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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:PMZ.UN)
:PMZ.UN
Canadian Market

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:PMZ.UN)

73Outperform
Primaris REIT demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and operational efficiency. The positive guidance and strategic acquisitions provide growth potential, while a solid dividend yield enhances its appeal to investors. However, challenges such as high interest rates and a mixed technical outlook moderate the overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The acquisition of Les Galeries de la Capitale is consistent with management’s strategy to acquire higher quality malls that are dominant in their trade area and achieve above average sales.
Financial Structure
Primaris differentiates itself with a more conservative financial structure with both lower leverage and payout ratio.
Investment Recommendation
Analyst recommends Primaris as a BUY, raising the target price due to a higher NAV estimate and greater confidence in continued occupancy improvement.
Negative Factors
Market Valuation
Primaris currently trades at an 8.9% implied cap rate, or a 29.1% discount to NAV estimate, offering a potential value opportunity.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust (PMZ.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimaris properties including all of H&R REIT's enclosed malls comprises real estate properties. The assets are located in Canada. Primaris properties including all of H&R REIT's enclosed malls(TSX:PMZ.UN) operates independently of H&R Real Estate Investment Trust as of December 31, 2021.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimaris Real Estate Investment Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing retail spaces in its shopping centers to a wide range of tenants. Rental income is the core revenue stream, consisting of base rent and additional charges such as property taxes, insurance, and maintenance fees passed on to tenants. The company benefits from long-term lease agreements, providing stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, Primaris may enhance earnings through property management fees and strategic property development or redevelopment projects that increase the value and appeal of its retail assets. Partnerships with key retailers and a diversified tenant mix contribute significantly to its revenue stability and growth potential.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is well-capitalized, though rising debt levels warrant attention. While profitability has faced some pressure in TTM, the company's strong cash flow generation provides a buffer against potential financial challenges. Overall, the financial statements reflect a stable yet cautious outlook.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's revenue has shown a consistent growth trend with a 32% increase from 2023 to 2024 and an 8% rise from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins are strong, consistently above 50%, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margin has declined in TTM, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy but slightly decreasing, suggesting a need to control operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 in TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is consistently above 45%, demonstrating a strong capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels pose a risk if revenue growth slows. Return on equity has decreased in TTM, implying reduced profitability for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, with a healthy free cash flow margin. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, significant investing cash outflows in TTM could impact future liquidity. The company has managed to grow free cash flow despite fluctuations in net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
504.62M410.97M380.06M253.98M270.23M
Gross Profit
292.04M233.63M211.79M141.59M128.47M
EBIT
253.70M203.51M185.95M130.92M124.02M
EBITDA
164.61M206.87M187.81M130.92M124.02M
Net Income Common Stockholders
79.47M102.27M-12.08M354.57M-574.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
114.77M44.32M10.95M5.64M15.01M
Total Assets
4.27B3.90B3.20B3.25B2.13B
Total Debt
1.71B1.48B1.01B558.42M301.40M
Net Debt
1.70B1.44B996.56M552.78M286.39M
Total Liabilities
2.11B1.80B1.11B1.06B1.13B
Stockholders Equity
2.16B2.10B2.09B2.19B1.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
151.57M163.35M163.39M-101.04M213.63M
Operating Cash Flow
168.32M166.37M164.31M-76.17M278.85M
Investing Cash Flow
-369.25M-467.52M-112.61M-46.09M-79.90M
Financing Cash Flow
171.38M334.52M-46.38M112.89M-191.95M

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.25
Price Trends
50DMA
14.69
Negative
100DMA
14.78
Negative
200DMA
14.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
47.77
Neutral
STOCH
47.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PMZ.UN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.09, below the 50-day MA of 14.69, and below the 200-day MA of 14.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:PMZ.UN.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$4.34B19.174.50%7.25%9.46%-42.77%
73
Outperform
C$1.45B19.203.73%5.94%22.15%-29.29%
72
Outperform
C$2.76B-0.22%6.01%8.82%92.79%
60
Neutral
$2.78B11.390.16%8531.54%5.92%-14.67%
56
Neutral
C$2.61B-2.29%6.04%-6.92%-296.31%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
14.24
1.21
9.29%
RIOCF
RioCan Real Estate Investment
12.50
0.15
1.21%
TSE:CRR.UN
Crombie Real Estate ate
14.97
2.93
24.34%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
9.97
1.40
16.34%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.47
4.20
19.75%
ARESF
Artis Real Estate Investment
5.34
1.01
23.33%

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -0.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Primaris REIT with strong growth in FFO, strategic acquisitions enhancing the portfolio, and robust leasing activity. Despite the challenge with Comark and high interest rates, the overall performance and future prospects remain strong.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in FFO and Occupancy
FFO per unit increased by 6.5% in 2024, with committed occupancy approaching 96% and an improvement in recovery ratios.
Significant Acquisitions
Primaris acquired Oshawa Centre and a 50% interest in Southgate Centre, enhancing their portfolio and increasing same-store sales productivity to $749 per square foot.
Robust Leasing Activity
Leasing activity included 87 lease renewals with a spread of 5.3% and 31 new deals during the quarter. The conversion of leases with preferred rental terms is positively impacting NOI.
Financial Stability and Growth
FFO per unit was $0.46 for the quarter, up 14.5% compared to last year, with a strong balance sheet showing unencumbered assets of $3.6 billion.
ESG Progress
Primaris announced ESG targets, including a 25% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, and achieved a 5% reduction in emissions in 2024.
Negative Updates
Comark Creditor Protection
Comark filed for creditor protection, affecting 36 stores within the Primaris portfolio, which could impact rental income.
Interest Rate and Debt Concerns
The average net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 5.8x, and interest rates on total debt are at 5.37%, reflecting higher financing costs.
Company Guidance
During the call, Primaris REIT provided guidance for the year 2025, highlighting several key metrics and expectations. The company anticipates same property cash net operating income (NOI) growth to be in the range of 3% to 4%. Additionally, funds from operations (FFO) per unit diluted are expected to fall between $1.70 and $1.75. The guidance considers the impact of recent acquisitions, such as Oshawa Centre and Southgate Centre, and approximately $300 million in planned dispositions throughout the year. The company emphasized its strong financial position, with unencumbered assets of $3.6 billion and significant liquidity available, which provides flexibility for further acquisitions and capital allocations. The guidance reflects confidence in continued growth driven by rising occupancy rates, improved recovery ratios, and strategic capital recycling efforts.

