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Tethys Petroleum Limited. (TSE:TPL)
:TPL
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Tethys Petroleum (TPL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TPL

Tethys Petroleum

(TPL)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▲(15.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/27/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and a very conservative, debt-free balance sheet, partially offset by weak TTM cash conversion (slightly negative free cash flow) and historical earnings volatility. Technicals are mixed (short-term support but still below longer-term averages), while valuation appears reasonable on a mid-range P/E with no dividend data to add support.
Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet materially reduces interest, refinancing, and liquidity risk. It gives TPL greater flexibility to fund exploration, sustain operations, or pursue asset opportunities through the commodity cycle without heavy fixed financial obligations.
Negative Factors
Weak Free Cash Flow Conversion
Negative TTM free cash flow shows that recent earnings are not fully converting into surplus cash after investment needs. If sustained, this could constrain exploration, field development, and distributions despite reported operating profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet materially reduces interest, refinancing, and liquidity risk. It gives TPL greater flexibility to fund exploration, sustain operations, or pursue asset opportunities through the commodity cycle without heavy fixed financial obligations.
Read all positive factors

Tethys Petroleum (TPL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tethys Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tethys Petroleum Limited is an energy company primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and natural gas resources within Kazakhstan. The firm maintains complete ownership (a 100% working interest) across multiple cr...
How the Company Makes Money
TPL’s core revenue model (when operating producing assets) is based on upstream oil and gas production: it earns revenue by selling crude oil, condensate, and/or natural gas produced from its fields to buyers, with realized revenue determined by p...

Tethys Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has rebounded (TTM revenue up 13.26% with strong gross and net margins) and the balance sheet is a major strength with zero debt and growing equity. However, results have been volatile across years and cash conversion is a key concern: TTM free cash flow is slightly negative despite positive operating cash flow, reducing confidence in the durability of recent earnings.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.44M26.42M15.20M36.48M65.49M15.91M
Gross Profit16.02M14.22M6.72M26.13M50.84M9.38M
EBITDA9.45M7.96M-16.65M23.47M50.29M8.06M
Net Income7.06M6.67M-12.39M9.74M12.30M-3.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.88M64.23M56.23M85.33M87.27M73.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.25M8.15M5.96M7.22M14.54M9.28M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.002.51M6.58M
Total Liabilities37.71M33.97M33.08M43.14M52.15M51.59M
Stockholders Equity34.17M30.26M23.15M42.19M35.12M22.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-325.49K2.58M-803.00K-1.71M22.21M-577.00K
Operating Cash Flow5.97M10.77M6.91M10.11M34.08M14.91M
Investing Cash Flow-6.77M-7.80M-7.65M-11.55M-22.50M-8.73M
Financing Cash Flow176.00K-973.00K0.00-5.88M-5.16M1.40M

Tethys Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.30
Price Trends
50DMA
1.13
Positive
100DMA
1.23
Positive
200DMA
1.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
54.16
Neutral
STOCH
54.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.22, above the 50-day MA of 1.13, and below the 200-day MA of 1.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TPL.

Tethys Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$305.21M11.329.33%23.27%-0.84%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
C$142.42M12.9023.08%1.19%86.37%
52
Neutral
C$220.38M-104.98-0.41%8.28%2.67%68.98%
49
Neutral
C$76.61M-2.61-28.96%164.50%-23.27%-777.54%
48
Neutral
C$122.25M-1.69-74.92%273.28%-656.13%
48
Neutral
C$300.75M-26.34-41.15%-341.10%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TPL
Tethys Petroleum
1.24
0.24
24.00%
TSE:KEI
Kolibri Global Energy
8.49
1.40
19.75%
TSE:QEC
Questerre
0.27
-0.05
-16.41%
TSE:BNE
Bonterra Energy
6.11
2.65
76.59%
TSE:EOG
Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas
0.86
0.71
454.84%
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
2.31
1.07
86.44%

Tethys Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tethys Petroleum Boosts Sales, Targets Production Ramp-Up After Turbine Setbacks
Positive
Aug 24, 2026
Tethys Petroleum reported a 70% rise in second-quarter 2026 oil and gas sales to $10.4 million, driven by higher oil output and the start of processing crude into refined products, although the period swung to a small net loss from a prior-year pr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2026