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Raymond James Financial (RJF)
NYSE:RJF
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Raymond James Financial (RJF) AI Stock Analysis

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RJF

Raymond James Financial

(NYSE:RJF)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$185.00
▲(15.95% Upside)
Raymond James Financial's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record revenues and strategic investments. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and cash flow challenges pose potential risks. The stock's valuation is reasonable, providing a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Record Financial Performance
Consistent record financial performance over multiple years indicates strong market position and effective business strategies, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Asset Growth
Significant growth in client assets reflects robust demand for services and enhances revenue potential, indicating a solid foundation for future expansion.
Technology and AI Investments
Substantial investments in technology and AI enhance competitive advantage and operational efficiency, positioning the company for sustainable innovation-driven growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow growth could constrain financial flexibility and investment capacity, potentially impacting long-term operational and strategic initiatives.
Interest Rate Impact
Interest rate impacts on income highlight vulnerability to macroeconomic factors, which could affect profitability and financial stability if rates remain volatile.
Expense Growth
Rising expenses, driven by growth initiatives, may pressure margins and reduce profitability if not managed effectively, impacting long-term financial health.

Raymond James Financial (RJF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Raymond James Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRaymond James Financial, Inc., a diversified financial services company, provides private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking, and other services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The Private Client Group segment offers investment services, portfolio management services, insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds; support to third-party product partners, including sales and marketing support, as well as distribution and accounting, and administrative services; margin loans; and securities borrowing and lending services. The Capital Markets segment provides investment banking services, including equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and merger and acquisition advisory services; and fixed income and equity brokerage services. The Asset Management segment offers asset management, portfolio management, and related administrative services to retail and institutional clients; and administrative support services, such as record-keeping. The Raymond James Bank segment provides insured deposit accounts; commercial and industrial, commercial real estate (CRE) and CRE construction, tax-exempt, residential, securities-based, and other loans; and loan syndication services. The Other segment engages in the private equity investments, including various direct and third-party private equity investments; and legacy private equity funds. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyRaymond James generates revenue through several key streams. The primary sources include wealth management fees, which are derived from asset management services and advisory fees charged to clients for investment advice and portfolio management. Additionally, the firm earns commissions from brokerage services, where they facilitate the buying and selling of securities. Investment banking activities contribute to revenue through underwriting fees and advisory fees from corporate clients during mergers and acquisitions. Other revenue comes from capital markets operations, where the firm engages in trading and investment activities. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and a strong advisor network also enhance their earnings potential by expanding client reach and service capabilities.

Raymond James Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial and operational performance with record-breaking revenues and growth in client assets, as well as successful recruitment and strategic investments in technology and AI. However, challenges were noted with a decline in pretax income and increased expenses due to interest rate impacts and growth investments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Achieved record revenues and net income for the fifth consecutive year, with annual net revenues of $14.1 billion (10% growth) and pretax income of $2.71 billion (3% growth).
Strong Asset Growth
Record client assets of $1.73 trillion, 11% year-over-year growth in client assets under administration, and record net bank loans of $51.6 billion.
Successful Adviser Recruitment
Record recruitment of financial advisers with $407 million trailing 12-month production, a 21% increase over last year's record.
Capital Markets Segment Performance
The Capital Markets segment achieved its third-highest revenue on record, supported by strong M&A and debt underwriting activities.
AI and Technology Investments
Invested approximately $1 billion in technology, including strategic AI initiatives, and appointed a Chief AI Officer and Head of AI Strategy.
Negative Updates
Decline in Pretax Income
Quarterly pretax income declined 4% compared to the year-ago quarter.
Interest Rate Impact
Decline in pretax income year-over-year in the Private Client Group due to interest rate reductions totaling 125 basis points since September 2024.
Expense Growth
Non-compensation expenses increased 11% over the year-ago quarter, driven by growth initiatives and higher investment sub-advisory fee expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Raymond James Financial fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 earnings call, CEO Paul Shoukry highlighted the company's record-breaking financial performance, including net revenues of $3.7 billion for the quarter, a 10% growth over the preceding quarter. The firm also achieved record client assets of $1.73 trillion and a record number of financial advisers totaling 8,943. The company reported a quarterly pretax income of $731 million and record fiscal year net revenues of $14.1 billion, marking a 10% increase over the prior year. Key business drivers such as recruited financial advisers with a trailing 12 production of $407 million and net bank loans of $51.6 billion also reached record levels. Raymond James made significant technology investments, approximately $1 billion, including strategic AI initiatives, and maintained a strong balance sheet with a Tier 1 leverage ratio of 13.1%. The firm returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and remains committed to investing in growth through both organic means and strategic acquisitions.

