517.70M293.70M
Net Income526.90M305.90M260.80M238.50M207.10M116.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.05B45.27B27.47B21.94B19.86B18.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.19B1.61B1.27B1.11B1.11B1.11B
Total Debt20.04B18.52B11.32B6.48B5.35B7.40B
Total Liabilities51.20B42.89B25.76B20.56B18.79B17.94B
Stockholders Equity2.84B2.38B1.71B1.38B1.07B904.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.07B4.32B441.70M-70.60M-279.00M2.06B
Operating Cash Flow5.14B4.39B506.90M-23.70M-229.50M2.12B
Investing Cash Flow-1.75B-465.50M-63.70M-53.00M-49.50M-59.80M
Financing Cash Flow800.00M914.80M188.00M-169.30M65.80M-35.60M

StoneX Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.66
Price Trends
50DMA
72.80
Negative
100DMA
75.01
Negative
200DMA
61.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.07
Negative
RSI
49.29
Neutral
STOCH
57.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.77, below the 50-day MA of 72.80, and above the 200-day MA of 61.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNEX.

StoneX Group Risk Analysis

StoneX Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. StoneX Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

StoneX Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.61B22.7843.55%3.88%13.69%12.33%
78
Outperform
$9.96B8.1641.25%2.88%27.58%36.35%
74
Outperform
$5.49B16.9222.90%2.59%32.10%40.51%
72
Outperform
$4.75B20.3571.16%0.59%22.91%21.48%
68
Neutral
$8.39B11.2820.18%20.57%50.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
55
Neutral
$4.32B19.6725.84%4.51%5.74%-30.53%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNEX
StoneX Group
69.46
23.72
51.85%
LAZ
Lazard
45.00
-9.13
-16.86%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
77.04
-2.69
-3.37%
MC
Moelis
69.02
1.11
1.63%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
64.43
26.35
69.18%
PJT
PJT Partners
182.73
3.76
2.10%

StoneX Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
StoneX Group Announces New Fiscal 2027 Share Repurchase
Positive
Aug 28, 2026
On August 26, 2026, StoneX Group Inc.’s board authorized a new share repurchase program for fiscal 2027, allowing the company to buy back up to 5 million shares of its common stock between October 1, 2026, and September 30, 2027, through ope...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026