TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Pizza Pizza Royalty (PZA) AI Stock Analysis

Top Page

TSE:PZA

Pizza Pizza Royalty

(TSX:PZA)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:CAD 11.50â–²(10.26% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/10/26

The score is primarily supported by strong underlying profitability, conservative leverage, and an attractive dividend yield. Offsetting these positives are meaningful near-term business softness (TTM revenue and free cash flow deterioration), a cautious outlook highlighted by weak same-store sales and a dividend reduction, and only partially improving technical momentum within a longer-term downtrend.

Positive Factors
Royalty-Based Business ModelThe royalty structure gives PZA exposure to restaurant system sales without directly operating the restaurants. This supports a comparatively focused business model, while the established Pizza Pizza system provides an ongoing base for royalty generation and shareholder distributions.
Negative Factors
Weak Same-Store SalesSame-store sales are a direct driver of royalty income, so the decline signals pressure on the underlying restaurant system rather than only on PZA’s corporate costs. Continued traffic weakness or reduced discretionary spending could constrain royalties and cash available for distributions.

Pizza Pizza Royalty (PZA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%TSE:PZA-27.09%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 185.38M
Dividend Yield
8.34%
Average Volume (3M)
106.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.5
Beta (1Y)
0.67
Revenue Growth
-0.69%
EPS Growth
-2.98%
Country
Canada
Employees
1,100
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Pizza Pizza Royalty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp., through its subsidiary, Pizza Pizza Royalty Limited Partnership, franchises and operates quick-service restaurants under the Pizza Pizza and Pizza 73 brands in Canada. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in...

How the Company Makes Money

Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp. makes money primarily by earning royalties based on system sales generated by restaurants in its royalty pool. Under its royalty arrangement, an operating company (commonly referred to as the franchisor/operator of the Pizza...

Pizza Pizza Royalty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-16.02%|Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presents a mixed picture: management executed successful promotional and product initiatives that drove engagement, category lifts (poutine +36% YoY) and some market share gains, and the royalty pool grew by 20 restaurants. However, core top-line performance weakened with same-store sales down 5.0% and royalty income down 3.6%, nontraditional locations were adversely affected by lower international student enrollment, and financing and payout pressures persist (payout ratio 102%, dividend reduced ~12.9%). Management has taken proactive steps (dividend reduction, cost control, targeted promotions, disciplined unit growth) to stabilize results, but near-term macro and traffic headwinds remain meaningful.

Positive Updates

Product and Promotion Successes
Several high-impact product and promotional initiatives performed well: the 'Buck an Inch' offer quickly became the #1 selling menu item; national slice size increased by 25% with a nominal price change and drove strong customer response; $5 Slice & Drink sustained walk-in traffic; FIFA activations (Dip Cup Nations, Pitch Party Pizza, Pie-dration Break) increased engagement and made Pizza Pizza the #1 searched pizza brand in Canada during the activation.

Negative Updates

Same-Store Sales Decline
Overall same-store sales decreased by 5.0% in Q2 2026. Pizza Pizza same-store sales declined 4.9% and Pizza 73 declined 5.3%, driven by lower traffic and reduced discretionary spending.

Company Guidance

Guidance from the call was cautious: management expects the macroeconomic environment to remain challenging in the near term and will prioritize financial stability while driving traffic through value, cultural marketing and product innovation and pursuing disciplined network growth (targeting roughly ~2% annual expansion, i.e., about two dozen traditional stores over time). Key metrics cited include same‑store sales down 5.0% (Pizza Pizza -4.9%, Pizza 73 -5.3%), partnership royalty income down 3.6% to $10.0M for the quarter, 814 restaurants in the royalty pool (712 Pizza Pizza, 102 Pizza 73, up from 794), a network of well over 800 restaurants, and recent net additions of +20 restaurants on Jan 1, 2026 (39 openings less 19 permanent closures). Financial prudence actions: a ~12.9% monthly dividend reduction (from $0.0775 to $0.0675), quarterly dividends of $5.2M ($0.2125/share) versus $5.7M prior ($0.2325), a payout ratio of ~102% (down from 108%), a $2.2M working capital reserve (used $100k in the quarter), interest paid of $439k on a $47M credit facility, and an all‑in facility rate of 3.51% for the next three years (3‑year swap locked at 2.51% vs maturing 1.81%); the company continues to target an annualized payout ratio near 100% while protecting franchisee economics.

Pizza Pizza Royalty Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong reported profitability and steady shareholder returns with low leverage support overall financial quality. However, recent momentum is a clear risk: revenue turned sharply negative in TTM and free cash flow growth also deteriorated, with a notable cash-conversion dip in 2024.

Income Statement

76Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.09M40.79M39.81M40.22M36.43M31.92M
Gross Profit40.09M40.79M39.81M40.22M36.43M31.92M
EBITDA39.45M39.96M39.48M39.95M35.88M31.38M
Net Income30.68M31.34M30.97M30.98M27.55M23.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets381.97M377.10M373.75M370.09M367.83M363.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.13M3.58M5.78M8.51M7.94M6.16M
Total Debt46.80M46.74M46.99M46.98M46.96M46.94M
Total Liabilities75.54M75.61M75.53M76.18M75.41M72.83M
Stockholders Equity306.43M301.49M298.22M293.91M292.42M290.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.65M31.64M30.80M31.35M28.99M24.75M
Operating Cash Flow30.65M31.64M30.80M31.35M28.99M24.75M
Investing Cash Flow3.00M2.00M1.00M0-2.50M-750.00K
Financing Cash Flow-33.64M-33.83M-33.52M-30.78M-27.21M-23.60M

Pizza Pizza Royalty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price10.43

Price Trends

50DMA10.92Negative
100DMA11.75Negative
200DMA13.20Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.09Negative
RSI42.70Neutral
STOCH24.77Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PZA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.40, below the 50-day MA of 10.92, and below the 200-day MA of 13.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PZA.

Pizza Pizza Royalty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:PZA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:AWTSE:AW71OutperformCAD 866.46M15.2825.64%5.30%2.77%101.33%
TSE:MTYTSE:MTY68NeutralCAD 741.43M6.7912.54%4.44%-3.60%234.75%
TSE:PZATSE:PZA67NeutralCAD 352.58M11.4610.09%8.34%-0.69%-2.98%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
TSE:FOODTSE:FOOD39UnderperformCAD 2.99M-0.2241.50%―-25.68%-47.57%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%TSE:PZATSE:AEGTSE:MTYTSE:FOODTSE:AWDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:PZA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:PZAPizza Pizza Royalty10.43-4.03-27.85%
TSE:AEGAegis Brands Inc.0.23-0.06-20.69%
TSE:MTYMty Food Group32.46-0.36-1.10%
TSE:FOODGoodfood Market0.03-0.25-89.29%
TSE:AWA & W Food Services of Canada Inc.36.221.694.89%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026