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Jefferies Group (JEF)
NYSE:JEF
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Jefferies (JEF) AI Stock Analysis

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JEF

Jefferies

(NYSE:JEF)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$55.00
▲(14.37% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/10/26
Overall score reflects improved balance-sheet positioning and reasonable valuation (P/E ~13.7 with ~3.05% yield), offset by pressured TTM operating profitability, historically uneven cash-flow profile, and currently weak technical momentum (negative MACD and trading below short-term moving averages).
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet de-risking
A materially lower debt-to-equity (~0.15) reduces solvency and refinancing risk and increases financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this supports underwriting, trading and strategic spending, and provides a buffer against market shocks while management executes growth or capital-return plans.
Negative Factors
Slight revenue decline
A decline in TTM revenue, coupled with pressured operating margins, signals weaker top-line momentum and potential mix shifts away from higher‑margin advisory or trading fees. Over months this can constrain margin recovery, limit reinvestment capacity and amplify performance swings tied to deal flow.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet de-risking
A materially lower debt-to-equity (~0.15) reduces solvency and refinancing risk and increases financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this supports underwriting, trading and strategic spending, and provides a buffer against market shocks while management executes growth or capital-return plans.
Read all positive factors

Jefferies (JEF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jefferies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates as a diversified global financial services firm, primarily focused on investment banking, capital markets, and asset management. Its extensive operations span the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, a...
How the Company Makes Money
Jefferies primarily makes money through its investment banking and capital markets franchise at Jefferies LLC. Key revenue streams include: (1) Investment banking fees: advisory fees from mergers and acquisitions and other strategic advisory work;...

Jefferies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: balance-sheet risk improved materially with much lower leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.15) and steady equity/ROE, but TTM revenue is slightly down (-2.6%) and operating profitability appears pressured. Cash flow rebounded to strong positive levels, yet historical volatility and sharply negative TTM free-cash-flow growth reduce confidence in durability.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.14B10.82B10.52B7.44B7.15B8.95B
Gross Profit8.24B6.46B6.22B4.51B3.77B4.62B
EBITDA1.34B1.06B4.68B3.21B2.42B3.34B
Net Income898.20M710.48M743.38M277.69M785.45M1.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.54B76.01B64.36B57.91B51.06B56.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.31B14.04B12.15B8.53B9.70B10.76B
Total Debt36.93B23.76B20.36B16.09B13.72B11.42B
Total Liabilities68.93B65.37B54.13B48.10B40.76B45.38B
Stockholders Equity10.61B10.57B10.16B9.71B10.23B10.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.78B-1.71B-459.84M-1.93B1.58B1.42B
Operating Cash Flow2.01B-1.50B-209.25M-1.93B1.80B1.58B
Investing Cash Flow-353.82M-298.81M210.31M-12.20M-60.54M-409.87M
Financing Cash Flow1.58B3.59B3.35B1.06B-2.84B994.29M

Jefferies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price48.09
Price Trends
50DMA
54.46
Positive
100DMA
48.88
Positive
200DMA
53.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
51.45
Neutral
STOCH
81.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JEF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.27, below the 50-day MA of 54.46, and below the 200-day MA of 53.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JEF.

Jefferies Risk Analysis

Jefferies disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jefferies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jefferies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$13.21B17.7541.05%0.95%47.30%68.64%
76
Outperform
$5.42B18.2421.56%1.63%30.99%32.50%
73
Outperform
$9.74B21.9118.79%1.33%9.48%5.23%
71
Outperform
$11.84B9.3015.14%1.43%9.07%45.94%
71
Outperform
$5.50B22.9642.00%3.69%19.19%26.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$12.65B14.797.08%2.52%29.74%35.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JEF
Jefferies
54.87
0.74
1.36%
EVR
Evercore Partners
341.54
51.32
17.68%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
76.32
0.58
0.77%
SF
Stifel Financial
77.16
5.86
8.22%
MC
Moelis
67.51
1.38
2.08%
HLI
Houlihan Lokey
140.01
-51.67
-26.96%

Jefferies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jefferies Prices €850 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jul 8, 2026
On July 8, 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. priced a €850 million offering of 4.500% senior notes due July 15, 2033, with an effective yield of 4.544%. The notes are expected to settle on July 15, 2026, under a purchase agreement with a ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jefferies Issues $1.1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. entered into a purchase agreement with a syndicate of underwriters led by Jefferies LLC and SMBC Nikko Securities America, Inc. to issue and sell $1.1 billion aggregate principal amount of 5.125% S...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jefferies Prices $1.1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. announced it had priced a $1.1 billion public offering of 5.125% Senior Notes due April 28, 2031, with an effective yield of 5.304%. The debt issue, expected to settle on April 28, 2026 pending cus...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2026