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Vici Properties (VICI)
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VICI Properties (VICI) AI Stock Analysis

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VICI

VICI Properties

(NYSE:VICI)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
â–²(13.95% Upside)
VICI Properties scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings guidance. The attractive dividend yield and fair valuation further support the stock's appeal. However, neutral technical indicators and temporary market challenges slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
VICI's robust cash flow generation supports its ability to fund future investments and service debt, ensuring long-term financial stability and growth.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance VICI's portfolio and market position, providing opportunities for expansion and diversification in high-value locations.
Revenue Growth
Significant revenue growth indicates strong demand and successful acquisition strategies, supporting VICI's long-term expansion and profitability.
Negative Factors
Increasing Debt Levels
Rising debt levels may strain VICI's financial flexibility, potentially impacting its ability to invest in growth opportunities or withstand economic downturns.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which may affect VICI's profitability if not addressed.
Las Vegas Market Challenges
Economic uncertainty and market normalization in Las Vegas pose risks to VICI's revenue from this key market, impacting its short to medium-term financial performance.

VICI Properties (VICI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VICI Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVICI Properties is an experiential real estate investment trust that owns one of the largest portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality and entertainment destinations, including the world-renowned Caesars Palace. VICI Properties' national, geographically diverse portfolio consists of 29 gaming facilities comprising over 48 million square feet and features approximately 19,200 hotel rooms and more than 200 restaurants, bars and nightclubs. Its properties are leased to industry leading gaming and hospitality operators, including Caesars Entertainment, Inc., Century Casinos Inc., Hard Rock International, JACK Entertainment and Penn National Gaming, Inc. VICI Properties also owns four championship golf courses and 34 acres of undeveloped land adjacent to the Las Vegas Strip. VICI Properties' strategy is to create the nation's highest quality and most productive experiential real estate portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyVICI Properties generates revenue primarily through long-term leases with gaming and entertainment operators. The company typically acquires properties and then leases them back to the operators, allowing them to maintain operational control while providing VICI with consistent rental income. The leases are structured to include fixed annual rent increases, providing a hedge against inflation and ensuring predictable revenue streams. Additionally, VICI benefits from the strategic partnerships and relationships it has established with prominent gaming operators, which enhances its ability to secure favorable lease terms and increases occupancy rates. The company's revenue model is further bolstered by its focus on high-traffic locations and its efforts to diversify its property holdings across various markets and types of entertainment facilities.

VICI Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted VICI's strong financial performance, strategic investments, and resilient portfolio, particularly in Las Vegas. While there are temporary challenges in the Las Vegas market and transaction costs, the overall outlook remains positive with growth in AFFO and strategic partnerships.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
AFFO Growth Guidance
VICI raised its AFFO guidance for 2025, expecting a year-over-year AFFO per share growth of 4.4%, with the new range being $2.35 to $2.37 per diluted common share.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
VICI has approximately $2.9 billion in total liquidity with a net debt to annualized second quarter adjusted EBITDA of approximately 5.1x.
Strategic Investments and Partnerships
VICI announced investments with Red Rock Resorts and Cain International, including $510 million for North Fork Mono Casino Resort and an increased investment in One Beverly Hills to $450 million.
Las Vegas Portfolio Resilience
Despite short-term challenges, VICI highlighted the resilience and long-term potential of its Las Vegas portfolio, supported by strong occupancy rates and future developments.
Negative Updates
Temporary Las Vegas Market Slowdown
Las Vegas is experiencing a temporary moderation in visitation and gross gaming revenue, attributed to economic uncertainty and a normalization following record growth years.
Transaction Costs Impacting Results
The quarter included $7 million of transaction costs due to pursuit costs from prior quarters that did not result in completed transactions.
Challenges with iGaming Integration
There are ongoing discussions and uncertainty around the impact of iGaming on traditional gaming revenues, requiring careful monitoring and strategic adjustments.
Company Guidance
During the VICI Properties Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided an updated earnings guidance for 2025, highlighting a projected 4.4% growth in AFFO per share compared to 2024. The revised 2025 guidance now anticipates AFFO per share to be between $2.35 and $2.37, up from the prior guidance of $2.33 to $2.36. The company attributed this growth to a combination of same-store and new store external growth, emphasizing the importance of dividend returns in delivering superior total return alongside the capitalization of earnings growth. VICI also highlighted its capacity to generate earnings growth internally, utilizing over $600 million in retained cash flow annually without significantly increasing share count or net debt. This strategy is aimed at defending the dividend and striving for compelling total returns, regardless of external funding conditions.

VICI Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VICI Properties exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, a solid balance sheet, and excellent cash flow generation. Significant revenue and cash flow growth support financial stability and potential expansion, though increasing debt levels and a slight decline in gross profit margin warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
VICI Properties demonstrates strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 70.20% and consistent revenue growth, particularly a significant 114.2% increase in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating effective cost management. However, the gross profit margin has decreased in the TTM period compared to previous years, which could be a point of concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is solid at 10.37%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
VICI Properties shows strong cash flow performance with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 11.14 in the TTM period, indicating excellent cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive at 89.1%, supporting future investments and debt servicing. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showing efficient conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.93B3.85B3.61B2.60B1.51B1.23B
Gross Profit3.90B3.82B3.58B2.58B1.49B1.19B
EBITDA3.65B3.56B3.37B1.68B1.42B1.21B
Net Income2.76B2.68B2.51B1.12B1.01B891.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.05B45.37B44.06B37.58B17.60B17.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.98M524.62M522.57M426.27M739.61M335.97M
Total Debt17.84B17.65B17.63B14.57B4.99B7.07B
Total Liabilities18.61B18.42B18.40B15.29B5.41B7.57B
Stockholders Equity27.02B26.54B25.26B21.93B12.11B9.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.45B2.37B2.18B1.94B893.85M880.87M
Operating Cash Flow2.45B2.38B2.18B1.94B896.35M883.64M
Investing Cash Flow-1.22B-922.78M-2.90B-9.30B41.45M-4.55B
Financing Cash Flow-1.35B-1.46B1.03B6.83B-514.18M2.88B

VICI Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.47
Price Trends
50DMA
32.54
Negative
100DMA
32.03
Positive
200DMA
30.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
51.64
Neutral
STOCH
40.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VICI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.48, below the 50-day MA of 32.54, and above the 200-day MA of 30.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VICI.

VICI Properties Risk Analysis

VICI Properties disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VICI Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VICI Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$14.99B44.984.09%5.18%0.23%-41.66%
76
Outperform
$34.63B12.4210.45%5.38%4.85%2.71%
75
Outperform
$2.66B24.158.07%3.69%6.09%-65.94%
73
Outperform
$5.91B25.075.84%3.97%25.79%2.46%
71
Outperform
$3.43B35.342.80%6.40%2.74%-37.41%
58
Neutral
$1.80B-6.68-15.59%11.41%-11.06%29.36%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VICI
VICI Properties
32.47
0.94
2.98%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
68.45
8.89
14.93%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
20.08
-0.53
-2.57%
GNL
Global Net Lease
8.15
0.73
9.84%
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
29.75
-3.46
-10.42%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
18.12
0.16
0.89%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025