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United Homes Group, Inc (UHG)
:UHG
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United Homes Group (UHG) AI Stock Analysis

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UHG

United Homes Group

(NASDAQ:UHG)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(5.63% Upside)
The overall score is primarily influenced by the company's financial challenges, including declining margins and high leverage. Technical analysis provides a positive outlook with strong momentum indicators. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and mixed earnings call results indicate ongoing operational challenges.

United Homes Group (UHG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

United Homes Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited Homes Group (UHG) is a prominent company in the real estate sector, specializing in the development, construction, and sale of residential properties. The company focuses on creating high-quality homes that cater to a diverse range of customers, including first-time buyers, families, and retirees. UHG is dedicated to delivering exceptional customer service and innovative housing solutions, ensuring that each project meets the unique needs and expectations of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyUHG generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, including single-family homes, townhouses, and condominiums. The company identifies and acquires land suitable for development and constructs housing units that are then marketed and sold to consumers. In addition to property sales, UHG may also earn income from providing property management services, as well as through partnerships with financial institutions that offer mortgage solutions to homebuyers. Strategic alliances with suppliers and contractors help UHG to manage costs effectively, thereby contributing to its profitability.

United Homes Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted improvements in gross margins and successful product initiatives, but these were overshadowed by a net loss, declines in home closings, new orders, and revenue, as well as a reduction in active communities. Overall, the sentiment reflects a challenging quarter with mixed results.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Home Sales Gross Margin Improvement
Home sales gross margin for the quarter improved by 100 basis points to 18.9% compared to the same period last year, and by 270 basis points compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Successful Product Refresh Initiative
The new home designs have led to a 300 basis point increase in gross margins compared to legacy products, indicating positive market reception and increased profitability.
Maintained Affordable Pricing
The average sales price of United Homes was $349,000, significantly below the U.S median of $402,000 and average of $501,000, making homes more affordable.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
United Homes reported a net loss of $6.3 million for the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to a fair value adjustment related to the contingent earn-out liability.
Decrease in Home Closings and New Orders
Home closings for the second quarter decreased to 303 homes from 337 a year ago, and net new orders fell to 304 from 323 in the prior year period.
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was $105.5 million, a decrease of $3.9 million or 3.6% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Reduction in Active Communities
Active communities decreased to 55 from 59 a year ago, potentially impacting future sales efforts.
Company Guidance
During the United Homes Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported home sales revenue of $105.5 million from 303 new home deliveries, with an average sales price of $349,000. The gross margin for the quarter was 18.9%, representing a 100 basis point improvement over the previous year. Despite a 5.9% year-over-year decline in net new orders due to a 10% decrease in average community count, the company maintained a steady sales pace of 1.9 homes per community per month. The company also reported a net loss of $6.3 million for the quarter. The CEO highlighted the introduction of refreshed home designs, which have resulted in gross margins approximately 300 basis points higher than legacy products, contributing to their profitability. As of June 30, 2025, United Homes Group controlled about 7,300 lots and had $95.2 million in liquidity, positioning the company for future growth and market opportunities.

United Homes Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
United Homes Group demonstrates strong profitability with consistent revenue growth, a solid equity position, and robust cash flow management. The elimination of debt and substantial cash reserves highlight financial resilience, although past leverage levels suggest a need for continued prudent financial practices.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
United Homes Group demonstrates strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin and net profit margin, driven by consistent revenue growth over the years. Notably, the company achieved significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate efficient operational management, supporting high performance in the residential construction industry.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a significant improvement in stockholders' equity in 2024. The company has eliminated its debt, thus showcasing excellent financial stability and a strong equity ratio. However, historical leverage was relatively high, which could have posed risks in less favorable conditions.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
United Homes Group exhibits robust cash flow management with significant free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. The transition to positive free cash flow and substantial cash reserves in 2024 further highlight financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue445.96M463.71M421.47M477.05M432.89M327.25M
Gross Profit78.06M79.83M79.73M118.81M100.62M67.14M
EBITDA14.02M39.01M15.96M70.37M62.51M37.43M
Net Income5.17M46.91M125.06M69.49M62.41M38.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets281.07M265.38M298.65M208.34M202.26M131.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.54M22.63M56.67M12.24M51.50M29.18M
Total Debt134.03M120.30M154.06M121.80M102.50M74.82M
Total Liabilities198.90M198.51M329.83M149.34M135.70M97.43M
Stockholders Equity82.16M66.87M-31.18M59.00M66.56M23.11K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.44B15.41M28.06M34.45M57.91M70.98M
Operating Cash Flow15.47B15.44M28.22M34.62M58.32M71.78M
Investing Cash Flow-29.15K-12.59M-24.30M-206.88K-394.05K-785.29K
Financing Cash Flow-26.21M-33.98M40.51M-73.68M-35.60M-51.42M

United Homes Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.26
Price Trends
50DMA
4.06
Positive
100DMA
3.38
Positive
200DMA
3.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
52.99
Neutral
STOCH
42.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UHG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.22, above the 50-day MA of 4.06, and above the 200-day MA of 3.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UHG.

United Homes Group Risk Analysis

United Homes Group disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. United Homes Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

United Homes Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
801.49M7.0219.02%7.97%-35.64%
73
Outperform
1.96B8.0610.14%1.71%3.76%-17.55%
72
Outperform
649.71M12.1010.78%8.79%2.30%
68
Neutral
1.30B8.537.58%-7.89%-19.53%
65
Neutral
740.47M11.305.56%9.97%-52.57%
57
Neutral
$250.50M69.169.58%7.51%-97.77%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UHG
United Homes Group
4.26
-1.44
-25.26%
BZH
Beazer Homes
24.91
-8.58
-25.62%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
143.96
-75.39
-34.37%
LGIH
LGI Homes
56.55
-61.49
-52.09%
CCS
Century Communities
66.05
-35.24
-34.79%
LEGH
Legacy Housing
27.22
-0.42
-1.52%

United Homes Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
United Homes Group Reports Q2 2025 Operational Results
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 8, 2025, United Homes Group, Inc. announced its preliminary operational unit statistics for the quarter and year ended June 30, 2025. The company reported a 6% decline in net new orders year-over-year for the second quarter, attributed to a 10% decrease in active community count. However, the company anticipates a reversal in this trend with new community openings in the second half of 2025, which is expected to lead to a double-digit increase in active communities. The company also highlighted a product refresh initiative that has improved gross margins by approximately 300 basis points over legacy products, and expects this to contribute to year-over-year gross margin improvement in 2025. Despite a decline in closings, a 3% increase in starts year-over-year was noted, driven by the expected rise in community count.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
United Homes Group Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, United Homes Group, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. During the meeting, two Class II directors, Robert Dozier and Alan Levine, were elected to the Board to serve until the 2028 annual meeting. Additionally, the appointment of Forvis Mazars, LLP as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified by the shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025