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Usinas Siderurgicas de Minas (USNZY)
OTHER OTC:USNZY
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Usiminas (USNZY) AI Stock Analysis

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USNZY

Usiminas

(OTC:USNZY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Usiminas' stock score is driven by solid technical indicators and reasonable valuation. Financial performance is moderate, with strengths in revenue growth and equity position but weaknesses in profitability and cash flow. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook, with notable operational improvements but also significant market challenges.

Usiminas (USNZY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Usiminas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUsinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. manufactures and markets flat steel products in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Mining and Logistics, Steel Metallurgy, Steel Transformation, and Capital Assets. It extracts and process iron ore, such as pellet and sinter feed and, granulated iron ore; develops steel product solutions; and operates as a distribution center and trading company. The company manufactures and installs equipment for various industries; and engages in the provision of services related to road cargo transportation. It also offers stamped steel parts for the automobile industry; and products for the construction and capital goods industry, as well as engages in logistics business and produces hot-rolled galvanized steel sheets and coils. In addition, the company provides technology transfer services for steel industry; project management and services for civil construction and capital goods industry; road transportation of flat steel; hot-dip galvanizing services; and texturing and chrome plating of cylinders. Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyUsiminas generates revenue primarily through the sale of its steel products to various sectors, including automotive, construction, and appliances. The company's revenue model is based on the production and distribution of flat steel products, which are essential components in numerous industries. Key revenue streams include sales from hot and cold rolled steel, galvanized steel, and other specialized steel products. Additionally, Usiminas benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major companies in different sectors, which provide a stable source of income. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuations in global steel prices, demand from domestic and international markets, and operational efficiencies that help reduce production costs.

Usiminas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view where strong cash generation, cost reduction achievements, and growth in the mining segment were notable positives. However, challenges such as increased imports pressure, impairment impacts on net income, and high costs particularly in the mining segment, present significant hurdles. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strategic focus on long-term sustainability and competitiveness.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Generation
The company reported strong free cash generation of BRL 613 million and a drop in net debt, contributing to a reduced leverage ratio.
Cost Reduction Achievements
A 3% reduction in COGS per ton in the steel business unit compared to the second quarter due to the expense and cost reduction plan.
Growth in Mining Segment
Higher prices and volumes in mining, with net revenue 27% higher than the accumulated revenue of 2024.
Increased Steel Sales Volume
Steel sales volume was higher, at 1.1 million tons, showing resilience in demand despite external pressures.
Positive Operational Improvements
Improvements in main performance indicators, including a consolidated EBITDA increase of 6% over the previous quarter.
Negative Updates
Increased Imports Pressure
Imports increased by 33% in the first 9 months of 2025, affecting the domestic industry. The impact of subsidized imports remains a challenge.
Net Income Impacted by Impairment
Net income did not reflect the operational improvements due to a BRL 3.6 billion accounting effect related to asset impairment and deferred taxes.
Challenging Market Environment
The company faces a complex market environment in Brazil and abroad, with reduced net revenue in the steel segment due to lower prices.
High Mining Costs
The mining segment experienced increased costs due to higher freight tariffs, impacting overall cost efficiency.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Usiminas reported an adjusted EBITDA of BRL 434 million, with a margin of 7%, marking an increase from the previous period despite challenging market conditions. The company achieved a 3% reduction in COGS per ton in its steel business unit and experienced growth in sales volume, amid rising import pressures. Strong cash generation exceeded BRL 600 million, leveraging control over raw material inventories. Net revenue was BRL 6.6 billion, slightly lower due to reduced steel prices, but higher than the previous year, driven by mining performance. Consolidated EBITDA rose by 6% from the prior quarter, with free cash generation reaching BRL 613 million. Usiminas anticipates continued cost reductions and stable net revenues per ton in the fourth quarter, despite expected declines in volume due to typical year-end seasonality. The company remains optimistic about adapting to market challenges, driven by strategic focus and disciplined execution.

Usiminas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Usiminas shows moderate financial health with stable revenue growth and a strong equity position. However, profitability and cash flow management are areas for improvement, with low profit margins and negative free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Usiminas shows a modest gross profit margin of 8.21% and a net profit margin of 1.40% for the TTM, indicating some profitability but with room for improvement. The revenue growth rate of 4.4% from the previous period suggests a positive trend. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 4.48% and 9.36%, respectively, indicating potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is low at 1.56%, suggesting limited profitability from shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 59.7%, indicating a strong equity position relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Usiminas faces challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -37.74% and a negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.27, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.19 suggests limited cash generation relative to net income, which could impact liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.78B25.87B27.64B32.47B33.74B16.09B
Gross Profit2.20B1.66B1.79B5.68B11.27B3.26B
EBITDA2.29B1.81B2.92B4.77B12.25B3.77B
Net Income376.13M-145.95M1.39B1.62B9.07B1.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.66B39.87B40.16B40.00B39.48B29.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.74B5.95B6.01B5.07B7.02B4.87B
Total Debt8.47B7.76B7.60B6.32B6.38B6.03B
Total Liabilities13.51B13.19B13.61B14.11B15.12B13.11B
Stockholders Equity24.28B23.88B23.86B23.16B21.75B14.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-224.53M-6.00M1.58B-1.09B3.81B2.96B
Operating Cash Flow823.82M989.16M4.57B997.12M5.30B3.76B
Investing Cash Flow-919.57M-900.93M-2.00B-3.34B-325.73M-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow1.23B-423.37M-775.79M-1.09B-1.88B-289.59M

Usiminas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.03
Price Trends
50DMA
0.88
Positive
100DMA
0.82
Positive
200DMA
0.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
66.99
Neutral
STOCH
54.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USNZY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.96, above the 50-day MA of 0.88, and above the 200-day MA of 0.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for USNZY.

Usiminas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$7.05B12.294.80%7.53%-16.69%585.38%
71
Outperform
$6.77B13.635.21%3.07%-2.53%-36.08%
70
Outperform
$30.80B11.384.72%1.24%-4.51%
70
Neutral
$6.37B77.321.99%1.23%-1.61%-81.36%
69
Neutral
$1.25B-2.061.52%-8.05%-435.96%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
$2.23B-5.50-10.50%14.61%-5.79%-5.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USNZY
Usiminas
1.03
-0.02
-1.90%
MT
ArcelorMittal
39.16
13.97
55.46%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
58.77
-3.01
-4.87%
GGB
Gerdau SA
3.57
0.15
4.39%
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.57
-0.33
-17.37%
TX
Ternium SA
36.29
4.43
13.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2025