Raymond James Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Raymond James Financial demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations and a stable balance sheet. However, cash flow challenges, particularly in free cash flow growth, pose potential risks. The company maintains a solid financial position with effective equity utilization, but should address cash flow management to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Raymond James Financial shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 5.6% and a significant gross profit margin of 89.88%. The net profit margin is healthy at 13.70%, although slightly lower than the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects strong profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.31, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 17.75%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet suggests a solid financial position with a focus on equity financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a significant decline in free cash flow growth, down by 76.71% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential liquidity issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains high at 90.20%, indicating that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.80B14.74B12.84B11.16B9.78B7.89B
Gross Profit14.73B12.59B11.34B10.75B9.66B7.66B
EBITDA3.39B2.82B2.44B2.28B1.93B1.32B
Net Income2.13B2.07B1.74B1.51B1.40B818.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets187.00M82.99B78.36B80.95B61.89B47.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0019.25B18.47B15.99B15.52B13.97B
Total Debt0.004.03B3.48B3.79B3.17B3.53B
Total Liabilities0.0071.33B68.17B71.52B53.59B40.31B
Stockholders Equity0.0011.67B10.21B9.46B8.24B7.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.49B1.95B-3.69B-19.00M6.57B3.95B
Operating Cash Flow1.64B2.15B-3.51B72.00M6.65B4.07B
Investing Cash Flow-2.89B-968.00M-274.00M-7.15B-5.14B-4.99B
Financing Cash Flow-171.00M438.00M1.44B5.88B5.23B4.57B

Raymond James Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price159.55
Price Trends
50DMA
166.30
Negative
100DMA
162.84
Negative
200DMA
154.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.23
Positive
RSI
37.03
Neutral
STOCH
11.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RJF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 159.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 161.75, below the 50-day MA of 166.30, and above the 200-day MA of 154.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RJF.

Raymond James Financial Risk Analysis

Raymond James Financial disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Raymond James Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Raymond James Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$31.47B34.0419.82%0.40%12.42%28.96%
78
Outperform
$31.53B15.3617.72%1.26%6.55%5.90%
70
Outperform
$170.34B22.0017.04%1.12%5.90%66.60%
70
Outperform
$29.97B34.4621.32%0.32%35.19%-18.62%
69
Neutral
$12.20B21.071.51%7.53%2.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
49
Neutral
$10.93B18.266.29%2.92%-5.41%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RJF
Raymond James Financial
159.55
5.14
3.33%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
71.62
30.18
72.83%
JEF
Jefferies
53.93
-14.78
-21.51%
LPLA
LPL Financial
374.54
70.72
23.28%
SF
Stifel Financial
119.47
7.33
6.54%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
93.68
21.44
29.68%

Raymond James Financial Corporate Events

Raymond James Financial Reports Record Earnings and Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Raymond James Financial’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by record-breaking revenues and substantial growth in client assets. The company showcased its successful recruitment efforts and strategic investments in technology and AI. However, the call also highlighted some challenges, including a decline in pretax income and increased expenses due to interest rate impacts and growth investments.

Raymond James Financial Reports Record Fiscal 2025 Results
Oct 23, 2025

Raymond James Financial, Inc. is a diversified financial services company offering private client group, capital markets, asset management, and banking services, with total client assets reaching $1.73 trillion. The company recently reported record financial results for the fiscal year 2025, including annual net revenues of $14.07 billion and net income of $2.13 billion. Key highlights include a 10% increase in client assets under administration and a 15% rise in assets in fee-based accounts. The company also returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Raymond James Financial’s Private Client Group, Capital Markets, and Asset Management segments all reported record revenues, with significant growth in asset management fees and investment banking revenues. The bank segment also saw a 12% increase in net loans. As the company enters fiscal 2026, it is well-positioned with strong client asset levels and a robust investment banking pipeline, supported by strategic investments in technology and AI to enhance service delivery.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Raymond James Reports Record Client Assets in August
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Raymond James Financial reported its operating data for August 2025, highlighting a record $1.69 trillion in client assets under administration, a 10% increase year-over-year, driven by higher equity markets and net asset inflows. Despite a decline in domestic cash sweep and Enhanced Savings Program balances, the firm noted strong advisor recruiting and a robust investment banking pipeline, indicating positive momentum in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RJF) stock is a Hold with a $180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Raymond James Financial stock, see the RJF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Raymond James Financial Amends Credit Agreement for Growth
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Raymond James Financial, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement, extending the maturity date to September 23, 2030, increasing the facility amount to $1 billion, and decreasing the interest rate applicable to borrowings. This strategic financial adjustment is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and potentially improve its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (RJF) stock is a Hold with a $180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Raymond James Financial stock, see the RJF Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Raymond James Financial Closes $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Raymond James Financial, Inc. successfully closed a public underwritten offering of $1.5 billion in senior notes, consisting of $650 million in 4.900% senior notes due 2035 and $850 million in 5.650% senior notes due 2055. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (RJF) stock is a Buy with a $180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Raymond James Financial stock, see the RJF Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Raymond James Financial Declares Quarterly Dividends
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Raymond James Financial, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.50 per share on its common stock, payable on October 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of October 1, 2025. Additionally, a quarterly dividend of $0.3984375 per depositary share of its 6.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Series B Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock was declared, payable on October 1, 2025, to shareholders of record on September 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders through regular dividend payments.

The most recent analyst rating on (RJF) stock is a Hold with a $174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Raymond James Financial stock, see the RJF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Raymond James Reports July 2025 Operating Data
Positive
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Raymond James Financial reported its operating data for July 2025, highlighting a 10% year-over-year increase in client assets under administration, driven by higher equity markets and net asset inflows. Despite a decline in domestic cash sweep and Enhanced Savings Program balances by 2% year-over-year, the company noted robust advisor recruiting activity and a strong investment banking pipeline, indicating positive operational momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (RJF) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Raymond James Financial stock, see the RJF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025