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Polaris Infras J (TSE:PIF)
TSX:PIF
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Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PIF

Polaris Infrastructure

(TSX:PIF)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$13.50
▲(6.55% Upside)
Polaris Infrastructure's overall score is primarily influenced by its stable cash flows and improved leverage, despite profitability challenges. The positive sentiment from the earnings call, highlighting robust energy production and revenue growth, also contributes significantly. However, technical indicators suggest short-term bearish momentum, and the negative P/E ratio reflects ongoing profitability issues.

Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Polaris Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPolaris Renewable Energy Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and operation of renewable energy projects in Latin America. The company operates a 72 MW net geothermal facility in Nicaragua; and three run-of-river hydroelectric facilities in Peru with approximately 5 MW net, 8 MW net, and 20 MW net capacity. It also operates a solar project in the Dominican Republic with 32.6 MWdc. The company was formerly known as Polaris Infrastructure Inc. and changed its name to Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. in July 2022. Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPolaris Infrastructure generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced by its geothermal power plants. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and other energy buyers, ensuring stable cash flows from its operations. Additionally, PIF may generate income through the sale of renewable energy credits (RECs), which can provide an additional revenue stream. The company's strategic focus on developing and acquiring geothermal projects allows for potential expansion and increased earnings. Key partnerships with local governments and energy companies can also enhance its market position and lead to further opportunities for growth.

Polaris Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment with robust energy production increases, revenue growth, and successful integration of new assets. However, there were challenges in Nicaragua and the Dominican Republic, as well as some delays in Puerto Rican projects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Energy Production
Third quarter consolidated energy production totaled 181,235 megawatt hours, an increase from 168,639 megawatt hours in the same period last year. Year-to-date production increased by 8%.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter was $19 million, representing an 8% increase from Q3 2024. Year-to-date revenue was $60.9 million, up from $56.9 million in the 2024 comparative period.
Strong Hydroelectric Performance
Hydroelectric projects in Peru and Ecuador performed exceptionally well, with hydro output increasing by 44% and 24% respectively.
Successful Integration of Puerto Rican Wind Operations
The Punta Lima wind farm in Puerto Rico, acquired in March, contributed additional production, enhancing the company's portfolio.
Solid Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA increased to $12.8 million for the quarter from $12.4 million last year. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA was $43.2 million, a 4% increase from last year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Nicaraguan Production
Nicaragua experienced a 5% decline in energy production for the nine months ended September 30, due to short-term well instability and natural steam field decline.
Dominican Republic Solar Facility Curtailment
Canoa 1 Solar Facility in the Dominican Republic saw a 1% decrease in production for the quarter, although year-to-date production increased by 5%.
Delay in Puerto Rico's ASAP Storage Program
The contract for the ASAP storage program in Puerto Rico experienced delays, though recent governmental directives aim to expedite the approval process.
Company Guidance
During Polaris Renewable Energy's third quarter 2025 earnings call, CFO Alba Ballesteros reported robust financial and operational performance, despite seasonal challenges. The company achieved a consolidated energy production of 181,235 megawatt hours, marking a 7.5% increase from the previous year. Year-to-date energy production rose by 8% to 613,524 megawatt hours. Revenue grew by 8% to $19 million for the quarter and reached $60.9 million year-to-date, bolstered by contributions from the newly integrated Punta Lima wind farm in Puerto Rico. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 3.2% to $12.8 million for the quarter and 4% year-to-date to $43.2 million. Strong operational execution, particularly in Peru and Ecuador, offset challenges such as a 1% decrease in solar output from the Dominican Republic and a 5% decline in Nicaraguan production due to well instability. The company remains committed to shareholder returns, announcing a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share. Looking ahead, Polaris anticipates stronger hydro output in Q4 and continues to focus on development projects, including the ASAP storage project in Puerto Rico, with expected completion in Q4 2026.

Polaris Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Polaris Infrastructure shows a stable yet challenging financial performance. Strong operational cash flows and improved leverage are offset by profitability issues, such as negative net income and declining EBIT margins. The balance sheet indicates better debt management, but the negative return on equity highlights the need for improved profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Polaris Infrastructure shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 43.74%, which is stable compared to previous periods. However, the net profit margin has turned negative at -13.50%, indicating profitability challenges. Revenue growth is modest at 3.90% TTM, but the EBIT margin has decreased to 17.30%, reflecting operational efficiency issues. The EBITDA margin remains strong at 55.30%, suggesting good cash flow generation from operations.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.90 TTM from 1.22, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative at -4.16%, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Overall, the company is managing its debt better but needs to improve profitability to enhance shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows resilience despite challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.34 TTM, indicating robust cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow to net income is also high at 0.95, suggesting efficient cash utilization. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -8.56%, highlighting potential cash flow constraints. The company maintains a solid cash flow position, but growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue78.37M75.77M78.52M62.60M59.52M74.72M
Gross Profit34.28M32.81M35.92M25.19M22.75M38.77M
EBITDA43.34M49.84M56.99M40.90M45.69M78.59M
Net Income-10.58M2.99M11.74M2.50M501.00K28.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets549.59M662.11M519.40M535.10M502.70M491.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.09M213.31M40.05M35.33M97.93M60.06M
Total Debt220.22M317.70M175.12M187.33M170.99M189.99M
Total Liabilities304.85M402.58M249.47M264.89M241.88M264.35M
Stockholders Equity244.86M259.75M269.34M269.68M262.76M228.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.89M31.69M32.57M1.02M32.72M33.42M
Operating Cash Flow34.60M35.05M43.96M33.51M41.13M40.31M
Investing Cash Flow-16.27M-3.31M-11.38M-65.99M-10.15M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow27.19M141.51M-27.71M-30.13M6.89M-9.99M

