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TotalEnergies (TTE)
NYSE:TTE
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TotalEnergies (TTE) AI Stock Analysis

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TTE

TotalEnergies

(NYSE:TTE)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(12.47% Upside)
TotalEnergies' strong valuation and technical indicators are the most significant factors contributing to its overall score. The company's financial performance is solid, with robust operational efficiency, though revenue growth and cash flow management need improvement. The recent earnings call provided positive insights into cash flow and production growth, despite some challenges in the LNG segment and regulatory environment.
Positive Factors
Renewable Energy Expansion
The development of a 400 MW solar plant in Saudi Arabia aligns with TotalEnergies' strategy to expand its renewable energy portfolio, supporting long-term growth and sustainability goals.
Operational Efficiency
Strong EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate effective cost management and operational efficiency, which are crucial for sustaining profitability in a volatile market.
Upstream Production Growth
Increased hydrocarbon production supports revenue growth and cash flow, enhancing TotalEnergies' ability to invest in future projects and maintain a competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term profitability and market position if not addressed.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting TotalEnergies' ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
LNG Segment Challenges
Challenges in the LNG segment, including flat sales and decreased income, could hinder TotalEnergies' diversification efforts and affect overall financial performance.

TotalEnergies (TTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TotalEnergies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTotalEnergies SE operates as an integrated oil and gas company worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power; Exploration & Production; Refining & Chemicals; and Marketing & Services. The Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power segment engages in the liquefied natural gas production, shipping, trading, and regasification activities; trading of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), petcoke and sulfur, natural gas, and electricity; transportation of natural gas; electricity production from natural gas, wind, solar, hydroelectric, and biogas sources; energy storage activities; and development and operation of biomethane production units, as well as provides energy efficiency services. The Exploration & Production segment is involved in the oil and natural gas exploration and production activities. The Refining & Chemicals segment engages in refining petrochemicals, including olefins and aromatics; and polymer derivatives, such as polyethylene, polypropylene, polystyrene, and hydrocarbon resins, as well as biomass conversion and elastomer processing. This segment is also involved in trading and shipping crude oil and petroleum products. The Marketing & Services segment produces and sells lubricants; supplies and markets petroleum products, including bulk fuel, aviation and marine fuel, special fluids, compressed natural gas, LPG, and bitumen; and provides fuel payment solutions. It operates approximately 16,000 service stations and 25,000 EV charge points. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 12,062 Mboe of combined proved reserves of oil and gas. TotalEnergies SE has strategic partnerships with PureCycle Technologies, Plastic Energy, Freepoint Eco-Systems, and Plastic Omnium for various development projects. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyTotalEnergies generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its upstream activities, which involve the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells produced hydrocarbons to refineries and other customers, contributing significantly to its earnings. Additionally, the midstream segment, which includes transportation and storage, provides revenue through the transportation of oil and gas. The downstream segment is another crucial revenue source, where TotalEnergies refines crude oil into petroleum products and markets them through its extensive network of service stations and retail outlets. The company's investments in renewable energy projects also create new revenue opportunities, particularly as global demand for clean energy increases. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in emerging markets and renewable energy sectors, further enhance TotalEnergies' ability to diversify its income and drive growth.

TotalEnergies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Petroleum Sales by Region
Petroleum Sales by Region
Shows where petroleum products are being sold globally, indicating regional demand trends and potential exposure to geopolitical or economic shifts.
Chart InsightsTotalEnergies' petroleum sales in Europe and the Americas are showing resilience, with Europe nearing pre-pandemic levels and the Americas experiencing a steady increase. However, Africa's sales remain subdued, reflecting ongoing challenges. The latest earnings call highlights strong production growth and cost control, but also notes a challenging downstream environment and geopolitical uncertainties affecting market stability. Despite these hurdles, TotalEnergies is committed to maintaining shareholder returns and disciplined capital investments, which could support future regional sales growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

