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Kolibri Global Energy (KEI) AI Stock Analysis
Kolibri Global Energy
(TSX:KEI)
The score is driven by strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD) and a constructive earnings outlook featuring record operating performance and guided production growth with ongoing debt paydowns. This is balanced by financial watch-items—most notably negative recent free cash flow and some cost/commodity-volatility and execution risks highlighted on the earnings call—while valuation appears reasonable at ~12x earnings.
Kolibri Global Energy (KEI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
- Market Cap
- CAD 317.68M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 33.80K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 11.6
- Beta (1Y)
- -0.46
- Revenue Growth
- 23.27%
- EPS Growth
- -0.84%
- Country
- Canada
- Employees
- 8
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Kolibri Global Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is a U.S.-based company founded in 2008. The firm actively participates in the entire lifecycle—from discovery and development to extraction and commercialization—of crude oil, na...
How the Company Makes Money
KGEI primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons (crude oil and natural gas). Revenue is generated when oil and natural gas volumes produced from its wells are sold to third-party purchasers at prevailing market prices (often benchmar...
Kolibri Global Energy Earnings Call Summary
The call communicated strong operational and financial progress: record quarterly revenue, production and adjusted EBITDA, large YoY percentage gains in revenue (+109%), production (+46%) and adjusted EBITDA (+114%). Liquidity improved with a 15% larger borrowing base and development catalysts include newly drilled Clifton Mack wells and a first-ever test of the False Caney with encouraging core data. Offsetting these positives were temporary operational disruptions from well shut-ins, higher operating costs (OpEx/BOE +24% quarter-over-quarter) and some commodity contract losses and cost inflation. Management emphasized growth tied to four new wells expected to materially affect Q4, but results remain sensitive to timing and execution. On balance, the highlights substantially outweigh the lowlights and the tone is optimistic about future upside while acknowledging known near-term risks.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated its late‑June guidance and said the single biggest variable is the timing and performance of four 2026 wells (expected to contribute a full quarter of production in Q4), noting Q3 is likely the low quarter and Q4 the high; they confirmed no other material changes despite three wells being shut in for ~1/3 of Q2 and a multi‑period gas purchaser volume adjustment, and cautioned that hitting the low end of guidance would require H2 to be roughly flat to H1. Key metrics cited on the call include Q2 revenue $22.5M (+109% YoY), Q2 average production 4,690 BOE/d (+46% YoY; YTD avg 4,688 BOE/d, +29% YTD), Q2 adjusted EBITDA $16.4M (YTD $31.3M), Q2 net income $8.5M (EPS $0.24; YTD net income $12.5M, EPS $0.35), Q2 netback $43.92/BOE (YTD $41.18/BOE), Q2 OpEx $8.90/BOE (up from $7.15/BOE; $0.59/BOE due to a non‑op workover), and a 15% increase in the borrowing base to $75M (from $65M) to support working capital.
Kolibri Global Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Profitability and margins are solid (Income Statement 72) and leverage appears moderate with improving equity base (Balance Sheet 78), but free cash flow has recently turned negative again despite strong operating cash generation (Cash Flow 55). Softer recent revenue trend and FCF absorption temper the otherwise good fundamentals.
Income Statement
64PositiveBalance Sheet
76PositiveCash Flow
48Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 72.27M | 57.85M | 74.59M | 64.39M | 48.38M | 19.13M |
| Gross Profit | 45.51M | 31.00M | 34.40M | 29.69M | 25.07M | 8.42M |
| EBITDA | 48.67M | 41.64M | 43.34M | 40.09M | 25.33M | 75.50M |
| Net Income | 19.41M | 15.75M | 18.11M | 19.28M | 16.64M | 71.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 308.12M | 293.41M | 248.76M | 224.36M | 184.08M | 157.02M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.64M | 2.79M | 5.03M | 598.00K | 1.04M | 7.32M |
| Total Debt | 45.37M | 50.45M | 33.99M | 31.90M | 17.85M | 16.91M |
| Total Liabilities | 90.34M | 89.90M | 59.95M | 53.94M | 33.88M | 23.93M |
| Stockholders Equity | 217.77M | 203.50M | 188.81M | 170.41M | 150.20M | 133.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -11.93M | -21.62M | 7.64M | -14.53M | -15.05M | 5.61M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 47.59M | 42.12M | 38.89M | 38.65M | 22.04M | 6.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -59.52M | -56.15M | -36.21M | -49.87M | -29.24M | -2.88M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 10.45M | 12.49M | 1.04M | 10.79M | 922.00K | 2.98M |
Kolibri Global Energy Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KEI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.59, below the 50-day MA of 9.16, and above the 200-day MA of 7.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:KEI.
Kolibri Global Energy Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
TSE:ALV85.3Outperform- TSE:KEI75Outperform
TSE:HME75Outperform
TSE:ORC.B49Neutral
TSE:SEI46Neutral
TSE:BNE42Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:ALV | 85Outperform | CAD 348.83M | 9.10 | 27.62% | 7.13% | 28.63% | 24.06% |
| TSE:KEI | 75Outperform | CAD 326.93M | 11.61 | 9.33% | ― | 23.27% | -0.84% |
| TSE:HME | 75Outperform | CAD 215.83M | 6.83 | 38.81% | 6.91% | 1.90% | 4.58% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| TSE:ORC.B | 49Neutral | CAD 41.78M | -0.97 | -28.96% | 296.18% | -23.27% | -777.54% |
| TSE:SEI | 46Neutral | CAD 204.08M | -10.86 | -21.26% | ― | ― | ― |
| TSE:BNE | 42Neutral | CAD 237.33M | -112.54 | -0.41% | ― | 2.67% | 68.98% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:KEI | Kolibri Global Energy Inc. | 8.84 | 3.08 | 53.47% | |
| TSE:ALV | Alvopetro Energy | 9.41 | 3.73 | 65.76% | |
| TSE:HME | Hemisphere Energy | 2.31 | 0.39 | 20.01% | |
| TSE:SEI | Sintana Energy | 0.35 | -0.16 | -30.39% | |
| TSE:BNE | Bonterra Energy | 6.55 | 2.94 | 81.44% | |
| TSE:ORC.B | Orca Exploration Group Class B | 0.86 | 0.16 | 23.39% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: May 16, 2026