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Tradeweb Markets Inc (TW)
NASDAQ:TW
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Tradeweb Markets (TW) AI Stock Analysis

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TW

Tradeweb Markets

(NASDAQ:TW)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$114.00
▲(9.46% Upside)
Tradeweb Markets presents a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the stock appears overvalued based on its P/E ratio. Despite challenges in certain segments, the company remains optimistic about future growth, particularly in digital initiatives.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Tradeweb's consistent revenue growth, driven by strong performance across various sectors, indicates a robust business model and expanding market presence.
International Expansion
Strong international growth reflects Tradeweb's successful global strategy, enhancing its competitive position and diversifying revenue streams.
Technological Advancements
Innovative trading solutions like AiEX and Portfolio Trading strengthen Tradeweb's market position, driving efficiency and client engagement.
Negative Factors
U.S. Treasuries Market Share Decline
A decline in U.S. Treasuries market share could impact Tradeweb's dominance in a key segment, potentially affecting future revenue.
ICD Business Volatility
Volatility in the ICD business may lead to revenue instability, posing a risk to consistent cash flow and financial predictability.
Fee Per Million Decrease
A decrease in fees per million in cash credit could pressure margins, affecting profitability in a competitive market environment.

Tradeweb Markets (TW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tradeweb Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTradeweb Markets Inc. is a leading global operator of electronic marketplaces for fixed income, derivatives, and equities. The company provides a platform that facilitates trading in various financial instruments, serving a diverse clientele that includes institutional investors, dealers, and other financial market participants. Tradeweb's core products include trading solutions for government bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and interest rate derivatives, among others, enabling clients to execute trades efficiently and transparently in a rapidly evolving market environment.
How the Company Makes MoneyTradeweb generates revenue primarily through transaction-based fees, which are charged each time a trade is executed on its platform. The company also earns revenue from subscription fees for access to its trading technology and services, which are used by clients to streamline their trading operations. Key revenue streams include fees from trading in fixed income products, derivatives, and equities, as well as additional services such as data analytics and post-trade processing. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and market participants enhance Tradeweb's liquidity and trading volumes, further contributing to its earnings.

Tradeweb Markets Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Tradeweb's earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and international expansion, bolstered by significant gains in global swaps and equities. However, challenges such as low market volatility impacting revenues in certain segments and a decrease in U.S. credit revenues were noted. The company remains optimistic about future growth and innovation, especially in digital initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Tradeweb delivered over $500 million in quarterly revenues for the third consecutive quarter, with year-to-date revenues up 21% or 17% organically. The company is on track for another year of double-digit revenue growth.
International Revenue Surge
International revenues increased by 25% year-over-year, with strategic initiatives in EM and APAC contributing to this growth.
Expansion in Equities
Equities posted a 17% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by global ETFs and equity derivatives.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 54 basis points compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Significant Growth in Global Swaps
Global swaps delivered record revenues with over 30% year-over-year growth, driven by strong client engagement and favorable macro conditions.
Digital Initiatives Revenue
Tradeweb earned $2.3 million from digital initiatives, specifically from their work with the Canton Network.
Negative Updates
Low Volatility Impact
The quarter saw a significant drop in intraday volatility, down 19% year-over-year and 30% quarter-over-quarter, impacting U.S. treasury revenues which decreased by 2% year-over-year.
Challenges in U.S. Credit
Revenues in U.S. credit fell year-over-year, mainly due to retail corporate credit revenues being down nearly 30% year-over-year.
Voice Trading Impact on Market Share
The rise of complex voice-centric package trades affected U.S. treasury market share, which stood at 22% in the third quarter.
Company Guidance
In Tradeweb's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the future. Tradeweb reported over $500 million in quarterly revenues for the third consecutive quarter, with a year-to-date revenue increase of 21% or 17% organically. The company saw a 13% year-over-year revenue growth in the third quarter, driven by strong client activity despite low market volatility. International revenues grew by 25% year-over-year, reflecting successful strategic initiatives in emerging markets (EM) and the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. The company highlighted that adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 54 basis points compared to the third quarter of 2024. Additionally, Tradeweb's partnerships and innovations in electronic trading, swaps, and digital assets continue to be areas of focus, with a 40% year-to-date growth in swaps revenues and a 17% year-over-year increase in equities revenues. The firm expects continued growth and innovation, particularly in the realm of electronic trading and tokenized assets, as they remain committed to expanding their market share and enhancing client experiences globally.