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Reports Strong Trustee Election and Resolution Approvals at 2025 AGM
Positive
May 1, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced the successful election of all trustee nominees at its 2025 Annual General Meeting, with high approval ratings for each candidate. Additionally, key resolutions including executive compensation, auditor reappointment, and amendments to the Incentive Unit Plan received overwhelming support, indicating strong stakeholder confidence in the Trust’s governance and strategic direction.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT’s strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, supports the stock’s overall score. Valuation metrics and strategic positioning through acquisitions enhance its attractiveness. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and challenges like high interest rates and tenant issues moderate the outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Reaffirms Guidance
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with significant growth in rental revenue and net operating income. The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance despite the anticipated departure of a major tenant, Hudson’s Bay. Primaris continues to enhance its portfolio by acquiring interests in key shopping centers and disposing of non-core assets. The company maintains a strong financial position with substantial liquidity and unencumbered assets, positioning itself as a credible player in the real estate market.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT’s strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, underpins the stock’s overall score. The positive outlook from the recent earnings call, alongside strategic acquisitions and an attractive valuation, further bolsters the stock’s position. However, some caution is warranted due to technical indicators suggesting potential downward momentum and the challenges of high interest rates.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

Dividends
Primaris REIT Declares April 2025 Distribution
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for April 2025, equating to $0.86 annually, payable on May 15, 2025. This announcement underscores Primaris’ stable financial operations and commitment to delivering consistent returns to its unitholders, reinforcing its strong position in the Canadian retail property market.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PMZ.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PMZ.UN is a Outperform.

Primaris REIT’s robust revenue growth and operational efficiency are key strengths, supported by strategic acquisitions and a positive earnings outlook. However, challenges such as high interest rates and the need to enhance profitability and free cash flow moderate the overall score. The stock’s valuation and dividend yield make it attractive for income-focused investors, while recent corporate events signal strong strategic positioning.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PMZ.UN stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Sets Date for Q1 2025 Financial Results and AGM
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust has announced the release date for its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, which will be available on April 30, 2025, after market close. The company will host a conference call and webcast on May 1, 2025, followed by its Annual General Meeting. These events are significant as they provide insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Advances Disposition Strategy and Prepares for HBC Departure
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Primaris REIT announced the sale of St. Albert Centre for $60 million and Sherwood Park Mall for $107 million, as part of its capital recycling strategy. These strategic dispositions are aimed at enhancing the appeal of its shopping center portfolio, with proceeds allocated for future acquisitions and other financial strategies. The company is also preparing for the departure of Hudson’s Bay Company (HBC) as a tenant, which is expected to cease operations by June 30, 2025. Primaris views this as an opportunity for future value creation and has plans for re-tenanting and redevelopment. Additionally, Primaris secured a $100 million financing facility to support its ongoing operations and strategic initiatives.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Updates on Hudson’s Bay Exposure Amid CCAA Proceedings
Neutral
Mar 10, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced its exposure to the Hudson’s Bay Company, which has initiated proceedings under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act. Primaris has been preparing for this scenario for years and has plans in place for the 10 HBC locations within its portfolio, which represent a small portion of its total rental revenue. The company anticipates potential short-term impacts on its financial metrics but is ready to implement its strategies if any locations are disclaimed.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Secures $200 Million Through Debenture Offering
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a successful private placement of $200 million in senior unsecured debentures maturing in 2031. The debentures, bearing a fixed annual interest rate of 4.468%, are intended to repay existing debts and support general trust purposes, indicating a strategic financial maneuver to strengthen the company’s position in the market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primaris REIT Reports Strong 2024 Results and Strategic Growth
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced robust financial results for Q4 and the full year 2024, highlighted by significant growth in rental revenue and net operating income. The company continues to strategically acquire high-quality shopping centers, enhancing its portfolio and positioning it as a key player in the Canadian retail real estate market. With a strong balance sheet and significant unencumbered assets, Primaris is well-equipped to pursue further acquisitions and deliver value to its unitholders.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Declares February 2025 Distribution
Positive
Feb 7, 2025

Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust announced a distribution of $0.0717 per unit for February 2025, equating to an annualized distribution of $0.86 per unit. This strategic financial decision underscores Primaris’ robust capital position, enabling it to capitalize on evolving market opportunities within Canada’s retail property sector.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Primaris REIT Completes Major Shopping Centre Acquisition
Positive
Feb 3, 2025

Primaris REIT has successfully closed a $585 million acquisition, securing 50% of Southgate Centre in Edmonton and full ownership of Oshawa Centre. This strategic move aligns with Primaris’ growth strategy targeting market-leading shopping centres, enhancing its presence in expanding Canadian regions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.