tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Uniti Group Inc (UNIT)
NASDAQ:UNIT
Advertisement

Uniti Group (UNIT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,474 Followers

Top Page

UNIT

Uniti Group

(NASDAQ:UNIT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
â–²(1.25% Upside)
Uniti Group's overall score is driven by strong strategic growth in fiber infrastructure and promising hyperscaler deals, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial risks due to high leverage and declining cash flow, along with bearish technical indicators, weigh on the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Fiber Expansion
The strategic expansion of fiber infrastructure positions Uniti to capture significant market share in underserved areas, driving long-term revenue growth and enhancing competitive advantage.
Hyperscaler Deals
Securing long-term contracts with major hyperscalers ensures stable revenue streams and strengthens Uniti's position in the high-growth cloud services market.
Improved Capital Structure
Lower debt yields enhance financial flexibility, reducing interest expenses and supporting further investment in growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to economic downturns, potentially impacting long-term stability and growth.
Declining Cash Flow
Declining cash flow generation may constrain Uniti's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, posing a risk to long-term financial health.
Legacy Services Decline
The decline in legacy services revenue reflects a shift in market demand, necessitating strategic adaptation to maintain overall revenue growth.

Uniti Group (UNIT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uniti Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniti, an internally managed real estate investment trust, is engaged in the acquisition and construction of mission critical communications infrastructure, and is a leading provider of wireless infrastructure solutions for the communications industry. As of September 30, 2020, Uniti owns 6.7 million fiber strand miles and other communications real estate throughout the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniti Group generates revenue primarily through long-term leases of its fiber optic infrastructure to telecommunications carriers and other service providers. The company's key revenue streams include recurring revenue from fiber leasing agreements, which typically span several years, and services related to the maintenance and management of these networks. Additionally, Uniti may engage in dark fiber sales, where customers lease unused fiber capacity, and lit fiber services, where the company provides fully operational connectivity solutions. Strategic partnerships with major telecommunications firms and investments in expanding fiber networks in growing markets contribute significantly to Uniti's earnings, enhancing its competitive position in the telecommunications infrastructure sector.

Uniti Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Uniti's earnings call highlights a strong strategic position following its merger with Windstream, with significant growth in fiber-based revenue and promising hyperscaler deals. However, challenges remain with legacy services impacting revenue and increased capital requirements for fiber expansion.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger with Windstream Completed
Uniti successfully closed its merger with Windstream, creating a strategic fiber-to-the-home platform with substantial first-mover advantage in Tier 2 and 3 markets.
Fiber Expansion and Growth
Uniti plans to accelerate its fiber investment to pass 3.5 million homes with fiber by 2029, with fiber-based revenue expected to grow from 40% to 75%. Fiber revenue increased by 10% year-over-year in Q2 2025.
Strong Wireless Bookings
Wireless bookings increased by 30% in the first half of 2025 compared to the first half of 2024.
Significant Hyperscaler Deals
Uniti signed a 20-year IRU with a major hyperscaler, valuing approximately $100 million, with a hyperscaler sales funnel representing about $1.5 billion in total contract value.
Improved Capital Structure
Uniti's cost of capital has significantly improved, with debt yields decreasing from over 12% to around 7%.
Negative Updates
Legacy Services Impact on Revenue
Legacy services are weighing on consolidated revenue and EBITDA, although they continue to generate predictable free cash flow.
Declines in Uniti Solutions
Revenue and EBITDA in Uniti Solutions, which include declining legacy TDM services, continue to decline and weigh on overall top-line growth.
Capital Intensity in Fiber Build
Increased costs anticipated in fiber build-out, with strategic cost per passing expected to rise to $850-$950 from the historical $650.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter 2025 earnings call, Uniti provided guidance emphasizing its focus on expanding its fiber infrastructure. The company aims to pass 3.5 million homes with fiber within the Kinetic footprint by the end of 2029, increasing the fiber-based revenue to approximately 75% of total revenue. Currently, Uniti passes 1.7 million homes and expects to reach 2 million by the end of 2025. The fiber infrastructure segment experienced a 7% year-over-year revenue growth, with Uniti reporting consolidated revenues of $301 million and adjusted EBITDA of $243 million. Additionally, the pro forma new Uniti consolidated revenue for the quarter was down 6% year-over-year, primarily due to declines in legacy services. The company anticipates consolidated revenue and EBITDA of $2.2 billion and $1.1 billion, respectively, for the full year 2025. Uniti also highlighted its strong position in the hyperscaler market, with a funnel representing about $1.5 billion in total contract value. The company expects continued growth in fiber services at Kinetic, with revenue projected to increase by 25% in 2025.

