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China Airlines Ltd. (2610) AI Stock Analysis

TW:2610

China Airlines Ltd.

(TWSE:2610)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:TWD 23.50â–²(3.07% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

China Airlines earns a moderately above-average score, driven primarily by a materially improved financial profile: record revenue and net income, multi-year-high margins, leverage cut by more than half since 2020, and nearly NT$50B of annual operating cash flow. Key risks are decelerating revenue growth, slight operating and EBITDA margin compression, rising absolute debt, and a swing to negative free cash flow as fleet investment ramps up. Technicals are supportive, with the price above all major moving averages and positive MACD momentum while RSI remains in neutral territory. An inexpensive 9.7x P/E and a 3.84% dividend yield add valuation appeal, though the inherent cyclicality, fuel-price exposure and capital intensity of the airline industry temper the overall score.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit recoveryThe strong 2025 revenue rebound and restored profitability indicate meaningful recovery in the airline’s operating base after weaker prior years. Sustained margins would improve internal funding capacity, support fleet and network investment, and strengthen competitiveness over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage in a cyclical industryDebt remains high relative to equity for an airline whose earnings can fluctuate with the cycle. This leverage may increase interest and refinancing pressure, constrain investment choices, and reduce financial flexibility if operating conditions weaken over the next several months.

China Airlines Ltd. (2610) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%TW:2610+21.87%SPY+12.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 143.13B
Dividend Yield
3.57%
Average Volume (3M)
22.80M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.5
Beta (1Y)
0.06
Revenue Growth
15.47%
EPS Growth
-2.40%
Country
TW
Employees
16,731
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Airlines, Airports & Air Services

China Airlines Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Airlines, Ltd., operating with its subsidiary companies, primarily delivers air transportation services for travelers and freight, among other related offerings. Beyond its core aviation operations, the company extends various services to other...

China Airlines Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

China Airlines shows a solid post-pandemic financial profile. Revenue has risen every year since 2020 to NT$209.1B, net income hit a cycle-high NT$14.7B (7.0% net margin), and gross margin expanded to 17.8%. The balance sheet has de-risked significantly, with debt-to-equity down from 2.44x to 1.12x and equity up to NT$97.6B, while ROE remains healthy at 15.1%. Offsetting this, revenue growth has decelerated to 2.6%, operating margin slipped to 10.0% and EBITDA margin to 24.0%, total debt rose to NT$109.6B, and heavy fleet-related capex pushed free cash flow to negative NT$4.3B from positive NT$29.4B. Operating cash flow remains strong at NT$49.4B but has declined for a third straight year.

Income Statement

76Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue225.85B209.14B203.88B184.82B150.72B138.84B
Gross Profit36.87B37.23B34.16B23.83B11.37B23.35B
EBITDA49.15B50.14B50.63B42.15B35.38B43.66B
Net Income13.24B14.70B14.38B6.82B2.25B9.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets391.03B354.82B327.38B291.24B294.41B294.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.72B59.73B68.34B34.66B41.32B58.45B
Total Debt124.11B109.64B97.53B94.00B107.64B125.27B
Total Liabilities285.68B252.28B236.83B213.76B221.96B217.52B
Stockholders Equity100.04B97.58B86.00B74.59B70.00B74.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.46B-4.31B29.45B26.66B19.89B35.16B
Operating Cash Flow53.93B49.41B54.28B55.85B46.85B49.89B
Investing Cash Flow-67.79B-50.83B-7.27B-30.66B-20.18B-16.67B
Financing Cash Flow13.48B-6.81B-12.13B-29.81B-36.69B-15.27B

China Airlines Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:2610 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:2610TW:261071OutperformTWD 140.06B9.46―3.57%15.47%-2.40%
TW:2645TW:264569NeutralTWD 61.24B20.85―3.06%10.42%77.82%
TW:2637TW:263767NeutralTWD 73.75B1.32―3.54%10.33%115.35%
TW:2609TW:260964NeutralTWD 203.24B13.86―3.44%3.49%2.44%
TW:2633TW:263357NeutralTWD 143.24B21.07―4.52%5.19%7.97%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%TW:2610TW:2609TW:2633TW:2637TW:2645TW:2646Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:2610 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:2610China Airlines Ltd.22.803.8520.32%
TW:2609Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp.58.206.1611.85%
TW:2633Taiwan High Speed Rail Corporation25.45-1.67-6.15%
TW:2637Wisdom Marine Lines Co., Limited.98.8038.7264.44%
TW:2645Evergreen Aviation Technologies Corporation163.5025.4418.43%
TW:2646STARLUX AIRLINES CO., LTD.20.05-3.45-14.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026