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SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC)
NASDAQ:SBAC
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SBA Communications (SBAC) AI Stock Analysis

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SBAC

SBA Communications

(NASDAQ:SBAC)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$232.00
▲(16.52% Upside)
SBA Communications' overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call with increased guidance and strategic acquisitions, which offset financial leverage concerns. Technical indicators suggest caution, while valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation.
Positive Factors
Increased Guidance
Increased guidance across key metrics reflects strong operational performance and confidence in future growth, enhancing long-term stability.
International Expansion
The Millicom acquisition strengthens SBA's strategic position in Central America, supporting long-term revenue growth and market expansion.
Credit Rating Upgrade
The credit rating upgrade to investment-grade reflects improved financial stability and access to capital, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Financial Leverage
High financial leverage poses risks to cash flow and limits flexibility, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Sprint-related Churn
Sprint-related churn impacts revenue stability, posing challenges to maintaining consistent income streams and affecting long-term growth.
Challenges in Brazil
Financial issues with Oi in Brazil increase churn risk, affecting international revenue stability and posing challenges to market presence.

SBA Communications (SBAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SBA Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSBA Communications Corporation is a first choice provider and leading owner and operator of wireless communications infrastructure in North, Central, and South America and South Africa. By Building Better Wireless, SBA generates revenue from two primary businesses site leasing and site development services. The primary focus of the Company is the leasing of antenna space on its multi-tenant communication sites to a variety of wireless service providers under long-term lease contracts. For more information please visit: www.sbasite.com.
How the Company Makes MoneySBA Communications generates revenue primarily through long-term leases of tower space to wireless carriers, such as AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile. The company earns recurring rental income from its extensive portfolio of towers, which includes both traditional towers and other structures like rooftops and utility poles. Additional revenue streams come from site development services, where SBA assists in the construction and installation of wireless infrastructure. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for mobile data, the expansion of 5G technology, and strategic partnerships with major telecom operators, which facilitate a steady influx of new leasing contracts and renewal agreements.

SBA Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong performance in the U.S. and successful international expansion through the Millicom acquisition. However, challenges remain in Brazil with customer Oi and anticipated churn from Sprint consolidations. The increase in guidance and positive developments in spectrum auctions, along with a credit rating upgrade, bolster the overall positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Performance and Increased Guidance
The U.S. business performed well, leading to an increase in full-year guidance across all key metrics. Domestic organic leasing revenue growth was 5% on a gross basis year-over-year.
International Expansion and Millicom Acquisition
Acquired 4,329 sites for $563 million, primarily from Millicom in Guatemala and Panama. This acquisition enhances strategic positioning in Central America.
Service Business Surge
The services business outperformed expectations, leading to a 20% increase in full-year services revenue guidance.
Positive Developments in Spectrum Auction
Reinstatement of the FCC's spectrum auction authority and the identification of 800 megahertz of spectrum to be auctioned are positive developments for future growth.
S&P Credit Rating Upgrade
S&P upgraded SBA's corporate credit rating to BBB investment-grade rating, reflecting stable and predictable cash flows.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Brazil with Oi
Increased international churn guidance by $5 million due to financial difficulties faced by Oi, a carrier customer in Brazil.
Sprint-related Churn
Anticipated $50 million to $52 million in Sprint-related churn for the full year 2025, with more expected in 2026 and beyond.
Sale of Canadian Tower Business
Decision to sell the Canadian tower business due to inability to grow the portfolio meaningfully in the market.
Company Guidance
During SBA's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance, reflecting positive performance and future expectations. The call highlighted an increase in full-year guidance across all key metrics, including site leasing revenue, tower cash flow, adjusted EBITDA, AFFO, and AFFO per share, driven by better-than-expected results and strategic acquisitions. Notably, the company raised its full-year services revenue guidance by nearly 20%, primarily due to accelerated construction services in the U.S. The guidance also took into account the early acquisition of Millicom towers, strengthening SBA's position in Central America. Despite challenges such as expected churn from Sprint consolidation and international issues with Oi in Brazil, the company maintained a positive outlook, supported by network investment trends, including carrier activities in the U.S. and international markets, as well as favorable developments in spectrum auctions.

SBA Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SBA Communications shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin and stable revenue growth. However, the company faces significant financial leverage challenges with negative equity and a negative debt-to-equity ratio, indicating high financial risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SBA Communications shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 72.71% and a net profit margin of 31.18% for the TTM. Revenue growth is modest at 1.43%, indicating stable performance. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year suggests potential pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a concerning negative stockholders' equity, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates high leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, covering net income well with a ratio of 0.90. However, free cash flow growth is negative, which could impact future liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 suggests efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.72B2.68B2.71B2.63B2.31B2.08B
Gross Profit1.98B2.10B2.08B1.96B1.76B1.61B
EBITDA1.68B1.47B1.70B1.68B1.51B1.39B
Net Income878.59M749.54M501.81M461.43M237.62M24.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.77B11.42B10.18B10.59B9.80B9.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments276.83M444.38M209.59M145.04M368.06M308.56M
Total Debt14.81B15.76B14.46B15.17B14.52B13.43B
Total Liabilities15.64B16.47B15.31B15.83B15.07B13.97B
Stockholders Equity-4.94B-5.11B-5.17B-5.28B-5.28B-4.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B1.11B1.31B1.10B1.06B997.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.28B1.33B1.54B1.32B1.19B1.13B
Investing Cash Flow-945.49M-809.31M-468.25M-1.39B-1.42B-446.37M
Financing Cash Flow-326.74M645.74M-1.02B-167.47M339.26M-469.02M

SBA Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price199.10
Price Trends
50DMA
216.17
Negative
100DMA
223.59
Negative
200DMA
216.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.34
Negative
RSI
39.53
Neutral
STOCH
71.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBAC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 199.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 202.34, below the 50-day MA of 216.17, and below the 200-day MA of 216.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SBAC.

SBA Communications Risk Analysis

SBA Communications disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SBA Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SBA Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
77.43B77.467.06%2.32%5.74%-6.58%
63
Neutral
29.50B727.53-5.39%3.07%10.72%-81.96%
62
Neutral
$21.38B24.47-14.67%2.16%1.82%71.39%
58
Neutral
90.52B70.1734.82%3.43%-9.52%-48.20%
53
Neutral
1.53B27.01-1.43%1.95%353.63%
50
Neutral
40.76B-11.44335.60%5.61%-17.95%-398.78%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBAC
SBA Communications
199.10
-36.81
-15.60%
AMT
American Tower
193.31
-35.49
-15.51%
CCI
Crown Castle
93.60
-17.07
-15.42%
EQIX
Equinix
791.25
-72.03
-8.34%
IRM
Iron Mountain
99.89
-14.89
-12.97%
UNIT
Uniti Group
6.42
-2.49
-27.95%

SBA Communications Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SBA Communications Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, SBA Communications Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made. Shareholders voted to elect three director nominees, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year, and approved the compensation of the Company’s named executive officers. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2025