TotalEnergies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong cash flow and production growth despite lower oil prices, with significant improvements in refining margins and shareholder returns. However, challenges in the LNG segment and regulatory uncertainties in Europe present potential hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cash Flow Increase Despite Lower Oil Prices
Despite a $10 per barrel year-on-year drop in oil pricing, the cash flow for the third quarter increased by 4% and adjusted net income held steady, demonstrating strong cash flow generation.
Upstream Production Growth
Hydrocarbon production growth was over 4% year-on-year, with new projects in Brazil and the U.S. contributing 170,000 barrels per day, generating around $400 million of additional cash flow.
Refining Margin Improvement
European refining margin significantly improved to $63 per ton compared to $35 per ton in the previous quarter, marking an increase of close to 80%.
Dividend and Share Buyback Enhancements
The Board of Directors decided to increase the first interim dividend by close to 8% in euros and over 10% in dollars compared to 2024, with a share buyback authorization up to $1.5 billion for Q4 2025.
Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Third quarter cash flow increased by 7% compared to the second quarter, and adjusted net income increased by 11%, showing robust financial performance.
Net Investments and Gearing Reduction
Net investments decreased by $3.5 billion quarter-over-quarter, and gearing improved to close to 17% compared to nearly 18%.
Negative Updates
LNG Segment Challenges
LNG sales were flat quarter-over-quarter, with adjusted net operating income down 18% due to planned turnarounds impacting production.
Volatility in Oil and Gas Prices
Brent averaged $69 per barrel during the third quarter, down more than $10 per barrel compared to the same period in 2024, contributing to a challenging market environment.
Uncertainty in European Regulatory Environment
Concerns over potential European competitiveness challenges and regulatory changes impacting energy companies, highlighted by discussions on LNG and other energy market regulations.
Company Guidance
During TotalEnergies' third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives despite a challenging market environment. The company's cash flow for the third quarter increased by 4%, even as oil prices dropped by over $10 per barrel year-over-year. TotalEnergies reported an adjusted net income that remained steady, primarily driven by a 170,000 barrels per day increase in production, contributing an additional $400 million in cash flow year-on-year. The company has maintained a disciplined investment framework, with technical costs for E&P projects below $30 per barrel and a breakeven point of less than $20 per barrel. Additionally, TotalEnergies anticipates upstream production growth of over 4% year-on-year for the fourth quarter. The downstream segment also bolstered results, with cash flow up nearly $500 million, driven by improved refining margins and asset availability. The company is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet, with gearing expected to decline to 15-16% by year-end, supported by anticipated disposal proceeds of $2 billion. Furthermore, TotalEnergies announced plans to convert ADRs into ordinary shares to enhance trading activity on the New York Stock Exchange, aiming to capture synergies between the Paris and New York markets.

TotalEnergies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TotalEnergies demonstrates strong operational efficiency with healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, despite facing revenue and profit margin declines. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage and solid equity returns. Cash flow management shows some weaknesses, with declining free cash flow growth. Overall, the company maintains a robust financial position with areas for improvement in revenue growth and cash flow management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
TotalEnergies shows a strong gross profit margin of 28.1% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 6.8%, reflecting reduced profitability. Revenue growth is negative at -2.1% TTM, suggesting a decline in sales. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 13.6% and 20.8%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.53, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is solid at 10.9%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 39.8%, reflecting a stable financial structure with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has decreased by 26.5% TTM, signaling potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.2, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.41, suggesting less cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue187.68B195.61B218.94B263.31B184.63B119.70B
Gross Profit29.79B24.11B31.25B81.64B52.46B44.03B
EBITDA38.04B39.88B50.78B59.13B37.84B8.85B
Net Income12.82B15.76B21.38B20.53B16.03B-7.24B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets292.82B285.49B283.65B303.86B293.46B266.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.61B32.35B33.43B41.77B33.66B35.90B
Total Debt62.22B53.56B47.87B60.77B64.55B77.30B
Total Liabilities173.81B165.23B164.20B189.29B178.46B160.05B
Stockholders Equity116.64B117.86B116.75B111.72B111.74B103.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.42B15.95B22.96B31.68B18.07B4.04B
Operating Cash Flow28.27B30.85B40.68B47.37B30.41B14.80B
Investing Cash Flow-20.94B-17.33B-16.45B-15.12B-13.66B-13.08B
Financing Cash Flow-10.62B-14.43B-29.73B-19.27B-25.50B1.40B

TotalEnergies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.24
Price Trends
50DMA
60.82
Positive
100DMA
60.83
Positive
200DMA
59.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Negative
RSI
58.03
Neutral
STOCH
52.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.61, above the 50-day MA of 60.82, and above the 200-day MA of 59.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TTE.

TotalEnergies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$487.54B16.2111.68%3.46%-3.79%-15.46%
$215.60B15.218.06%3.79%-6.96%0.03%
$134.99B9.8412.27%5.87%-9.52%-12.34%
$322.91B20.368.97%4.29%-5.02%-23.13%
$73.01B5.4919.48%14.33%-13.68%-13.96%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$89.35B148.860.95%5.48%-7.40%-90.89%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTE
TotalEnergies
62.24
2.23
3.72%
BP
BP
35.13
7.13
25.46%
CVX
Chevron
157.72
10.43
7.08%
XOM
Exxon Mobil
114.36
-0.11
-0.10%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
11.64
0.10
0.87%
SHEL
Shell
74.92
9.95
15.31%

TotalEnergies Corporate Events

TotalEnergies Sells 50% Stake in Portuguese Renewable Assets
Aug 1, 2025

On July 2, 2025, TotalEnergies announced the sale of 50% of its renewable energy assets in Portugal, consisting of wind, solar, and hydroelectric operations, to a consortium for €178.5 million. The company will continue to operate these assets and purchase their production after the expiration of regulated tariffs, aligning with its strategy to optimize capital allocation and enhance profitability in its electricity segment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025