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Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE)
NYSE:UVE
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Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) AI Stock Analysis

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UVE

Universal Insurance Holdings

(NYSE:UVE)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(13.56% Upside)
Universal Insurance Holdings shows a promising outlook with strong earnings call results and attractive valuation metrics. The technical analysis supports a positive momentum, although financial performance indicates areas for improvement in profitability and cash flow stability. The overall score reflects a balanced view of growth potential and existing challenges.

Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Insurance Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (UVE) is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in the United States, primarily focused on providing personal and commercial insurance products. The company operates through its subsidiaries, offering a range of services including homeowners, renters, and auto insurance. UVE primarily targets markets in Florida, but also has a presence in other states, leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Insurance Holdings generates revenue primarily through the collection of premiums from policyholders in its various insurance lines. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the underwriting of insurance policies, where it assesses risk and sets premium rates accordingly. Additionally, UVE earns income from investment activities, utilizing the premiums collected to invest in a diversified portfolio that includes bonds and equities. Key revenue streams include the sale of homeowners and auto insurance, as well as associated policy fees. The company's strong performance is also supported by strategic partnerships with independent agents and brokers, which facilitate broader market reach and customer acquisition.

Universal Insurance Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant improvements in return on equity and earnings per share. However, challenges such as decreased premiums in Florida, increased expenses, and a competitive market environment were also noted. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects of financial growth and strategic management were emphasized.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Return on Equity
The company reported a 30.6% adjusted return on common equity, highlighting their strong financial performance.
Improved Earnings Per Share
Adjusted diluted earnings per common share was $1.36 compared to an adjusted loss per common share of $0.73 in the prior year quarter.
Core Revenue Growth
Core revenue reached $400 million, up 4.9% year-over-year, driven by higher net premiums earned, net investment income, and commission revenue.
Lower Net Loss Ratio
The net combined ratio was 96.4%, down 20.5 points from the prior year quarter due to a lower net loss ratio, which was down 21.5 points.
Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased approximately 347,000 shares at an aggregate cost of $8.1 million, with $7.1 million remaining in the authorization program.
Negative Updates
Decline in Florida Premiums
Direct premiums written were up 3.2% overall but included a 2.6% decrease in Florida.
Higher Net Expense Ratio
The net expense ratio increased by 1 point to 26.2%, driven by a higher ceded premium ratio and higher policy acquisition costs.
Prior Year Development
There was a net prior year development of $3.9 million related to prior year catastrophic events.
Competitive Market Challenges
The company faces a highly competitive environment, both in Florida and other markets, with new players entering the Florida market.
Company Guidance
During Universal's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a robust adjusted return on common equity of 30.6%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose to $1.36 from a loss of $0.73 in the prior year, driven by a lower net loss ratio and increased net premiums earned, net investment income, and commission revenue. Core revenue grew by 4.9% year-over-year to $400 million, while direct premiums written increased by 3.2% to $592.8 million. Notably, the net combined ratio improved to 96.4%, a decrease of 20.5 points from the previous year, mainly due to a lower net loss ratio of 70.2%. The company repurchased approximately 347,000 shares at a total cost of $8.1 million and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share. During the call, Universal also discussed its conservative reserving process and the competitive dynamics in the Florida market.

Universal Insurance Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Universal Insurance Holdings demonstrates solid financial health with a strong cash flow position and a low leverage balance sheet, indicating stability and prudent financial management. The income statement shows steady revenue growth and profitability, although there is room for margin improvement. Overall, the financial statements reflect a well-managed company with a promising outlook, particularly in terms of cash flow and financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement reflects a strong gross profit margin of approximately 74.4% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management and strong pricing power. The net profit margin is 4.3%, showing profitability but with room for improvement. Revenue growth from 2024 to TTM is approximately 1.6%, which is moderate. The EBIT margin is 6.3%, and the EBITDA margin is 4.1%, suggesting some operational efficiency but potential areas for cost reduction. Overall, the company shows stable revenue growth and profitability, with potential for higher margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating low leverage and a conservative capital structure. The return on equity for TTM is around 15.8%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 19.8%, which reflects a moderate level of financial stability. However, the company's total assets have decreased since 2024, primarily due to reduced cash and equivalents. The overall balance sheet indicates a financially stable company with low leverage but room for improving the equity base.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement is robust, with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of about 3.62 for TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 3.49, indicating excellent cash conversion. Free cash flow grew substantially from 2024 to TTM by approximately 78.9%, showing improved cash management. Overall, the cash flow analysis highlights strong liquidity and efficient cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.52B1.39B1.22B1.12B1.07B
Gross Profit384.81M1.52B1.39B1.22B116.48M982.14M
EBITDA162.03M96.50M101.48M-14.04M35.98M29.44M
Net Income122.37M58.93M66.82M-22.26M20.41M19.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.52B2.84B2.32B2.89B2.06B1.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments474.22M1.53B1.46B388.71M250.51M167.16M
Total Debt100.67M101.24M116.60M102.77M130.44M67.86M
Total Liabilities2.59B2.47B1.98B2.60B1.63B1.31B
Stockholders Equity495.04M373.25M341.30M287.90M429.70M449.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow249.82M129.99M66.95M319.62M227.15M12.13M
Operating Cash Flow254.07M137.36M70.97M324.51M234.38M29.35M
Investing Cash Flow-130.07M-228.09M-15.25M-148.86M-229.40M22.04M
Financing Cash Flow-52.10M-47.13M-47.12M-37.46M68.30M-56.26M

Universal Insurance Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.82
Price Trends
50DMA
27.09
Positive
100DMA
25.99
Positive
200DMA
24.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.19
Negative
RSI
61.95
Neutral
STOCH
64.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.79, above the 50-day MA of 27.09, and above the 200-day MA of 24.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UVE.

Universal Insurance Holdings Risk Analysis

Universal Insurance Holdings disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal Insurance Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Insurance Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$732.95M6.8233.49%9.35%77.04%
$864.47M7.2827.34%2.50%4.61%73.40%
$665.47M7.7315.10%3.79%0.93%224.95%
$770.62M8.6011.68%2.12%14.28%148.61%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$418.17M15.164.01%4.79%-0.04%-33.45%
$577.38M7.1831.54%23.68%16.14%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
30.82
11.96
63.41%
DGICA
Donegal Group
18.75
4.11
28.07%
GBLI
Global Indemnity
29.25
-3.34
-10.25%
UFCS
United Fire Group
30.23
11.23
59.11%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
11.84
0.34
2.96%
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings
23.63
13.69
137.73%

Universal Insurance Holdings Corporate Events

Universal Insurance Shines in Earnings Call
Oct 25, 2025

Universal Insurance’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strong financial performance, marked by significant improvements in return on equity and earnings per share. Despite facing challenges such as decreased premiums in Florida, increased expenses, and a competitive market environment, the company emphasized positive aspects of financial growth and strategic management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025