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Orca Exploration Group Inc Class B (TSE:ORC.B)
:ORC.B

Orca Exploration Group (ORC.B) AI Stock Analysis

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Orca Exploration Group

(OTC:ORC.B)

60Neutral
Orca Exploration Group's overall score is driven by significant challenges in profitability and cash flow generation, balanced by a reasonable valuation and strong dividend yield. Technical factors show mixed signals, but potential for a rebound exists. The absence of recent earnings call data limits insight into current operational strategies.

Orca Exploration Group (ORC.B) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Orca Exploration Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrca Exploration Group Inc. is an international energy company primarily engaged in the exploration, production, and development of natural gas resources. The company operates in the energy sector, focusing on the supply and sale of natural gas to power and industrial sectors. Orca Exploration's core operations are centered around its Songo Songo Project in Tanzania, where it is involved in the production and distribution of natural gas to various customers, including electric utilities and industrial markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrca Exploration Group generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of natural gas. The company's key revenue streams include long-term gas supply agreements with power generation companies and industrial customers in Tanzania. Orca Exploration leverages its infrastructure and expertise in gas extraction and distribution to deliver natural gas from its Songo Songo field to its clients. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by its partnerships with local utilities and industrial users, regulatory frameworks, and the demand for natural gas within the region. Additionally, the company may engage in exploration activities to discover new gas reserves, potentially impacting future revenue streams.

Orca Exploration Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orca Exploration Group faces significant profitability challenges, with declining profit margins and negative net income. The controlled level of debt is a positive, but the negative return on equity reflects inefficiencies. Cash flow generation has weakened significantly, though there is some resilience in cash management. Improving cost management and profitability are critical for future stability.
Income Statement
Orca Exploration Group has encountered a decline in profitability, with a negative Net Profit Margin of -19.34% for 2024, a significant drop from previous years. The Gross Profit Margin decreased to 54.75% in 2024 compared to 64.08% in 2022, indicating increased cost pressures. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decrease of 5.47% from 2022 to 2023, followed by a slight increase of 1.23% in 2024. These trends suggest challenges in maintaining revenue growth and managing costs effectively.
Balance Sheet
68
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 as of 2024, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. However, Return on Equity has turned negative at -35.22% in 2024, indicating a decline in shareholder returns. The equity ratio remains stable at 33.00%, reflecting a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets. Overall, while leverage is controlled, profitability concerns impact the financial stability.
Cash Flow
Orca's Free Cash Flow decreased significantly by 77.02% from 2023 to 2024, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio stands at -1.26 for 2024, highlighting the challenges in translating earnings into cash. Despite these issues, the company maintains a positive Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of -0.42, indicating some resilience in cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
110.23M118.09M86.02M77.87M85.59M
Gross Profit
49.18M70.90M57.99M51.14M58.73M
EBIT
36.92M63.70M47.46M51.06M52.28M
EBITDA
75.21M92.76M62.94M67.12M69.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
7.01M27.73M16.37M27.76M24.72M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
101.57M96.32M72.98M104.19M138.66M
Total Assets
215.43M248.08M230.27M242.61M271.77M
Total Debt
40.42M49.77M54.78M54.67M55.19M
Net Debt
-61.15M-46.55M-18.21M-49.52M-38.71M
Total Liabilities
126.75M152.80M158.82M150.74M163.21M
Stockholders Equity
88.68M89.62M68.34M90.35M108.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
39.69M41.93M15.13M19.47M30.70M
Operating Cash Flow
48.48M67.66M40.11M46.51M34.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-8.79M-25.73M-24.98M17.72M-4.29M
Financing Cash Flow
-31.74M-18.69M-45.95M-54.41M-1.34M

Orca Exploration Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.94
Price Trends
50DMA
2.96
Negative
100DMA
2.95
Negative
200DMA
2.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
46.61
Neutral
STOCH
30.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORC.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.01, below the 50-day MA of 2.96, and above the 200-day MA of 2.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ORC.B.

Orca Exploration Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSNVA
74
Outperform
$2.40B8.0713.72%-15.57%-12.73%
TSPEY
74
Outperform
C$3.47B12.1610.37%7.57%-9.52%-11.68%
60
Neutral
$159.73M11.224.25%13.28%-14.83%-56.24%
TSBIR
57
Neutral
$1.58B27.872.51%5.69%-26.02%464.95%
56
Neutral
$7.00B3.42-4.37%5.89%-0.12%-48.35%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
2.94
-0.59
-16.74%
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
5.81
0.31
5.71%
TSE:NVA
NuVista Energy
11.98
-0.95
-7.35%
TSE:PEY
Peyto Exploration & Dev
17.43
3.41
24.32%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.