Tradeweb Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tradeweb Markets demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth, robust profit margins, low leverage, and strong cash flow generation. These factors collectively position the company as financially sound in the capital markets industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tradeweb Markets has demonstrated impressive growth in its revenue, with a notable increase of 11.58% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous annual period. The gross profit margin remains strong at 65.63%, reflecting efficient cost management and a robust business model. The net profit margin has also improved to 28.85% in the TTM, highlighting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 38.86% and 49.44% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of Tradeweb Markets is notably strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0053, signifying minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) is robust at 9.16%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is high at 75.67%, confirming a solid capital structure with minimal reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a substantial growth in free cash flow of 14.54% in the TTM, indicating effective cash management and operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.87, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.76, both reflecting strong cash generation capabilities relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.99B1.73B1.34B1.19B1.08B892.66M
Gross Profit1.32B1.11B877.91M756.36M669.19M543.00M
EBITDA1.04B978.68M733.33M616.01M542.88M428.57M
Net Income654.92M501.51M364.87M309.34M226.83M166.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.00B7.27B7.06B6.26B5.99B5.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.91B1.34B1.71B1.26B973.05M792.28M
Total Debt135.63M35.75M49.08M27.94M24.33M34.46M
Total Liabilities1.06B869.11M1.13B713.82M681.24M660.69M
Stockholders Equity6.28B5.80B5.37B4.95B4.65B4.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.03B856.78M684.33M572.73M526.67M400.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B897.74M746.09M632.82M578.02M443.23M
Investing Cash Flow-138.01M-969.19M-132.76M-60.10M-259.11M-62.54M
Financing Cash Flow-222.56M-290.26M-168.17M-276.70M-136.10M-52.69M

Tradeweb Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price104.15
Price Trends
50DMA
113.48
Negative
100DMA
125.25
Negative
200DMA
130.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.88
Negative
RSI
38.21
Neutral
STOCH
12.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 104.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.59, below the 50-day MA of 113.48, and below the 200-day MA of 130.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TW.

Tradeweb Markets Risk Analysis

Tradeweb Markets disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tradeweb Markets reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tradeweb Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$26.41B26.2726.43%66.97%86.46%
$30.81B33.0619.82%0.73%12.42%28.96%
$31.51B15.3617.72%1.27%6.55%5.90%
$5.98B26.7316.41%1.89%8.30%-14.39%
$24.63B40.649.51%0.44%27.97%28.39%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$10.94B18.236.29%2.92%-5.41%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TW
Tradeweb Markets
104.15
-22.47
-17.75%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
70.36
32.08
83.80%
JEF
Jefferies
52.83
-9.44
-15.16%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
159.98
-123.57
-43.58%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
158.67
15.20
10.59%
FUTU
Futu Holdings
199.04
104.32
110.14%

Tradeweb Markets Corporate Events

Tradeweb Markets Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Tradeweb Markets Inc., a prominent global operator of electronic marketplaces, specializes in facilitating trading across rates, credit, equities, and money markets. The company, headquartered in New York, is known for its advanced trading technologies and extensive client base spanning over 85 countries.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tradeweb Markets Renews Data Agreement with Refinitiv
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Tradeweb Markets LLC has reached an agreement-in-principle with Refinitiv US LLC and Refinitiv US Organization LLC to renew their current data schedules under the master data license agreement for an additional three-year term, effective retrospectively from November 1, 2025. This renewal reflects the enhanced quality of data provided by Tradeweb Markets and is subject to final documentation and board approval. Additionally, Tradeweb Markets reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a 13.3% increase in quarterly revenues and a 61.7% rise in net income compared to the previous year. The company achieved record trading volumes and average daily volume, driven by growth across rates, equities, and money markets. Tradeweb continues to innovate and expand its market presence, including advancements in electronic trading and global settlement networks.

The most recent analyst rating on (TW) stock is a Buy with a $122.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tradeweb Markets stock, see the TW Stock Forecast page.

Tradeweb Markets Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Jul 31, 2025

Tradeweb Markets Inc., a global leader in electronic marketplaces for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, has reported a robust financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth across various metrics. The company, known for its advanced trading technologies, continues to enhance market access and trading efficiency for its clients worldwide.

Tradeweb Markets’ Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Jul 31, 2025

Tradeweb Markets’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic expansion, despite some challenges in specific market segments. The overall sentiment was positive, driven by record-breaking revenues and successful integration of acquisitions, which overshadowed the hurdles faced in the U.S. Treasuries market and the ICD business.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025