Want to see TSE:ALV full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Alvopetro Energy
(ALV)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$12.50
▲(26.14% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/08/26
Overall score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (exceptional margins and solid cash generation) and an attractive valuation (moderate P/E with a high dividend yield). Technicals add support with an established uptrend and neutral-to-positive momentum, while cyclical revenue/FCF volatility and a recent increase in leverage are the main constraints on the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
Very high gross, operating, and net margins indicate the company is converting production into substantial operating and shareholder earnings. This profitability provides resilience against cost pressure and supports continued investment, debt service, and potential shareholder returns over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Revenue and Free Cash Flow
Uneven historical revenue and free-cash-flow performance makes future results harder to forecast and increases dependence on operating conditions in the exploration and production cycle. This volatility can complicate investment planning and reduce the consistency of funds available for growth or distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Profitability
Very high gross, operating, and net margins indicate the company is converting production into substantial operating and shareholder earnings. This profitability provides resilience against cost pressure and supports continued investment, debt service, and potential shareholder returns over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Alvopetro Energy (ALV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$399.94M
Dividend Yield5.77%
Average Volume (3M)33.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.9
Beta (1Y)0.14
Revenue Growth28.63%
EPS Growth24.06%
CountryCA
Employees67
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.74
Shares Outstanding37,307,617
10 Day Avg. Volume40,991
30 Day Avg. Volume33,506
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.17
Price to Book (P/B)1.99
Price to Sales (P/S)3.46
P/FCF Ratio17.43
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.91
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$74.23M
Alvopetro Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Alvopetro Energy Ltd. is an energy company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. As of December 31, 2021, its asset base featured ownership stakes in the Caburé and Murucututu natural gas prop...
How the Company Makes Money
Alvopetro makes money primarily by producing and selling hydrocarbons (with a focus on natural gas) from its operated and non-operated interests in onshore Brazilian fields. Revenue is generated from the sale of produced volumes under commercial a...
Alvopetro Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 18, 2025
(Q4-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in production, reserve increases, and strategic expansion into new markets, demonstrating a positive outlook for 2025. While there were some financial challenges in Q4 2024, such as decreased operating netback and foreign exchange losses, the overall sentiment remains optimistic due to operational achievements and strategic initiatives.Positive Updates
Increased Production Capacity
Alvopetro's January and February production averaged 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 37% from Q4 2024 production.
Negative Updates
Decreased Q4 Operating Netback
Operating netback decreased by $4.10 from the previous quarter, primarily due to lower sales volumes and prices.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive
Negative
Increased Production Capacity
Alvopetro's January and February production averaged 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 37% from Q4 2024 production.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the Q4 2024 results webcast, Alvopetro provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. The company has increased its firm natural gas supply to Bahiagás by 33%, leading to an average production of 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day in January and February, up 37% from Q4 2024. The operating netback was reported at $55.09, with a margin of 86%, despite a 4% reduction in realized sales price and a 17% reduction in volumes. Alvopetro announced a dividend increase to US$0.10 per share for Q1 2025, reflecting higher sales volumes. The year-end reserve report showed a 65% increase in 1P reserves, totaling 4.5 million BOE, and a 5% increase in 2P reserves, totaling 9.1 million BOE. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with $13.2 million in working capital and no debt. Alvopetro has strategically entered the Canadian market, drilling two wells in the Mannville heavy oil fairway, aiming to capitalize on multi-zone reservoirs. The company projects a strong 2025 with a focus on maintaining a balanced capital allocation model, emphasizing both organic growth and stakeholder returns.Alvopetro Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 62.68M | 54.79M | 45.52M | 58.03M | 63.51M | 34.98M |
| Gross Profit | 41.38M | 35.99M | 32.46M | 53.83M | 48.47M | 20.13M |
| EBITDA | 46.16M | 41.05M | 28.11M | 41.96M | 46.28M | 22.16M |
| Net Income | 27.72M | 23.50M | 16.30M | 28.52M | 31.73M | 5.59M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 153.62M | 139.86M | 101.02M | 109.83M | 98.43M | 73.63M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 35.07M | 32.34M | 21.70M | 18.33M | 19.78M | 11.47M |
| Total Debt | 26.40M | 26.98M | 7.86M | 8.68M | 9.43M | 14.52M |
| Total Liabilities | 46.19M | 44.66M | 21.66M | 21.62M | 22.02M | 22.61M |
| Stockholders Equity | 107.44M | 95.20M | 79.36M | 88.21M | 76.41M | 51.02M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 18.56M | 10.88M | 19.60M | 20.25M | 22.74M | 19.78M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 49.68M | 41.52M | 34.90M | 47.70M | 47.53M | 24.29M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -30.78M | -33.40M | -11.69M | -27.75M | -22.77M | -3.98M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 635.45K | 2.83M | -17.99M | -21.74M | -16.55M | -13.74M |
Alvopetro Energy Technical Analysis
Positive
9.91
Price Trends
9.72
Positive
9.08
Positive
8.16
Positive
Market Momentum
0.32
Negative
68.33
Neutral
79.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.25, above the 50-day MA of 9.72, and above the 200-day MA of 8.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ALV.
Alvopetro Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | C$399.94M | 10.85 | 27.62% | 5.77% | 28.63% | 24.06% | |
69 Neutral | C$392.06M | 15.84 | 7.55% | 26.33% | 4.49% | 64.96% | |
56 Neutral | C$418.79M | 16.30 | 7.79% | ― | 15.04% | -61.00% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
49 Neutral | C$357.72M | 8.33 | 57.31% | 8.00% | 39.79% | ― | |
43 Neutral | C$246.98M | -14.14 | -6.71% | ― | ― | 45.08% |
* General Sector Average
TSE:ALV
Alvopetro Energy
11.09
4.91
79.30%
TSE:RECO
Reconnaissance Energy Africa
0.64
-0.06
-9.29%
TSE:GASX
NG Energy International
1.32
0.30
29.41%
TSE:JOY
Journey Energy
6.01
2.98
98.35%
TSE:RBY
Rubellite Energy Inc
4.40
2.23
102.76%
Alvopetro Energy Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Alvopetro Lifts August Sales to 3,124 boepd and Advances Brazilian Gas Drilling Program
Positive
Sep 3, 2026
Alvopetro Energy reported August sales volumes of 3,124 boepd, with 2,989 boepd from Brazil and 135 bopd from Canada, underpinned by strong natural gas output from the Caburé and Murucututu fields and associated NGLs. The company is also prog...
Business Operations and Strategy
Alvopetro Reports Initial 183-H2 Well Results at Murucututu Gas Field
Positive
Aug 31, 2026
Alvopetro Energy has completed drilling its 183-H2 well on the 100% owned Murucututu natural gas field in Brazil, reaching a total measured depth of 3,176.5 metres in an area previously assigned prospective resources by independent evaluator GLJ. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.