tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:REI.UN)
TSX:REI.UN

RioCan Real Estate Investment (REI.UN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
858 Followers

Top Page

TS

RioCan Real Estate Investment

(TSX:REI.UN)

73Outperform
RioCan's strong financial performance, highlighted by robust profitability and improved cash flows, is the primary driver of its stock score. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate events further enhance its outlook. However, technical indicators suggest cautious optimism due to potential overbought conditions. The attractive valuation and dividend yield provide additional support, positioning RioCan well for sustained growth despite economic challenges.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
More than 50% of 2025 debt maturities have already been addressed, with significant repayments and attractive refinancing options.
Retail Fundamentals
Retail fundamentals are strong, and SP-NOI growth profile is expected to improve.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
The bankruptcy court has allowed HBC to stop paying rent to RioCan, impacting RioCan's financials.
Portfolio Impact
RioCan has significant exposure to Hudson's Bay Co., which is undergoing full liquidation, leading to a negative impact on RioCan's portfolio and cash flow.
Revenue Generation
Re-tenanting large spaces due to HBC's exit could take an extended period and be costly, impacting RioCan's revenue.

RioCan Real Estate Investment (REI.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

RioCan Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRioCan is one of Canada's largest real estate investment trusts. RioCan owns, manages and develops retail-focused, increasingly mixed-use properties located in prime, high-density transit-oriented areas where Canadians want to shop, live and work. As at September 30, 2020, our portfolio is comprised of 221 properties with an aggregate net leasable area of approximately 38.4 million square feet (at RioCan's interest) including office, residential rental and 16 development properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyRioCan makes money through the rental income generated from its diverse portfolio of retail and mixed-use properties. The primary revenue stream comes from leasing retail space to a variety of tenants, including national and international retailers, supermarkets, and service providers. Additionally, RioCan generates income from its residential properties through leasing units to tenants, contributing to its revenue diversification efforts. The company also engages in property development, creating new commercial and residential spaces, which can be sold or leased to generate additional revenue. Strategic partnerships with other real estate developers and institutional investors further enhance its financial performance, allowing for shared investment risks and expanded development capabilities.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RioCan Real Estate Investment shows strong profitability with improved margins and revenue growth. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged, typical for a REIT, but shows a solid equity base. Cash flow generation is improving, yet historical volatility suggests a need for sustained cash management.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 60.4% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 37.5% TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth was robust at 9.1% TTM, signaling positive business expansion. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.97, showing moderate leverage typical for REITs. Return on equity is solid at 6.3% TTM, although it could be enhanced further. The equity ratio of 48.8% TTM suggests a balanced capital structure, though high debt levels pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 3722% TTM, although previous years showed volatility. Operating cash flow covers net income by 0.81 times, indicating stable cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio improved significantly, yet consistent cash flow generation remains a challenge.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.24B1.16B1.21B1.18B1.14B
Gross Profit
740.95M748.80M700.49M689.86M670.09M
EBIT
740.95M679.19M669.30M671.31M648.15M
EBITDA
731.66M237.02M674.08M675.34M652.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
473.46M38.80M236.77M598.39M-64.78M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
190.24M128.44M86.23M77.76M238.46M
Total Assets
15.47B14.84B15.10B15.18B15.27B
Total Debt
7.35B6.90B6.78B6.71B6.97B
Net Debt
7.16B6.77B6.69B6.63B6.73B
Total Liabilities
7.91B7.40B7.37B7.27B7.53B
Stockholders Equity
7.56B7.44B7.73B7.91B7.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
81.34M-5.48M113.15M26.52M35.95M
Operating Cash Flow
378.28M385.52M506.12M490.40M552.58M
Investing Cash Flow
-360.77M-200.15M-79.69M94.39M-469.34M
Financing Cash Flow
48.49M-147.37M-417.97M-745.49M61.69M

RioCan Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.02
Price Trends
50DMA
17.56
Negative
100DMA
17.85
Negative
200DMA
18.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
48.22
Neutral
STOCH
57.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:REI.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.81, below the 50-day MA of 17.56, and below the 200-day MA of 18.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:REI.UN.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$3.58B8.1311.30%6.15%4.69%88.66%
76
Outperform
C$412.99M16.654.61%7.49%5.99%20.38%
76
Outperform
C$4.34B19.174.50%7.30%9.46%-42.77%
73
Outperform
$5.14B10.976.34%6.53%11.62%1120.60%
72
Outperform
C$3.68B17.985.20%5.02%6.55%
69
Neutral
C$1.45B25.132.99%5.95%22.60%-48.92%
60
Neutral
$2.95B11.320.26%8508.24%6.34%-14.00%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
17.02
0.44
2.63%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
14.86
2.17
17.10%
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
17.19
2.87
20.04%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
3.74
0.52
16.15%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.39
4.48
21.43%
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
14.16
1.48
11.67%