Polaris Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.67
Price Trends
50DMA
13.43
Negative
100DMA
12.76
Negative
200DMA
12.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
30.43
Neutral
STOCH
8.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PIF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.54, below the 50-day MA of 13.43, and above the 200-day MA of 12.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PIF.

Polaris Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
0.97%
67
Neutral
$6.64B-1.19%4.84%-8.39%-180.67%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
57
Neutral
C$2.89B-288.59-0.61%2.31%-13.45%-112.19%
54
Neutral
C$265.76M-16.40-4.69%6.43%8.26%-267.17%
54
Neutral
$6.21B1.50%4.20%-6.96%-1235.30%
35
Underperform
C$15.44M-2.83-89.56%-54.37%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
12.67
0.92
7.83%
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
28.63
-3.87
-11.91%
TSE:GRB
Greenbriar Capital
0.38
-0.32
-46.43%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.74
4.90
55.43%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
8.72
2.38
37.58%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
25.55
6.34
32.98%

Polaris Infrastructure Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Reports Q3 2025 Growth and Advances in Puerto Rico Project
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. reported a 7% increase in energy production for Q3 2025, primarily due to the acquisition of a wind farm in Puerto Rico and favorable hydrological conditions in Peru. Despite a slight decline in net earnings, the company maintained strong revenue growth and cash flow, while advancing its Battery Energy Storage System project in Puerto Rico, expected to enhance its service offerings and revenue streams by 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Hold with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend, Signals Stability and Growth
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per common share, payable on November 21st to shareholders of record as of November 10th. This move underscores the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its shareholders and reflects its stable financial performance. The board is open to evaluating further dividend increases, indicating potential future growth and shareholder value enhancement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Hold with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Polaris Renewable Energy Secures New Credit Facility and Announces Executive Changes
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has secured a US$3.5 million working capital and a US$10 million letter of credit facility with the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce and the Export Development Corp. This facility aims to enhance the company’s liquidity as it expands its operations in Latin America and the Caribbean. Additionally, Polaris announced executive changes with Anton Jelic transitioning to Chief Administrative Officer and Alba Seisdedos Ballesteros becoming the new Chief Financial Officer, reflecting the company’s growth and strategic focus on strengthening its governance and financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Hold with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Polaris Renewable Energy Renews Share Buyback Program
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced the renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) after receiving approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange. The company plans to repurchase up to 2,029,745 of its common shares, representing about 10% of its public float, as a strategic move to enhance shareholder value. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to utilizing its free cash effectively and maintaining flexibility in managing its capital position. The NCIB will run from August 25, 2025, to August 24, 2026, with a limit initially set at 176,125 shares. Any shares repurchased will be canceled, and the company has also established an automatic share purchase plan to facilitate acquisitions during blackout periods.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Hold with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Polaris Renewable Energy Advances Energy Storage Strategy in Puerto Rico
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced the submission of the Battery Energy Storage System Standard Offer Agreement (SO1 Agreement) to the Puerto Rico Energy Bureau, as part of the Puerto Rico Accelerated Storage Addition Program. This strategic initiative aims to enhance grid reliability through utility-scale battery energy storage systems. The agreement, involving Polaris Power US, Inc. as the Resource Provider, is expected to be finalized within 30 to 90 days, with commercial operations anticipated to begin in Q3 2026. The project will strengthen Polaris’s position in the renewable energy sector and support Puerto Rico’s energy resilience goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Polaris Infrastructure’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategic Progress
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call of Polaris Infrastructure painted a positive picture, highlighting strong revenue and earnings growth, successful diversification benefits, and progress in strategic projects. Despite facing some production challenges and higher financing costs, the overall sentiment was optimistic, reflecting the company’s robust performance and strategic direction.

Dividends
Polaris Renewable Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per common share, payable on August 22nd to shareholders of record as of August 11th. This move underscores the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its shareholders while maintaining a strong position in the renewable energy sector. The board is open to evaluating further dividend increases, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial health and operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Increased Production and Revenue
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. reported a 15% increase in energy production for Q2 2025, driven by favorable hydrological conditions in Peru and the acquisition of the Punta Lima Wind Farm in Puerto Rico. The company achieved $21.6 million in revenue and $15.4 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, reflecting strong operational efficiency despite inflationary pressures. The company’s financial performance was bolstered by improved productivity in its Dominican Republic facility and strong results from the newly acquired wind farm, although challenges such as system-wide curtailment and technical issues in Panama were noted.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025