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Tenaz Energy Corp (TNZ) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:TNZ

Tenaz Energy Corp

(TSX:TNZ)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:CAD 69.00â–¼(-9.39% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/10/26

The score is held back primarily by weaker cash flow quality (near-breakeven free cash flow versus high reported earnings) and a more levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~1.0), despite improving TTM revenue and solid reported margins. Technicals are strong with price above major moving averages and positive MACD, but overbought momentum signals (RSI/Stoch) add near-term risk. Valuation appears moderate with a P/E of 19.275.

Positive Factors
Improving revenue and marginsThe combination of faster revenue growth and solid gross and net margins indicates that Tenaz is currently converting its upstream production and sales activity into meaningful profitability. If maintained, this provides an operating base for continued development and acquisition activity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Meaningfully higher leverageDebt now roughly matches equity, representing a material increase in leverage from 2025 and earlier periods. This reduces financial flexibility and makes shareholder returns and debt-servicing capacity more sensitive to changes in commodity prices, production performance, and operating results.

Tenaz Energy Corp (TNZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%TSE:TNZ+187.68%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 2.52B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
164.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.2
Beta (1Y)
-0.29
Revenue Growth
380.56%
EPS Growth
-39.41%
Country
Canada
Employees
304
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Tenaz Energy Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tenaz Energy Corp., an energy company, engages in the acquisition and development of oil and gas assets in Canada and the Netherlands. The company operates natural gas assets in the Dutch sector of the North Sea. It also develops crude oil and natura...

How the Company Makes Money

Tenaz Energy primarily makes money by producing and selling crude oil, natural gas, and associated natural gas liquids (NGLs) from its upstream (exploration and production) assets. Revenue is generated when produced volumes are sold to third-party pu...

Tenaz Energy Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2024(Q1-2024)|% Change Since:1818.14%|Next Earnings Date:May 26, 2021
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mix of strategic achievements and operational challenges. While there were declines in production and funds flow, the company's share buyback program, strategic acquisition, and strong hedging strategy highlight positive growth and future potential.

Positive Updates

Successful Share Buyback Program
Retired a total of 2 million shares at an average cost of $2.77 since the NCIB began, with 200,000 shares retired in Q1 2024 at $3.67 per share.

Negative Updates

Decline in Production Volumes
Production volumes decreased to approximately 2,900 boe/d due to natural declines in Canadian wells and planned/unplanned downtime in the Netherlands.

Company Guidance

In the Q1 2024 earnings call for Tenaz Energy, CEO Anthony Marino reported production volumes of approximately 2,900 boe/d, slightly lower than Q4 2023 due to natural declines and reduced output from Canadian wells. The company recorded a funds flow from operations (FFO) of $7 million, with a free cash flow of $3.2 million after a capital expenditure of $3.8 million. Tenaz maintained a positive adjusted working capital of $49 million, facilitated by their share buyback program, which retired 200,000 shares at an average cost of $3.67 per share. A significant development was the acquisition of a gas processing plant and surrounding leasehold in Leduc-Woodbend for a net cost of $2.8 million, aimed at enhancing processing flexibility and potential third-party partnerships. The plant, with a current capacity of 7.5 million cubic feet per day, holds potential for expansion, which could increase capacity to 12 million cubic feet per day with minimal investment. Marino reaffirmed the 2024 production guidance of 2,700 to 2,900 boe/d and CapEx guidance of CAD 23 million to CAD 25 million, emphasizing ongoing M&A efforts in targeted international regions for higher return opportunities.

Tenaz Energy Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement trends are improving (TTM revenue +24% with ~30% gross margin and ~22% net margin), but operating profitability has been inconsistent across periods. The balance sheet is meaningfully more levered (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.0), increasing risk, and cash flow quality is weak with free cash flow near breakeven (~$3.0M) and low versus net income.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

56Neutral

Cash Flow

44Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue499.14M284.13M63.00M64.85M34.09M17.83M
Gross Profit148.96M29.61M36.85M39.23M21.71M11.09M
EBITDA92.99M398.72M4.28M25.13M12.67M13.49M
Net Income110.27M315.61M-7.71M26.55M5.24M8.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.71B2.53B390.83M238.72M203.90M75.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.65M103.55M139.91M50.30M1.83M25.47M
Total Debt417.43M341.27M138.54M244.00K21.61M167.00K
Total Liabilities2.29B2.09B298.70M142.36M132.53M10.09M
Stockholders Equity416.77M438.09M92.13M96.35M71.37M65.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.97M48.60M-14.51M-9.68M-7.75M-6.45M
Operating Cash Flow181.99M115.85M6.24M15.18M9.35M3.94M
Investing Cash Flow-516.54M-368.93M-54.12M58.20M-53.89M-4.24M
Financing Cash Flow238.63M170.00M137.85M-25.36M20.91M25.76M

Tenaz Energy Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price76.15

Price Trends

50DMA68.44Positive
100DMA60.18Positive
200DMA56.62Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.33Negative
RSI64.54Neutral
STOCH91.38Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TNZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.15, above the 50-day MA of 68.44, and above the 200-day MA of 56.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.38 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TNZ.

Tenaz Energy Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

TSE:TNZ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:LGNTSE:LGN69NeutralCAD 1.04B25.4111.28%―64.45%45.67%
TSE:SGYTSE:SGY67NeutralCAD 1.26B28.916.18%4.08%2.63%-18.64%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
TSE:OBETSE:OBE65NeutralCAD 1.10B56.721.39%―-21.66%―
TSE:SOILTSE:SOIL65NeutralCAD 1.68B36.635.02%―5.74%-75.93%
TSE:TNZTSE:TNZ62NeutralCAD 2.45B20.2029.50%―380.56%-39.41%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:TNZTSE:OBETSE:SGYTSE:SOILTSE:LGNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:TNZ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:TNZTenaz Energy Corp76.1548.66177.01%
TSE:OBEObsidian Energy Ltd16.518.52106.63%
TSE:SGYSurge Energy Inc12.756.47102.99%
TSE:SOILSaturn Oil & Gas Inc.9.456.75250.00%
TSE:LGNLogan Energy Corp1.540.7287.80%

Tenaz Energy Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures

Tenaz Energy boosts European gas output and profits in Q2 2026

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

Tenaz Energy reported that second-quarter 2026 production averaged 17,125 boe/d, up 6% from the prior quarter and more than double the level a year earlier, driven by organic growth and 2025 acquisitions, despite major maintenance turnarounds in the...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2026