Topaz Energy Corp (TPZ) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$3.77B
• Dividend Yield: 5.42%
• Average Volume (3M): 436.91K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 58.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.84
• Revenue Growth: 1.92%
• EPS Growth: 11.06%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 8
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
• EPS (TTM): 0.18
• Shares Outstanding: 153,800,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 598,842
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 436,906
• PEG Ratio: -29.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.10
• Price to Sales (P/S): 13.61
• P/FCF Ratio: -25.25
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$30.92
• Price Target Upside: 25.03% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: C$27.00 ▲(9.18% Upside)

Topaz Energy Corp's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and a solid financial position, despite challenges in revenue growth and valuation concerns. The company's ability to maintain profitability and financial flexibility is a positive sign, but caution is advised due to technical indicators and high P/E ratio.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The increase in royalty production indicates strong demand and operational efficiency, supporting long-term revenue growth and stability.

Cash Flow Generation

High free cash flow margin reflects efficient operations and financial health, providing flexibility for future investments and dividends.

Infrastructure Revenue Growth

Growth in infrastructure revenue demonstrates the company's ability to expand its service offerings, enhancing its competitive position in the market.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A decline in total revenue suggests challenges in maintaining growth, which could impact profitability and market competitiveness over time.

Rising Debt Levels

Increased leverage may strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, posing risks to long-term financial stability.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, necessitating careful capital management to sustain operations and growth.

Topaz Energy Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Topaz Energy Corp. operates as a royalty and energy infrastructure company. It operates in Royalty Production and Infrastructure segments. The company holds gross overriding royalty interests on approximately 5.3 million gross acres of developed and undeveloped lands. It is also involved in the natural gas processing and water management infrastructure activities. The company was formerly known as Exshaw Oil Corp. and changed its name to Topaz Energy Corp. in November 2019. Topaz Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Topaz Energy Corp generates revenue through a combination of royalty income and energy infrastructure services. The company's royalty income is derived from its ownership of royalty interests in various oil and gas properties, which entitles Topaz Energy to a percentage of the revenue from oil and gas production on those properties. This model allows the company to benefit from production without incurring the costs and risks associated with exploration and extraction. Additionally, Topaz Energy earns money from its energy infrastructure assets by providing services such as processing, transportation, and storage to other energy companies. These revenue streams are often supported by long-term contracts and partnerships with exploration and production companies, which contribute to the stability and predictability of Topaz Energy's earnings.

Topaz Energy Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Topaz Energy Corp maintains a stable EBITDA margin and strong equity position. However, challenges such as declining revenue, increased leverage, and negative free cash flow highlight areas for improvement. The company needs to focus on revenue growth and managing its capital structure to ensure long-term financial health.

Income Statement

Topaz Energy Corp shows a stable gross profit margin and a positive EBITDA margin. However, the net profit margin is relatively low, and there is a decrease in total revenue from the previous year, indicating a challenge in revenue growth. The company's ability to maintain profitability through EBITDA is a positive sign, but the declining trend in EBIT and net income growth rate requires attention.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, suggesting a rise in leverage which might pose a risk if not managed properly. The equity ratio remains strong, indicating a solid financial position. Return on equity shows potential, but the increasing debt levels and reduced cash reserves could impact financial flexibility.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains robust, though the free cash flow has turned negative due to significant capital expenditures. The company has a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, but the free cash flow decline indicates a need for careful management of capital expenditures to maintain liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	329.12M	312.40M	321.42M	369.65M	211.54M	99.88M
Gross Profit	321.35M	305.05M	314.52M	363.27M	207.29M	95.67M
EBITDA	322.49M	293.00M	316.13M	351.45M	193.01M	88.21M
Net Income	62.91M	46.39M	47.64M	99.36M	27.56M	3.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.83B	1.94B	1.70B	1.89B	1.67B	1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	306.00K	147.00K	3.46M	0.00	0.00	220.19M
Total Debt	525.49M	540.40M	391.64M	464.58M	276.86M	0.00
Total Liabilities	578.60M	627.64M	460.41M	532.40M	346.97M	43.62M
Stockholders Equity	1.26B	1.32B	1.24B	1.36B	1.32B	1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-68.60M	-161.63M	246.03M	-36.81M	162.24M	82.39M
Operating Cash Flow	297.65M	276.27M	300.58M	317.88M	165.02M	83.64M
Investing Cash Flow	-384.76M	-439.99M	-51.96M	-354.10M	-921.40M	-172.63M
Financing Cash Flow	87.41M	160.41M	-245.16M	36.22M	536.20M	301.04M

Topaz Energy Corp Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 24.73
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TPZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.64, below the 50-day MA of 25.24, and above the 200-day MA of 24.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.43 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TPZ.

Topaz Energy Corp Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PEY	81 Outperform	C$3.98B	11.40	12.21%	6.60%	7.02%	7.16%
KEY	72 Outperform	C$9.78B	18.44	18.92%	4.85%	1.57%	55.82%
FRU	69 Neutral	$2.23B	17.72	11.89%	7.80%	-0.92%	-23.14%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
TPZ	65 Neutral	C$3.77B	58.75	5.17%	5.42%	1.92%	11.06%
PSK	65 Neutral	C$5.89B	27.08	8.16%	4.07%	-1.59%	0.09%
GEI	58 Neutral	$3.87B	24.27	17.22%	7.07%	-14.27%	-11.69%

Topaz Energy Corp Corporate Events

Tourmaline and Topaz Announce $200 Million Secondary Offering

Tourmaline Oil Corp and Topaz Energy Corp have announced a $200 million secondary offering of Topaz common shares, with Tourmaline selling 8 million shares to reduce its equity position in Topaz. This move is part of Tourmaline’s strategy to fund its NEBC Montney development project, which aims to significantly increase production and cash flow. The offering will enhance Topaz’s trading liquidity and align with its structural objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TPZ) stock is a Buy with a C$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Topaz Energy Corp stock, see the TSE:TPZ Stock Forecast page.

Topaz Energy Corp Acquires NEBC Montney Royalty Assets

Topaz Energy Corp has announced a $71.7 million acquisition of royalty interests on 134,000 acres in the NEBC Montney area from Tourmaline Oil Corp. This acquisition aligns with Tourmaline’s future growth projects and will be funded through Topaz’s existing credit facilities, potentially enhancing the company’s growth and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TPZ) stock is a Hold with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Topaz Energy Corp stock, see the TSE:TPZ Stock Forecast page.

Topaz Energy Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth

Topaz Energy Corp’s recent earnings call conveyed an overall positive sentiment, highlighting strong performance in revenue, production growth, and cash flow. Despite facing challenges related to commodity prices and necessary hedging adjustments, the company’s significant achievements in various areas overshadowed these concerns, painting an optimistic picture for the future.

Topaz Energy Corp. Reports Robust Q2 2025 Financial Growth

Topaz Energy Corp. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with notable growth in royalty and infrastructure sectors. The company achieved a 19% increase in royalty production and a 37% rise in processing revenue from its infrastructure assets. Topaz’s strategic acquisitions and development activities have contributed to increased production and revenue, enhancing its market position. The company also maintained a robust financial standing with a significant cash flow increase and a healthy dividend payout, while extending its credit facility to support future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TPZ) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Topaz Energy Corp stock, see the TSE:TPZ Stock Forecast page.