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Valeura Energy (VLE) AI Stock Analysis
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Valeura Energy
(TSX:VLE)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (profitability, revenue growth, low leverage, and strong operating cash flow), supported by a positive technical trend (price above key moving averages and positive MACD). Offsetting factors include cyclical/volatile earnings and free-cash-flow consistency, plus only moderate valuation support (P/E ~17.68) with no dividend yield provided.
Valeura Energy (VLE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
- Market Cap
- CAD 1.84B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 373.77K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 19.6
- Beta (1Y)
- -0.47
- Revenue Growth
- 5.70%
- EPS Growth
- -73.12%
- Country
- Canada
- Employees
- 189
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Valeura Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Valeura Energy Inc., along with its affiliated companies, is actively involved in the exploration, development, and extraction of petroleum and natural gas reserves throughout Turkey. Established in 2000, the firm maintains its primary corporate offi...
How the Company Makes Money
Valeura Energy makes money primarily by producing and selling crude oil (and, where applicable, associated natural gas and natural gas liquids) from its operated and non-operated upstream assets. Revenue is generated when produced hydrocarbons are li...
Valeura Energy Earnings Call Summary
The earnings call reflects a strong operational and financial performance with significant growth in Thailand and improved financial metrics. However, challenges like production guidance at the lower end and share price decline are noted. The overall sentiment is positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
During Valeura Energy's Q3 2025 call, the company provided an optimistic outlook, highlighting several key metrics. The production in November exceeded previous quarterly averages for 2025, driven by increased output from the Nong Yao field, which is the most profitable. Operating expenses (OpEx) are trending towards the lower end of guidance, with a noted reduction in emissions intensity by up to 30% compared to the previous year. Financially, the operating metrics improved with strong margins despite current oil prices, enhancing the company's balance sheet and funding potential for future opportunities. The company's strategic farm-in with PTTEP has significantly increased its acreage in Thailand, and Valeura is set to earn a 40% interest in these operations. The Wassana project, a key growth area, is on track for first oil by Q2 2027, with the project currently 35% complete and expected to stay on or below budget. Valeura also highlighted their cash position, with adjusted net working capital improving by nearly 70% year-over-year, supporting ongoing and future investments. The call emphasized continued focus on transformational opportunities, with a robust suite of potential deals in the pipeline.
Valeura Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: healthy profitability in TTM (about 43% gross margin, 17% operating margin, 10% net margin), revenue growth (+23% TTM), low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.11), and strong operating cash flow (~$373M) with positive free cash flow (~$125M). The main constraint on the score is volatility typical of commodity-linked results, including sharp profitability swings (2024 to 2025) and inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion (including negative FCF in 2023).
Income Statement
78PositiveBalance Sheet
84Very PositiveCash Flow
72Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 673.34M | 614.22M | 678.79M | 493.46M | 352.03K | 3.13M |
| Gross Profit | 290.37M | 198.70M | 399.47M | 298.07M | -38.00K | 2.52M |
| EBITDA | 332.91M | 273.43M | 337.67M | 421.08M | -9.01M | -4.02M |
| Net Income | 66.60M | 23.17M | 240.80M | 245.03M | -12.21M | -65.30M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 914.57M | 884.17M | 857.31M | 704.31M | 64.01M | 45.22M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 300.24M | 282.23M | 236.54M | 133.87M | 17.52M | 40.83M |
| Total Debt | 67.63M | 92.34M | 74.47M | 73.64M | 11.19M | 0 |
| Total Liabilities | 311.69M | 342.36M | 329.03M | 420.14M | 35.55M | 2.09M |
| Stockholders Equity | 602.88M | 541.81M | 528.28M | 284.18M | 26.04M | 43.13M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 124.87M | 87.20M | 149.95M | -83.30M | -17.91M | -3.20M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 372.67M | 274.15M | 305.62M | 27.48M | -17.87M | -3.16M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -250.51M | -185.97M | -161.57M | 130.35M | -16.42M | 14.05M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -40.23M | -46.43M | -41.14M | -41.80M | 11.13M | -28.00K |
Valeura Energy Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VLE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.60, above the 50-day MA of 15.22, and above the 200-day MA of 12.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:VLE.
Valeura Energy Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
- TSE:VLE74Outperform
TSE:TNZ71Outperform
TSE:SGY67Neutral
TSE:OBE62Neutral
TSE:FEC57Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:VLE | 74Outperform | CAD 1.84B | 19.57 | 11.82% | ― | 5.70% | -73.12% |
| TSE:TNZ | 71Outperform | CAD 2.45B | 20.20 | 29.50% | ― | 380.56% | -39.41% |
| TSE:SGY | 67Neutral | CAD 1.26B | 28.91 | 6.18% | 4.08% | 2.63% | -18.64% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| TSE:OBE | 62Neutral | CAD 1.10B | 56.85 | 1.39% | ― | -21.66% | ― |
| TSE:FEC | 57Neutral | CAD 561.90M | -0.63 | -94.31% | 51.26% | -52.12% | -57.79% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:VLE | Valeura Energy | 17.33 | 10.83 | 166.62% | |
| TSE:OBE | Obsidian Energy Ltd | 16.51 | 8.52 | 106.63% | |
| TSE:SGY | Surge Energy Inc | 12.75 | 6.47 | 102.99% | |
| TSE:FEC | Frontera Energy Corp (OTC) | 7.94 | 5.33 | 203.87% | |
| TSE:TNZ | Tenaz Energy Corp | 76.15 | 48.66 | 177.01% |
Valeura Energy Corporate Events
Valeura Energy Posts Strong Q3, Advances Thai Offshore Projects
PositiveValeura Energy reported Q3 2026 production in line with plan, averaging 22.1 thousand barrels per day and selling 2.013 million barrels at realised prices of US$97.4 per barrel, generating revenue of US$196.1 million and increasing its cash balance t...
Valeura Moves Ahead with First Organic Gas Development at Bussabong Field in Thailand
PositiveValeura Energy and partner PTTEP have approved a final investment decision to launch Phase 1 of gas development at the Bussabong field in Thailand’s offshore Gulf, marking Valeura’s first organic gas project in the country. The plan featu...
Valeura accelerates Wassana redevelopment, lifts 2026 capex
PositiveValeura Energy plans to accelerate redevelopment of its Wassana oil field in Thailand’s offshore Gulf, advancing installation of a new central processing platform and associated drilling by about two months. The project, described as the compan...
Valeura Energy Posts Record Q2 Results and Expands Funding Capacity
PositiveValeura Energy reported record operational and financial results for the second quarter of 2026, with oil production of 2.03 million barrels and average daily output of 22,309 barrels. Higher oil sales volumes and a sharp rise in realised prices to U...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2026