Uniti Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uniti Group shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with high gross profit margins. However, challenges include low net profit margins, high leverage, negative equity, and declining free cash flow growth, posing financial risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Uniti Group's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 80.73% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 2.96% TTM, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth is robust at 49.3% TTM, suggesting strong top-line expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 46.96% and 73.45% TTM, respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -2.52 TTM, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -1.42% TTM, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is negative due to negative stockholders' equity, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow growth rate of -247.62% TTM, indicating declining cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22 TTM, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.10 TTM, reflecting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.17B1.15B1.13B1.10B1.07B
Gross Profit952.79M1.17B695.03M1.12B1.10B907.70M
EBITDA866.81M882.80M642.35M891.99M833.92M92.42M
Net Income34.95M93.41M-81.71M-10.49M123.66M-718.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.54B5.28B5.03B4.85B4.81B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.73M183.85M62.26M43.80M58.90M77.53M
Total Debt6.17B5.88B5.63B5.27B5.11B4.83B
Total Liabilities7.99B7.73B7.51B7.12B6.92B6.80B
Stockholders Equity-2.44B-2.45B-2.49B-2.27B-2.13B-2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.87M11.86M-63.87M32.55M113.30M-159.85M
Operating Cash Flow376.15M366.69M353.13M460.12M499.16M157.23M
Investing Cash Flow-335.50M-272.20M-411.31M-392.02M-321.22M1.39M
Financing Cash Flow126.75M27.08M76.64M-78.58M-196.57M-223.91M

Uniti Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.42
Price Trends
50DMA
7.26
Negative
100DMA
7.29
Negative
200DMA
8.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
44.51
Neutral
STOCH
23.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UNIT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.59, below the 50-day MA of 7.26, and below the 200-day MA of 8.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UNIT.

Uniti Group Risk Analysis

Uniti Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uniti Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uniti Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
77.43B77.467.06%2.32%5.74%-6.58%
62
Neutral
21.38B24.47-17.79%2.16%1.82%71.39%
62
Neutral
17.39B62.732.93%3.44%-6.57%-62.32%
58
Neutral
90.52B70.1734.82%3.43%-9.52%-48.20%
53
Neutral
$1.53B27.01-3.72%2.82%1.95%353.63%
50
Neutral
40.76B-11.44335.60%5.61%-17.95%-398.78%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UNIT
Uniti Group
6.42
-2.49
-27.95%
AMT
American Tower
193.31
-35.49
-15.51%
CCI
Crown Castle
93.60
-17.07
-15.42%
EQIX
Equinix
791.25
-72.03
-8.34%
SBAC
SBA Communications
199.10
-36.81
-15.60%
WY
Weyerhaeuser
24.10
-8.48
-26.03%

Uniti Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Uniti Group Releases Financial Results for 2025
Neutral
Sep 4, 2025

Uniti Group Inc. has released supplemental materials on its Investor Relations website detailing its financial results and business operations for the quarterly periods in 2024 and 2025. The information highlights various revenue streams, including fiber subscribers, DSL subscribers, consumer services, business services, and wholesale, along with costs and expenses, providing stakeholders with a comprehensive view of the company’s financial health and strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (UNIT) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uniti Group stock, see the UNIT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025