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Usiminas (USNZY) AI Stock Analysis

USNZY

Usiminas

(Other OTC:USNZY)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$1.00â–²(8.11% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (TTM operating/net losses and revenue decline) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include positive recent cash generation and a moderately constructive earnings-call backdrop featuring net cash and cost/productivity initiatives, though near-term margin and demand headwinds remain significant.

Positive Factors
Net Cash and Moderate LeverageThe net cash position and negative leverage provide financial resilience through steel-market cycles. This gives Usiminas greater capacity to fund essential efficiency projects, absorb weaker operating conditions, and avoid relying heavily on external financing while profitability recovers.
Negative Factors
Weak Profitability and Revenue DeclineCurrent losses and declining revenue indicate that the business is not converting its substantial asset base into consistent profits. The deterioration after stronger prior-year margins highlights earnings volatility and reduces internal funding capacity for growth or shareholder returns.

Usiminas (USNZY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%USNZY-9.67%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$1.19B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
56.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.6
Beta (1Y)
0.81
Revenue Growth
0.12%
EPS Growth
-725.60%
Country
US
Employees
15,233
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Steel

Usiminas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. operates in the steel industry and related activities in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Steel Metallurgy and Mining, and Logistics. The company offers thick plates, hot strips, colled...

How the Company Makes Money

Usiminas makes money primarily by producing and selling steel products, especially flat steel, to industrial customers in Brazil. Revenue is generated mainly from (1) sales of finished steel (e.g., coils, sheets, and other flat products) under commer...

Usiminas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-9.31%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented strong year-over-year EBITDA and EBIT growth, a solid net cash position, productivity improvements and multiple cost-reduction initiatives. However, these positives were offset by a 27% sequential EBITDA decline, weaker mining volumes and margins, negative cash flow, high raw-material and freight costs, import pressure, and expectations for lower Brazilian steel demand and continued cost pressure. Overall, the positive operational progress and financial position were balanced against significant current-quarter and forward-looking challenges.

Positive Updates

Year-over-Year EBITDA and Margin Improvement
Consolidated EBITDA was BRL 850 million with a 9% margin. Although EBITDA declined 27% versus Q2, it increased 29% versus Q3 2025, while the margin improved by 2 percentage points year over year.

Negative Updates

Sequential EBITDA and Margin Decline
Consolidated EBITDA declined 27% versus Q2. The adjusted EBITDA margin also fell 3 percentage points because of higher raw-material costs and higher exchange rates.

Company Guidance

Management expects stability of steel shipments, with typical seasonality of the domestic market offset by greater exports, although the outlook also indicates a slight drop of steel during Q4; mining volumes in Q4 will be lower than in Q3, Samambaia capacity closure will maintain, and reopening will depend on conditions in the first quarter. Management expects pressure over margins from greater cost of raw material, energy and inputs in mining; for the next quarter, slab prices are expected to be stable, while the increase of coke prices will be more significant or higher, and the situation will not go back to normal during next quarter. Brazilian steel consumption is expected to drop during 2027. The gas meters will be completed during the first semester of 2027, and management expects to capitalize on the PCI and gas-meter benefits in the upcoming months until mid-2027; productivity has increased 20%, PCI can reduce the need of coal by 20%, fixed cost and general expenses have dropped over 30%, 100% of transportation contracts were restructured, and resourcing measures have a gain of efficiency of over 30%. Approximately 70% of costs are in dollars, so a higher exchange rate will reflect on a higher cost in BRL, while the mining effect is marginally positive; the Compactos investment decision is expected in 2027.

Usiminas Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are mixed but skew weak: the income statement shows material deterioration with TTM operating and net losses and a sharp revenue decline, outweighing the benefits of moderate leverage. Cash flow is supportive with positive TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow, but durability is questionable given the cycle-driven volatility and recent FCF decline.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.88B25.84B25.87B27.64B32.47B33.74B
Gross Profit2.38B2.12B1.66B1.79B5.68B11.27B
EBITDA652.95M1.83B1.81B2.92B4.77B13.57B
Net Income-2.32B-3.02B-145.95M1.39B1.62B9.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.11B36.81B39.87B40.16B40.00B39.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.85B6.94B5.95B6.01B5.07B7.02B
Total Debt6.46B7.06B7.76B7.60B6.32B6.38B
Total Liabilities11.46B13.12B13.19B13.61B14.11B15.12B
Stockholders Equity20.75B20.80B23.88B23.86B23.16B21.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.68B1.25B-6.00M1.58B-1.09B3.81B
Operating Cash Flow2.86B2.28B989.16M4.57B997.12M5.30B
Investing Cash Flow-1.93B-2.12B-900.93M-2.00B-3.34B-325.73M
Financing Cash Flow-1.44B-65.22M-423.37M-775.79M-1.09B-1.88B

Usiminas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.93

Price Trends

50DMA1.36Negative
100DMA1.48Negative
200DMA1.48Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.10Positive
RSI21.65Positive
STOCH0.17Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USNZY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.30, below the 50-day MA of 1.36, and below the 200-day MA of 1.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.65 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for USNZY.

Usiminas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

USNZY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TXTX73Outperform$10.36B14.585.77%4.17%-0.65%18.90%
GGBGGB63Neutral$8.52B15.565.06%3.23%10.25%4.20%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
CLFCLF54Neutral$8.13B-16.01-8.14%―8.10%75.20%
MTMT53Neutral$44.68B25.043.31%1.21%3.25%-27.63%
USNZYUSNZY48Neutral$1.11B-2.57-11.20%―0.12%-725.60%
SIDSID35Underperform$940.51M-2.14-18.55%―9.29%-26.44%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%USNZYMTCLFGGBSIDTXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
USNZY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
USNZYUsinas Siderurgicas de Minas0.93-0.12-11.14%
MTArcelorMittal59.8122.0858.51%
CLFCleveland-Cliffs14.252.3820.05%
GGBGerdau4.661.2938.36%
SIDCompanhia Siderúrgica Nacional0.71-1.00-58.43%
TXTernium52.7718.7054.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026