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InPlay Oil Corp. (IPO) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:IPO

InPlay Oil Corp.

(TSX:IPO)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:CAD 21.50â–²(5.08% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by improving operational and cash-flow performance but still-negative earnings and rising leverage. Technical indicators add support via a positive trend and momentum, while valuation is mixed—helped by a strong dividend yield but constrained by losses implied by the negative P/E.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthStrong TTM revenue growth indicates improved production, realized pricing, or a combination of both. A larger revenue base can support operating leverage and more internally funded development, although sustaining this improvement will remain important for durable earnings progress.
Negative Factors
Recent Net LossesPersistent recent net losses weaken the quality of the improved revenue and margin performance, while the reversal from solid profitability in 2022–2024 demonstrates meaningful earnings volatility. Continued losses could constrain reinvestment and shareholder returns over the next several quarters.

InPlay Oil Corp. (IPO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TSE:IPO+82.39%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 565.71M
Dividend Yield
5.28%
Average Volume (3M)
95.12K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-42.6
Beta (1Y)
0.07
Revenue Growth
78.72%
EPS Growth
-219.22%
Country
Canada
Employees
87
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

InPlay Oil Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

InPlay Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in Canada. The company produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It focuses on light oil asset bas...

How the Company Makes Money

InPlay Oil Corp. primarily makes money by producing and selling crude oil, natural gas, and associated natural gas liquids (if applicable) from its operated and non-operated wells. Revenue is generated when produced volumes are delivered into pipelin...

InPlay Oil Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operations and cash generation improved versus 2025: TTM revenue is up strongly, margins (gross profit and EBITDA) rebounded, operating cash flow is positive, and TTM free cash flow returned to positive. Offsetting this, profitability remains weak with net losses in TTM and 2025 (after profits in 2022–2024), and leverage has increased with debt-to-equity rising and ROE turning negative—leaving higher volatility and balance-sheet risk.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

49Neutral

Cash Flow

57Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue330.35M251.82M153.71M156.85M238.59M113.85M
Gross Profit129.49M31.03M85.54M104.14M156.91M74.82M
EBITDA137.52M112.13M70.43M90.31M135.36M124.16M
Net Income-13.46M-7.84M9.47M32.70M83.90M115.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12B1.10B476.25M472.96M430.91M406.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.61M000-320.00K-578.00K
Total Debt257.85M225.97M66.99M51.29M29.53M79.70M
Total Liabilities785.94M734.35M185.53M178.60M157.85M217.12M
Stockholders Equity339.05M370.06M290.73M294.35M273.06M189.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.46M-171.60M7.81M1.22M45.29M4.98M
Operating Cash Flow96.02M83.65M70.88M86.01M122.89M38.41M
Investing Cash Flow-62.43M-241.86M-69.66M-87.93M-70.36M-63.93M
Financing Cash Flow-31.97M158.21M-1.22M1.92M-52.53M25.52M

InPlay Oil Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price20.46

Price Trends

50DMA17.99Positive
100DMA16.49Positive
200DMA16.12Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.91Negative
RSI74.81Negative
STOCH73.29Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IPO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.11, above the 50-day MA of 17.99, and above the 200-day MA of 16.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.81 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IPO.

InPlay Oil Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

TSE:IPO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:JOYTSE:JOY69NeutralCAD 377.89M14.767.55%―4.49%64.96%
TSE:PRQTSE:PRQ67NeutralCAD 262.00M-112.90-0.66%6.86%25.52%-126.16%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
TSE:TALTSE:TAL64NeutralCAD 533.79M25.392.93%―-27.27%-79.93%
TSE:IPOTSE:IPO60NeutralCAD 565.71M-42.63-3.81%5.28%78.72%-219.22%
TSE:ORC.BTSE:ORC.B49NeutralCAD 40.52M-0.89-28.96%318.40%-23.27%-777.54%
TSE:PNETSE:PNE47NeutralCAD 186.57M-25.12-27.35%2.88%-7.67%60.90%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TSE:IPOTSE:PNETSE:PRQTSE:TALTSE:JOYTSE:ORC.BDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:IPO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:IPOInPlay Oil20.469.0479.11%
TSE:PNEPine Cliff Energy Ltd.0.52-0.23-30.85%
TSE:PRQPetrus Resources1.750.095.68%
TSE:TALPetro Tal Corp0.58-0.08-12.12%
TSE:JOYJourney Energy (OTC)5.601.7545.45%
TSE:ORC.BOrca Exploration Group Class B0.800.1014.12%

InPlay Oil Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

InPlay Oil Confirms September Monthly Dividend and Highlights Light Oil Focus

Positive
Sep 1, 2026

InPlay Oil Corp., a junior oil and gas producer focused on light oil assets in Alberta, operates a portfolio of long-life, low-decline properties with development and enhanced recovery upside, as well as exploratory undeveloped lands. The company&#82...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

InPlay Oil Closes Accretive $54 Million Acquisition to Boost Production and Inventory

Positive
Aug 21, 2026

InPlay Oil Corp. has closed its previously announced $54.25 million cash acquisition of a private oil and gas producer, significantly expanding its Belly River output and total corporate production. The deal adds about 1,400 boe/d of largely light oi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026