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TeraGo Inc. (TGO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TGO

TeraGo Inc.

(TSX:TGO)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:CAD 1.50▲(4.17% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/13/26

The score is primarily constrained by severe balance-sheet weakness, persistent losses, declining revenue, and negative cash-flow trends. Improving operating metrics and constructive management commentary provide some support, while technical momentum and valuation remain weak.

Positive Factors
Strategic spectrum positionTERAGO’s national millimeter wave spectrum portfolio is a differentiated infrastructure asset already deployed for enterprise customers. The planned flexible-use transition could expand applications into private 5G, mobility, satellite and advanced fixed wireless, supporting a broader long-term addressable market.
Negative Factors
Material revenue decline and lossesThe sharp multi-year revenue contraction and deeply negative operating and net margins show that the business has not yet converted its connectivity and managed-service offering into sustainable profitability. Continued losses constrain reinvestment and leave future improvement dependent on a successful recovery.

TeraGo Inc. (TGO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175%TSE:TGO+84.62%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 62.46M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
13.11K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.11
Revenue Growth
-3.69%
EPS Growth
26.32%
Country
Canada
Employees
93
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

TeraGo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TeraGo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides connectivity services for businesses in Canada. The company owns and operates a carrier-grade multi-protocol label switching enabled wireline and fixed wireless, fiber-based, and Internet protocol...

TeraGo Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-10.00%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Management highlighted improving adjusted EBITDA, expanding margins, stronger operating cash flow, lower net losses, higher ARPA, positive 2026 bookings, a growing enterprise pipeline, and a strategic millimeter wave spectrum position. These positives were tempered by a year-over-year revenue decline, lower backlog MRR, a marginal quarterly increase in churn, continued net losses, and longer deployment timelines.

Positive Updates

ARPA Growth Driven by Larger Enterprise Customers
Average revenue per account increased 4.6% year over year to CAD 1,298 in Q3 2026 from CAD 1,241, reflecting the focus on mid-market and larger enterprise customers, multi-location organizations, and increasing wallet share with existing customers.

Negative Updates

Quarterly Revenue Declined
Q3 2026 total revenue was CAD 6.2 million, down from CAD 6.4 million in the same period last year. Management attributed the decrease primarily to the continuing impact of lower 2025 bookings transitioning out in 2026 and the deliberate exit from unprofitable accounts, partially offset by revenue from new customers.

Company Guidance

Management said revenue has been “flattish or stabilized,” is “at that cusp of- turning that corner” “towards the end of this year and going into 2027,” and “should see that revenue increasing as we go forward”; “year-to-date bookings in 2026 are much higher than last year,” net bookings are “significantly positive,” and “Q2, Q3, we're kind of bottoming out where we are, and it's going to go to the upward trajectory.” Management believes ARPA will “continue to increase” after rising 4.6% to CAD 1,298 in Q3 2026 from CAD 1,241, while churn was 1.1% versus 1% and held flat at 1% for the first nine months, and backlog MRR was CAD 71,131 versus CAD 95,832. As it heads into 2027, TERAGO plans to convert larger opportunities into signed business, bring customers into service quickly, grow with mid-market enterprise customers, maintain cost discipline, and prepare for the transition of its spectrum to flexible use and the auction scheduled for January 2028.

TeraGo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Severe financial weakness: revenue and profitability have declined, equity is negative, leverage is extreme, and operating and free cash flow are under pressure. Positive EBITDA and a meaningful asset base provide limited support.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

10Very Negative

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.98M25.36M26.16M26.05M27.62M43.30M
Gross Profit4.69M9.41M19.18M19.10M20.18M32.16M
EBITDA2.73M1.15M2.79M496.00K603.00K3.28M
Net Income-15.93M-16.77M-13.27M-13.19M-11.57M-15.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.12M58.97M53.99M53.50M55.38M93.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.59M12.65M4.42M4.64M7.38M5.48M
Total Debt50.00M48.42M44.33M31.93M20.50M35.91M
Total Liabilities54.15M53.37M49.07M36.16M25.78M52.97M
Stockholders Equity-1.03M5.60M4.92M17.33M29.60M40.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.64M-5.16M1.48M-5.45M-4.96M1.94M
Operating Cash Flow-4.65M-1.30M5.01M501.00K1.25M9.32M
Investing Cash Flow-2.22M-2.58M-3.52M-5.02M18.82M-7.75M
Financing Cash Flow11.73M12.28M-1.90M2.69M-19.34M-1.95M

TeraGo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price1.44

Price Trends

50DMA1.59Positive
100DMA1.48Positive
200DMA1.24Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI44.77Neutral
STOCH44.58Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TGO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.80, below the 50-day MA of 1.59, and above the 200-day MA of 1.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:TGO.

TeraGo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

TSE:TGO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:QBR.ATSE:QBR.A76OutperformCAD 17.25B17.2436.75%2.03%3.70%25.04%
TSE:BCETSE:BCE63NeutralCAD 28.41B11.8110.82%5.72%1.81%-61.27%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
TSE:CCATSE:CCA55NeutralCAD 2.23B-2.02-43.35%7.46%-4.04%-443.15%
TSE:RCI.BTSE:RCI.B53NeutralCAD 25.43B27.264.97%4.22%8.04%-86.72%
TSE:TTSE:T49NeutralCAD 19.33B-9.25-14.32%11.88%-1.41%-269.06%
TSE:TGOTSE:TGO46NeutralCAD 62.46M-3.04-2436.24%―-3.69%26.32%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%TSE:TGOTSE:BCETSE:RCI.BTSE:TTSE:QBR.ATSE:CCADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:TGO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:TGOTeraGo Inc.1.440.6480.00%
TSE:BCEBce Inc30.60-0.13-0.41%
TSE:RCI.BRogers Communication47.44-4.68-8.98%
TSE:TTelus Corp12.14-6.28-34.10%
TSE:QBR.AQuebecor Inc Cl A MV80.0028.2954.70%
TSE:CCACogeco Communications53.20-8.11-13.23%

TeraGo Inc. Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures

TERAGO Announces Conference Call for Third-Quarter 2026 Results

Neutral
Nov 2, 2026

TERAGO Inc. is a Canadian provider of managed network and security services for businesses. Its portfolio includes private 5G wireless networks, fixed wireless access, fiber and cable connectivity, and SD-WAN solutions, with a focus on secure, reliab...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026