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CareRx (CRRX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CRRX

CareRx

(TSX:CRRX)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:CAD 3.50â–²(3.86% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (return to profitability, strong revenue growth, and solid free-cash-flow conversion) and supportive valuation (low P/E plus dividend yield). Technicals are moderately positive but not fully aligned with the long-term trend (below the 200-day average). The latest earnings call adds some near-term risk due to the identified 2026 funding headwind and softer liquidity metrics, partially offset by the 3,000-bed onboarding catalyst and dividend increase.

Positive Factors
Profitable growth and cash generationThe return to profitability alongside strong revenue growth indicates a materially improved earnings base. Positive free cash flow and high cash conversion provide internal funding for operations, debt service, and selective growth, supporting resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin operating marginsAlthough CareRx is profitable, its modest operating margins leave limited protection if costs rise or volumes soften. Small changes in reimbursement, service efficiency, or operating expenses can therefore produce disproportionate effects on net income and cash generation.

CareRx (CRRX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%TSE:CRRX-5.47%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 213.76M
Dividend Yield
2.43%
Average Volume (3M)
32.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.9
Beta (1Y)
0.07
Revenue Growth
2.96%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Canada
Employees
1,483
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Care Facilities

CareRx Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CareRx Corporation, operating with its subsidiaries, specializes in delivering tailored pharmaceutical services to Canada's senior demographic. The company manages a vast network of medication dispensing facilities, which are responsible for providin...

CareRx Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-0.79%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mix of positive operational and commercial progress (modest revenue and bed growth, a material ~3,000-bed contract win, dividend increase, ongoing efficiency actions and clinical/brand recognition) alongside near-term financial headwinds (a ~$2.0M funding hit from Ontario ward-bed changes, lower net income, slight margin compression, reduced quarter-end cash and higher net debt). Management expects the 3,000-bed win to be accretive over time and recovery of the ward-bed impact only after redevelopment in 2027. Overall the company shows constructive operational momentum but faces identifiable short-term funding and liquidity pressures.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Bed Growth
Q2 revenue $93.6M vs $91.4M in Q2 2025, up ~2.4% YoY; average beds serviced 91,719 vs 90,048 in Q2 2025, up ~1.9% (1,671 net beds).

Negative Updates

Ontario Ward Bed Funding Change
Change in funding for certain unoccupied ward beds effective April 1, 2026; management expects a full-year top-line impact of approximately $2.0M, with roughly $667K of the impact felt in Q2; recovery contingent on redevelopment of ward beds and not expected to be fully realized until late 2027.

Company Guidance

Management guided that the Ontario ward‑bed funding change will be a roughly $2.0M headwind for 2026 (about $667k hit was realized in Q2), with the company expecting to recapture that revenue once ward rooms are redeveloped—likely by late 2027; they also confirmed semaglutide generic supply/margin benefits are expected to materialize in 2027. They will onboard approximately 3,000 retirement beds in Q3 (all onboarding to complete within the quarter, with the full revenue/EBITDA benefit showing in Q4) and remain focused on an organic target of 6,000–8,000 bed additions by year‑end (about halfway to the low end today). Key Q2 metrics cited alongside this guidance: revenue $93.6M (vs. $91.4M LY), adjusted EBITDA $8.0M (margin 8.6% vs. 8.8% LY), net income ≈ $0.4M (vs. $0.6M LY), cash from operations $3.7M, cash $9.6M, net debt $29.1M (net debt/adjusted EBITDA 0.9x), and a 10% dividend increase to $0.022/share (payable Oct 8; $1.3M of dividends paid subsequent).

CareRx Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a clear turn to profitability with strong TTM revenue growth (58.2%) and positive net margin (7.2%), supported by solid free cash flow ($23.8M) and healthy cash conversion (~84% of net income). Balance sheet leverage has improved (debt-to-equity ~0.71 vs. much higher in 2022), but operating leverage remains limited with thin EBIT margin (3.2%) and some potential variability in cash generation.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

77Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue376.80M370.24M366.71M370.75M381.73M262.63M
Gross Profit95.15M92.63M108.06M84.72M109.93M75.28M
EBITDA29.64M28.53M23.90M24.65M-610.00K9.01M
Net Income26.87M26.13M-4.50M-5.41M-34.35M-22.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets243.16M253.02M223.54M231.89M264.54M282.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.05M14.40M9.08M7.03M28.37M35.63M
Total Debt76.33M77.92M82.63M97.86M135.22M125.57M
Total Liabilities133.56M143.51M139.31M150.37M200.08M200.53M
Stockholders Equity109.60M109.50M84.23M81.53M64.46M82.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.80M21.95M29.88M18.68M8.72M153.00K
Operating Cash Flow27.40M27.54M37.99M27.38M22.33M7.27M
Investing Cash Flow-9.00M-8.26M-7.92M-12.31M-16.60M-93.18M
Financing Cash Flow-17.52M-14.44M-28.02M-36.40M-12.99M101.91M

CareRx Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3.37

Price Trends

50DMA3.24Positive
100DMA3.28Positive
200DMA3.46Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.03Negative
RSI58.83Neutral
STOCH80.75Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CRRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.30, above the 50-day MA of 3.24, and below the 200-day MA of 3.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CRRX.

CareRx Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

TSE:CRRX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:CRRXTSE:CRRX72OutperformCAD 213.86M7.8625.79%2.43%2.96%―
TSE:NLHTSE:NLH71OutperformCAD 43.66M23.546.95%―18.35%1021.05%
TSE:DRTSE:DR62NeutralCAD 237.42M8.2045.36%2.45%2.64%-56.04%
TSE:WELLTSE:WELL62NeutralCAD 1.07B165.220.44%―38.54%―
TSE:EXETSE:EXE57NeutralCAD 2.53B20.1336.33%1.96%31.14%34.48%
TSE:SIATSE:SIA56NeutralCAD 2.18B37.836.58%4.76%16.11%31.75%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TSE:CRRXTSE:EXETSE:NLHTSE:SIATSE:DRTSE:WELLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:CRRX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:CRRXCarerx Corporation3.37-0.05-1.40%
TSE:EXEExtendicare Inc.26.5710.5766.03%
TSE:NLHNova Leap Health0.500.2278.57%
TSE:SIASienna Senior Living19.671.397.57%
TSE:DRMedical Facilities Corp14.680.563.95%
TSE:WELLWell Health Technologies4.18-0.98-18.99%

CareRx Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

CareRx Sets November 5 Call to Discuss Q3 2026 Results

Neutral
Oct 22, 2026

CareRx Corporation said it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results for the period ended September 30, 2026, after markets close on November 4, before hosting a conference call the following morning at 8:30 a.m. ET. The webcast, which wi...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

CareRx Secures Larger, More Flexible Credit Facility with National Bank of Canada

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

CareRx Corporation has entered into a new credit agreement with National Bank of Canada that replaces its existing credit facility and significantly expands its access to capital. The arrangement is designed to support continued growth in its pharmac...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026