Want to see TSE:SIA full AI Analyst Report?
Sienna Senior Living (SIA) AI Stock Analysis
Top Page
Sienna Senior Living
(TSX:SIA)
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and steady revenue growth, offset by constrained financial flexibility from elevated leverage and thin/volatile free cash flow. Technical signals are currently weak (below key moving averages with negative MACD/low RSI), while valuation is mixed—an attractive dividend yield is tempered by a high P/E.
Sienna Senior Living (SIA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
- Market Cap
- CAD 2.18B
- Dividend Yield
- 4.76%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 445.48K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 37.8
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.51
- Revenue Growth
- 16.11%
- EPS Growth
- 31.75%
- Country
- Canada
- Employees
- 15,000
- Sector
- Healthcare
- Sector Strength
- 51
- Industry
- Medical - Care Facilities
Sienna Senior Living Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Sienna Senior Living Inc. delivers senior living and long-term care (LTC) services throughout Canada, operating primarily through its Retirement and LTC divisions. The company provides a diverse array of elder care options, such as independent suppor...
How the Company Makes Money
Sienna Senior Living makes money primarily by operating seniors living communities and earning resident and government-funded care revenue. In its retirement segment, revenue is generated mainly from monthly fees paid by residents for suites/units, m...
Sienna Senior Living Earnings Call Summary
The call emphasized strong operational and financial momentum: double-digit revenue and NOI growth in key segments, robust FFO/AFFO gains, successful acquisitions/developments and solid liquidity. Operational metrics (occupancy, optimization portfolio performance, team engagement) were highlighted as durable strengths. The principal challenges were typical of a growth phase—timing/scale of development projects, cap-rate compression making acquisitions pricier, higher maintenance capex, and some uncertainty around cash taxes and future supply. Overall, the positives (sizable asset additions, strong organic growth, healthy balance sheet and investor demand) substantially outweigh the manageable risks presented.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Sienna guided 2026 to continued organic growth, forecasting same‑property NOI growth of >10% in Retirement and low‑single‑digit growth in Long‑Term Care, driven by expected rental growth of ~4%, continued care‑revenue gains and occupancy around 95% (Q4 2025 same‑property occupancy 94.7%; January 95.2%; average monthly ≥95% since September); the company plans to sustain heavy acquisition/development activity after adding >$800M of assets and ~1,800 beds/suites in 2025 (Q4 additions $193M; $79M added YTD 2026; Bartlett ~$59.4M), to progress the Glen Rouge Toronto redevelopment (448 beds; ~$250M cost; 7.5–8% development yield; completion ~2030) and to continue optimizing underperforming assets (optimization NOI +22.1% YoY in Q4; occupancy +790 bps YoY; optimization margins ~24% aiming toward same‑property margins). Management reiterated financial flexibility with >$500M liquidity and $1.5B unencumbered assets, recent issuance of $250M unsecured debentures and repayment of $175M, Q4 ATM proceeds of ~ $101M (ATM renewed for $150M), and noted 2025 operating/financial anchors including Q4 revenue +14.2% to $278.4M, Q4 same‑property NOI +10.1% to $47.4M (Retirement +15.4%, LTC +5.6%), 2025 OFFO +27.1% and AFFO +25.7% (per‑share OFFO +5.8%, AFFO +4.7%), Q4 OFFO $34.2M (+24%), Q4 AFFO $27.9M (+19.8%), Q4 AFFO payout 80.7% (vs 83.1% prior), and a record low company turnover of ~19% in 2025.
Sienna Senior Living Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income statement trends are improving (TTM revenue ~1.08B, ~3.2% growth; net margin ~4.8% and EBITDA margin ~18%), but financial strength is held back by elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.49) and weak/volatile free cash flow (TTM FCF ~11M; ~9% of net income, with prior volatility including negative FCF in 2025).
Income Statement
72PositiveBalance Sheet
57NeutralCash Flow
45Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.08B | 1.00B | 893.16M | 785.37M | 718.59M | 668.49M |
| Gross Profit | 151.63M | 140.35M | 189.14M | 146.31M | 138.33M | 134.92M |
| EBITDA | 195.72M | 166.38M | 154.29M | 115.39M | 105.59M | 105.92M |
| Net Income | 52.08M | 44.53M | 38.40M | 7.04M | 10.67M | 20.65M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.78B | 2.54B | 1.86B | 1.70B | 1.68B | 1.61B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 220.74M | 119.66M | 127.20M | 24.40M | 38.05M | 29.05M |
| Total Debt | 1.42B | 1.43B | 1.01B | 1.01B | 977.96M | 950.28M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.82B | 1.82B | 1.38B | 1.32B | 1.25B | 1.20B |
| Stockholders Equity | 955.17M | 719.53M | 480.72M | 373.77M | 434.69M | 405.85M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 11.24M | -42.86M | 11.89M | 56.21M | 49.64M | 58.68M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 123.62M | 94.75M | 159.91M | 117.99M | 105.28M | 98.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -422.35M | -484.09M | -126.47M | -75.83M | -135.69M | -18.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 496.27M | 381.80M | 69.35M | -55.81M | 39.41M | -147.09M |
Sienna Senior Living Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SIA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.73, below the 50-day MA of 20.11, and below the 200-day MA of 21.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SIA.
Sienna Senior Living Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
TSE:CRRX74Outperform
TSE:EXE57Neutral- TSE:SIA54Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:CRRX | 74Outperform | CAD 213.86M | 7.86 | 25.79% | 2.43% | 2.96% | ― |
| TSE:EXE | 57Neutral | CAD 2.53B | 20.13 | 36.33% | 1.96% | 31.14% | 34.48% |
| TSE:SIA | 54Neutral | CAD 2.18B | 37.83 | 6.58% | 4.76% | 16.11% | 31.75% |
| Sector * | 51Neutral | $7.86B | -0.30 | -43.30% | 2.27% | 22.53% | -2.21% |
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:SIA | Sienna Senior Living | 19.67 | 1.39 | 7.57% | |
| TSE:CRRX | Carerx Corporation | 3.37 | -0.05 | -1.40% | |
| TSE:EXE | Extendicare Inc. | 26.57 | 10.57 | 66.03% |
Sienna Senior Living Corporate Events
Sienna Senior Living to Acquire Brighton Retirement Residence in Ontario Expansion Push
PositiveSienna Senior Living Inc. is expanding its Ontario footprint with the planned acquisition of Brighton Retirement & Active Living, a 165-suite retirement residence in Brighton, about 150 kilometres east of Toronto. The property includes 124 nearly...
Sienna Senior Living Sets Date for Q3 2026 Results and Investor Call
PositiveSienna Senior Living Inc. will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after markets close on November 12, 2026, and will follow with a conference call for investors on November 13, 2026, led by President and CEO Nitin Jain and CFO David Hun...
Sienna Senior Living Declares August Dividend and Promotes DRIP
PositiveSienna Senior Living Inc., a TSX-listed Canadian operator of senior living communities, offers independent and assisted living, memory care under its Aspira brand, long-term care, and specialized support programs. With approximately 15,500 employees,...
CI Global Asset Management Cuts Risk Ratings on Three Alternative Funds, Raises One Climate Strategy
NeutralCI Global Asset Management has recalibrated the risk ratings of four of its investment funds, lowering the classifications for three alternative strategies and one climate-focused equity fund under the Canadian Securities Administrators’ mandat...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026