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Jefferies (JEF)
NYSE:JEF
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Jefferies (JEF) AI Stock Analysis

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JEF

Jefferies

(NYSE:JEF)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$47.00
â–¼(-10.39% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/21/26
The score is driven primarily by improving (but still cyclical) financial performance—TTM margin and cash flow recovery offset by revenue softness and higher leverage. Technicals are a key drag with a weak downtrend and bearish momentum, while valuation (moderate P/E and solid dividend yield) and positive corporate updates on capital returns and efficiency provide meaningful support.
Positive Factors
Scaled global investment-banking platform
A scaled global platform can improve mandate competitiveness, client coverage and operating leverage across advisory, underwriting and trading. Jefferies’ breadth and geographic footprint support stronger institutional relationships and create a durable base for capturing capital-markets activity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Cyclical and softened revenue profile
Jefferies remains exposed to transaction volumes, trading activity and broader capital-markets conditions, making revenue inherently cyclical. Recent top-line softness and wide earnings variation reduce visibility into normalized profitability and could limit the durability of current performance if activity weakens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scaled global investment-banking platform
A scaled global platform can improve mandate competitiveness, client coverage and operating leverage across advisory, underwriting and trading. Jefferies’ breadth and geographic footprint support stronger institutional relationships and create a durable base for capturing capital-markets activity over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Jefferies (JEF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jefferies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates as a diversified global financial services firm, primarily focused on investment banking, capital markets, and asset management. Its extensive operations span the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, a...
How the Company Makes Money
Jefferies primarily earns revenue through its investment banking and capital markets activities. Key revenue streams include: (1) Investment banking fees: advisory fees from mergers and acquisitions and other strategic transactions, and underwriti...

Jefferies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM profitability and cash flow have improved (net margin recovery and a sharp rebound to positive operating/free cash flow), but revenue is down in TTM and results have been volatile across years. Balance-sheet leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~2.25x in FY2025), which adds cyclical risk.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.46B10.82B10.52B7.44B7.15B8.95B
Gross Profit9.53B6.46B6.22B4.51B3.77B4.62B
EBITDA2.35B1.07B4.68B3.21B2.42B3.33B
Net Income936.65M710.48M743.38M277.69M785.45M1.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.30B76.01B64.36B57.91B51.06B56.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.88M14.04B12.15B8.53B9.70B10.76B
Total Debt39.75B23.76B20.36B16.09B13.72B11.42B
Total Liabilities70.55B65.37B54.13B48.10B40.76B45.38B
Stockholders Equity10.71B10.57B10.16B9.71B10.23B10.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.20B-1.71B-459.84M-1.93B1.58B1.42B
Operating Cash Flow4.41B-1.50B-209.25M-1.93B1.80B1.58B
Investing Cash Flow-446.75M-298.81M210.31M-12.20M-60.54M-409.87M
Financing Cash Flow1.56B3.59B3.35B1.06B-2.84B994.29M

Jefferies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price52.45
Price Trends
50DMA
49.17
Negative
100DMA
52.27
Negative
200DMA
50.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.19
Negative
RSI
45.95
Neutral
STOCH
79.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JEF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.24, above the 50-day MA of 49.17, and above the 200-day MA of 50.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JEF.

Jefferies Risk Analysis

Jefferies disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jefferies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jefferies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.37B17.5143.55%4.90%13.69%12.33%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$1.07B10.4510.71%1.73%20.97%16.24%
66
Neutral
$9.70B13.1339.83%1.37%45.68%59.92%
63
Neutral
$3.57B16.3420.43%5.35%5.74%-30.53%
59
Neutral
$10.34B11.588.81%3.55%26.48%29.87%
53
Neutral
$1.21B38.22-14.08%2.25%-20.87%-66.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JEF
Jefferies
45.64
-7.65
-14.36%
EVR
Evercore Partners
255.39
-58.90
-18.74%
LAZ
Lazard
37.30
-9.83
-20.85%
OPY
Oppenheimer Holdings
102.06
34.75
51.62%
MC
Moelis
55.06
-11.22
-16.92%
PWP
Perella Weinberg Partners
12.76
-6.34
-33.18%

Jefferies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividends
Jefferies Highlights Critical Mass and Capital Return Strategy
Positive
Oct 20, 2026
At its 2026 Investor Meeting held on October 19, 2026, Jefferies Financial Group outlined how it believes it has reached “critical mass” as a world‑class investment bank, citing a scale, scope and geographic footprint now rivaled...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jefferies Showcases Strengthening Global Platform and Earnings Growth
Positive
Oct 19, 2026
On October 19, 2026, Jefferies posted an updated investor presentation ahead of its Investor Meeting, outlining how its broadened global platform is translating into stronger financial performance. The materials emphasize that human capital is lar...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026