RioCan Real Estate Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite the challenges presented by the HBC insolvency and the necessary revision of FFO guidance, RioCan delivered strong operational performance with record-high occupancy rates and NOI growth. The company successfully executed asset sales and maintained a strong balance sheet, which supports their ability to navigate through the current macroeconomic volatility.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
RioCan achieved record-breaking operational results with committed occupancy at a record high of 98%, retail committed occupancy at 98.7%, and double-digit blended and new leasing spreads for the fifth consecutive quarter at 17.5% and 18.3% respectively.
Residential Rental NOI Growth
RioCan Living's residential rental operations generated $7.5 million in NOI, an 18% increase over the same period last year.
Successful Asset Dispositions
Completed $16.7 million in dispositions including the sale of a Cineplex anchor property and post quarter-end, the sale of a less productive portion of an open-air retail site in Quebec for $37.5 million.
Debt Reduction and Strong Balance Sheet
Improved unsecured debt to total debt ratio to 58.6% and increased unencumbered asset pool by $605 million to $8.8 billion, maintaining $1.4 billion of liquidity.
FFO Per Unit Growth
FFO per unit increased by 9% to $0.49 compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
Negative Updates
Hudson's Bay Company Insolvency Impact
HBC's CCAA filing led to a $209 million write-down of RioCan's investment in the joint venture, impacting net income.
Revised FFO Guidance
Revised FFO guidance for 2025 from $1.89-$1.92 per unit to $1.85-$1.88 per unit due to HBC's insolvency and related impacts.
Company Guidance
During the RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust's first quarter 2025 conference call, significant guidance was provided about the company's financial outlook and strategic initiatives. The company revised its 2025 funds from operations (FFO) guidance from $1.89-$1.92 per unit to $1.85-$1.88 per unit, primarily due to the anticipated impact of the Hudson's Bay Company (HBC) insolvency proceedings. Despite these challenges, RioCan's core retail portfolio demonstrated strong performance, with a committed occupancy rate of 98% and a commercial same-property net operating income (NOI) growth of 3.6%. The call detailed the company's strategy to divest its interests in RioCan Living's residential rental assets within the next 12 to 24 months, with proceeds aimed at reducing debt and supporting the NCIB program. RioCan also highlighted a strategic focus on maintaining strong free cash flow and enhancing its balance sheet, aiming to achieve an unsecured debt to total debt ratio of 60% by the end of the year.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
RioCan Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results Amid Economic Challenges
Positive
May 6, 2025

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust reported strong first-quarter results for 2025, with significant leasing spreads and same property NOI growth despite global economic volatility. The company achieved a 96% completion rate for condominium interim closings and is proceeding with the sale of four additional assets as part of its monetization strategy. Despite a net loss per unit due to valuation losses in its joint venture with HBC, RioCan’s financial position remains robust, supported by a strong balance sheet and liquidity. The company has revised its FFO per unit guidance for 2025, maintaining a focus on capital management and growth.

Spark’s Take on TSE:REI.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:REI.UN is a Outperform.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust shows strong profitability with improving financials. Despite potential cost pressures, the company maintains a solid balance sheet and cash flow improvements. Technical indicators suggest caution, but the attractive valuation and positive earnings call outlook are favorable. Recent corporate events further strengthen its financial position, contributing positively to the overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:REI.UN stock, click here.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
RioCan Addresses Impact of Hudson’s Bay CCAA Filing
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust has provided an update regarding its exposure to Hudson’s Bay Company’s recent CCAA filing. As a landlord and partner in the RioCan-HBC Joint Venture, RioCan is committed to protecting its stakeholders’ interests by exploring all business and legal options. The company aims to leverage its leasing and development expertise to safeguard the value of its properties, which include prime real estate in major Canadian markets. Despite the challenges posed by HBC’s restructuring, RioCan’s strong core business and financial position enable it to navigate the situation effectively.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
RioCan Reports Robust 2024 Financial Results and Distribution Increase
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and year-end 2024, highlighted by a 4.3% increase in monthly distribution per unit. The company achieved record occupancy rates and leasing spreads, and saw improved financial metrics such as Adjusted Debt to Adjusted EBITDA. The positive results were driven by strong operational performance and strategic capital management, positioning RioCan well to benefit from favorable market conditions.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
RioCan Completes $550 Million Debenture Issuance to Strengthen Financial Position
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust has successfully completed a $550 million issuance of senior unsecured debentures in two series, Series AN and Series AO. The proceeds from this issuance will be used to repay existing debts and for general business purposes, with the debentures receiving a credit rating of BBB with a stable trend, indicating a solid financial standing for the Trust.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.