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Vale SA (VALE)
NYSE:VALE
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Vale SA (VALE) Price & Analysis

7,269 Followers

VALE Stock Chart & Stats

$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say
Integrated Logistics And ScaleVale’s vertically integrated logistics (rail, terminals, ports) tied to large-scale iron ore operations creates durable competitive advantages: lower delivered costs, reliability for global steel customers, and strategic control over bottlenecks. This supports volume growth, margin resilience and long-term contract leverage.
Vale Base Metals (VBM) Value UnlockRapid VBM EBITDA expansion and rising copper/nickel output signal structural diversification away from iron ore cyclicality. Larger base‑metals contribution improves portfolio mix, taps energy‑transition demand, and provides higher-margin long‑term earnings optionality versus a single‑commodity exposure.
Strong Recurring Cash Generation & ReturnsRobust recurring free cash flow and active capital returns demonstrate durable cash generation and disciplined allocation. Consistent FCF growth funds maintenance capex, legacy obligations and strategic investments while enabling shareholder returns and balance‑sheet flexibility over the medium term.
Bears Say
Rising Iron Ore Unit Cash CostsSustained higher C1 and all‑in costs erode margin durability and make earnings/guidance sensitive to FX and oil curves. If elevated BRL or fuel persists, structural cost creep could compress iron‑ore profitability and reduce resilience through the next commodity cycle.
Mixed Cash Conversion QualityLower cash conversion and working‑capital swings indicate earnings are less reliably converted to cash. That raises funding and liquidity risk for capex, decommissioning and legacy payouts, and implies free cash flow could be volatile across quarters despite positive headline FCF figures.
Legacy Liabilities & Regulatory/royalty UncertaintyOngoing remediation payments, impairments and unresolved royalty/distribution issues create persistent cash and modeling uncertainty. These structural obligations constrain capital flexibility, increase effective costs, and may raise recurring liabilities or royalty burdens over the medium term.

Vale SA News

VALE FAQ

What was Vale SA’s price range in the past 12 months?
Vale SA lowest stock price was $8.97 and its highest was $17.94 in the past 12 months.
    What is Vale SA’s market cap?
    Vale SA’s market cap is $68.51B.
      When is Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date?
      Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date is Jul 23, 2026 which is in 51 days.
        How were Vale SA’s earnings last quarter?
        Vale SA released its earnings results on Apr 28, 2026. The company reported $0.443 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.522 by -$0.079.
          Is Vale SA overvalued?
          According to Wall Street analysts Vale SA’s price is currently Undervalued. Get more investment ideas with TipRanks Premium
            Does Vale SA pay dividends?
            Vale SA pays a Notavailable dividend of $0.612 which represents an annual dividend yield of 10.04%. See more information on Vale SA dividends here
              What is Vale SA’s EPS estimate?
              Vale SA’s EPS estimate is 0.51.
                How many shares outstanding does Vale SA have?
                Vale SA has 4,539,008,000 shares outstanding.
                  What happened to Vale SA’s price movement after its last earnings report?
                  Vale SA reported an EPS of $0.443 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of $0.522. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -6.268%.
                    Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Vale SA?
                    Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in VALE
                    What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
                    Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology

                      Company Description

                      Vale SA

                      Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments. The Iron Solutions segment produces and extracts iron ore and pellets, and other ferrous products; and provides related logistic services. The Energy Transition Materials segment produces and extracts nickel; and its by-products, such as gold, silver, cobalt, precious metals, and others, as well as copper used in the construction sector to produce pipes and electrical wires. The company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce and changed its name to Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

                      Vale SA (VALE) Earnings & Revenues

                      VALE Company Deck

                      VALE Earnings Call

                      Q1 2026
                      0:00 / 0:00
                      Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
                      The call conveyed broadly positive operational and financial momentum: strong pro forma EBITDA growth (+21% YoY), VBM materially unlocking value (VBM EBITDA > doubled to $1.2B; copper 102 kt, +13% YoY; nickel +12% YoY), robust free cash flow (+61% YoY) and meaningful commercial/pricing gains (premiums +$2.6/ton QoQ, ~ $800M annualized). Management acknowledged cost pressures—C1 up 12% YoY, all-in costs up 8%—and macro/logistics risks (FX, oil, geopolitical events, distribution/royalty uncertainties) that temper near-term visibility and make delivery of guidance conditional on market curves. On balance, operational execution, cash generation and strategic initiatives (decarbonization, VBM optionality) outweigh the headwinds, though company performance remains sensitive to external price, FX and logistics dynamics.View all VALE earnings summaries

                      VALE Stock 12 Month Forecast

                      Average Price Target

                      $17.96
                      ▲(1.00% Upside)
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14,\t&nbsp; </span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#828080\">Hold 12, \t&nbsp;</span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#912767\">Sell 0</span>\n      ","marker":{"lineColor":"#199ca5","enabled":true,"symbol":"circle"}},{"y":10.474,"date":1759276800000,"info":" <span style=\"color:#199ca5\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Strong Buy</span>\n            <div class=\"flexrcb px3 displayflex fonth9_semibold\"><span  style=\"color:#199ca5\">Buy 21,\t&nbsp; </span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#828080\">Hold 14, \t&nbsp;</span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#912767\">Sell 0</span>\n      ","marker":{"lineColor":"#199ca5","enabled":true,"symbol":"circle"}},{"y":11.533,"date":1761955200000,"info":" <span style=\"color:#199ca5\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Strong Buy</span>\n            <div class=\"flexrcb px3 displayflex fonth9_semibold\"><span  style=\"color:#199ca5\">Buy 22,\t&nbsp; </span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#828080\">Hold 12, 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                      Ownership Overview

                      0.03%4.50%7.52%86.48%
                      7.52% Other Institutional Investors
                      86.48% Public Companies and Individual Investors
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