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Tree Island Steel (TSE:TSL)
TSX:TSL
Canadian Market
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Tree Island Steel (TSL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TSL

Tree Island Steel

(TSX:TSL)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(9.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and negative operating/free cash flow), despite a relatively stable balance sheet. Technicals are somewhat improved in the near term (above 20- and 50-day averages with moderate RSI), but the longer-term trend remains softer (below 100- and 200-day averages). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E), with only partial support from the ~2.55% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Broad product and end-market diversification
A broad wire-product portfolio and exposure to industrial, construction, and agricultural customers diversify the sources of demand. This range can support customer retention and allow product mix to shift across end markets over the next several quarters, reducing reliance on one application.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses and compressed margins
Very thin gross margins and negative EBIT and net margins show that current sales are not converting into sustainable profits. Continued margin pressure limits reinvestment capacity, weakens resilience to input or demand changes, and makes earnings recovery dependent on improved pricing, mix, or operating efficiency.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad product and end-market diversification
A broad wire-product portfolio and exposure to industrial, construction, and agricultural customers diversify the sources of demand. This range can support customer retention and allow product mix to shift across end markets over the next several quarters, reducing reliance on one application.
Read all positive factors

Tree Island Steel (TSL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tree Island Steel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tree Island Steel Ltd., founded in 1964 and headquartered in Richmond, Canada, is a leading manufacturer and supplier of steel wire and various fabricated steel wire products. The company serves a broad spectrum of applications, including industri...
How the Company Makes Money
Tree Island Steel makes money by selling manufactured and fabricated steel wire products to customers through a mix of direct sales and distribution channels. Its revenue is primarily generated from (1) manufacturing and selling finished wire-base...

Tree Island Steel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak overall: despite sharp TTM revenue growth (+85.6%), profitability is negative (net margin ~-4.3%, EBIT margin ~-2.9%) and cash generation has deteriorated with negative operating cash flow (~-$2.1M) and negative free cash flow (~-$3.5M). The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.29), but negative returns (ROE ~-6.2%) and rising debt reduce flexibility if losses persist.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue157.56M170.83M206.99M239.57M359.56M301.85M
Gross Profit7.64M9.45M11.79M30.29M65.33M68.63M
EBITDA957.00K1.35M4.81M18.34M51.98M121.85M
Net Income-6.84M-5.33M-3.91M7.55M33.11M87.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets168.18M154.88M168.82M171.98M176.33M225.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments872.00K1.43M8.70M20.34M14.98M33.25M
Total Debt30.76M25.57M26.95M23.80M25.91M41.02M
Total Liabilities60.64M46.51M49.95M45.10M48.23M93.19M
Stockholders Equity107.53M108.37M118.86M126.88M128.10M132.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.50M-2.81M-3.24M18.20M41.92M-258.00K
Operating Cash Flow-2.10M-914.00K-1.43M23.73M43.38M11.87M
Investing Cash Flow-1.40M-1.89M-1.39M-4.77M-1.32M57.11M
Financing Cash Flow952.00K-3.90M-10.15M-13.32M-60.25M-36.99M

Tree Island Steel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.28
Price Trends
50DMA
2.29
Positive
100DMA
2.36
Positive
200DMA
2.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
72.26
Negative
STOCH
56.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.35, below the 50-day MA of 2.29, and below the 200-day MA of 2.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TSL.

Tree Island Steel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$1.68B21.7512.04%5.13%-15.44%-32.07%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$190.07M-1.41-22.53%1.62%17.30%-44.89%
49
Neutral
C$687.86M-0.63-220.30%2.18%-32.82%-259.39%
47
Neutral
C$71.85M-10.47-6.25%2.16%-17.61%-35.19%
46
Neutral
C$101.12M38.262.38%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSL
Tree Island Steel
2.78
0.24
9.45%
TSE:FEO
Oceanic Iron Ore
0.74
-0.11
-13.53%
TSE:LIF
Labrador Iron Ore
26.32
-0.21
-0.78%
TSE:S
Sherritt International
0.27
0.15
116.00%
TSE:NKL
Nickel 28 Capital Corp
1.18
0.49
70.29%
TSE:ASTL
Algoma Steel Group
6.51
0.02
0.31%

Tree Island Steel Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tree Island Steel Names New COO as Veteran Executive Retires
Positive
Aug 28, 2026
Tree Island Steel announced that longtime executive Nancy Davies will retire as chief operating officer on Oct. 1, 2026, after an 18-year tenure that included roles as CFO and COO. Under her leadership, the company strengthened financial controls,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026