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Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (TSE:PET)
TSX:PET
Canadian Market
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Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PET

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.

(TSX:PET)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$32.00
â–²(9.03% Upside)
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. However, high leverage and bearish technical indicators are significant concerns. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, but macroeconomic challenges remain. Valuation is moderate, offering limited upside potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Store Network Expansion
Expanding the store network enhances market presence and accessibility, driving future revenue growth and competitive positioning.
Supply Chain Transformation
Improved supply chain efficiency reduces costs and enhances profitability, providing a durable competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant reliance on debt can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, impacting long-term sustainability and growth potential.
Uneven Discretionary Demand
Fluctuating consumer spending on non-essential items can affect sales stability, posing challenges to consistent revenue growth.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Economic uncertainty can lead to cautious consumer behavior, impacting sales and profitability in the medium term.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) is a leading Canadian retailer of pet food and pet-related products, specializing in the sale of premium pet supplies and accessories. Operating primarily in the pet retail sector, Pet Valu offers a wide range of products including dog and cat food, treats, toys, grooming supplies, and health products. The company aims to cater to the needs of pet owners by providing high-quality products and expert advice through its network of stores across Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPet Valu generates revenue primarily through the sale of pet food and accessories in its retail locations and online platform. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes direct sales from its stores, e-commerce transactions, and various private label products. Key revenue streams include sales of premium pet food brands, grooming products, and pet-related accessories. Additionally, Pet Valu benefits from partnerships with leading pet product manufacturers, allowing them to offer exclusive products and promotions. The growth in pet ownership and the increasing trend of pet humanization contribute positively to its earnings, as consumers are willing to spend more on high-quality products and services for their pets.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Pet Valu reported solid growth in revenue and sales, driven by store network expansion and digital channel success. However, the company faces challenges with uneven discretionary demand and macroeconomic uncertainty, affecting consumer spending behavior.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Sales Growth
System-wide sales increased by 4% and revenue grew by 5% in Q3 2025, supported by momentum in same-store sales and strategic expansion in the store network.
Store Network Expansion
Opened 16 new stores in Q3, bringing the total to 849 locations across Canada. On track to reach 40 new stores by the end of the year.
Digital Channel Success
The digital channel continues to scale, with successful promotional events like the 20% off AutoShip discount driving growth in active subscriptions.
Supply Chain Transformation
Completed supply chain transformation with the new Calgary DC, realizing year-over-year leverage in distribution costs and setting the stage for future profitability.
Operating Expense Management
Teams found opportunities to realize operating expense savings to offset inflation, resulting in a sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA margins to 22%.
Negative Updates
Uneven Discretionary Demand
Continued to navigate an uneven discretionary demand environment, affecting overall sales growth and consumer spending behavior.
Challenges in Hardlines Sales
Progress in hardlines sales paused in Q3, reflecting consumer caution in discretionary spending amidst economic uncertainty.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macro uncertainty continues to weigh on consumer spending, with expectations that uneven discretionary demand may extend into 2026.
Company Guidance
During Pet Valu's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a refined outlook for 2025, projecting revenues between $1.175 billion and $1.185 billion, driven by approximately 40 new store openings and same-store sales growth of approximately 2%. The company expects adjusted EBITDA to range from $257 million to $260 million, representing growth of 4% to 5%, and adjusted net income per diluted share to be between $1.63 and $1.66, incorporating a $0.12 impact from new distribution centers. Capital expenditures are anticipated to be around $45 million, with a free cash flow conversion target of roughly 40% of adjusted EBITDA. Pet Valu continues to focus on expanding its store network, with 16 new stores opened in Q3, bringing the total to 849 locations. The company emphasized its strategic investments in everyday value, proprietary brand innovation, and supply chain transformation, which are expected to support long-term growth and profitability.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and profitability with stable margins. However, high leverage and the need for improved cash flow efficiency are concerns.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.38%, building on consistent annual growth. Gross profit and net profit margins are stable, with TTM margins at 33.6% and 8.2% respectively. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over the years suggests rising costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows high leverage with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 7.49, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is strong at 92.5%, reflecting effective use of equity, but the low equity ratio of 5.8% suggests potential financial vulnerability. The improvement in equity over the years is a positive sign, but the high debt levels remain a concern.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. has shown a robust free cash flow growth rate of 20.48% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.68 indicates room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.13B1.10B1.06B951.70M776.01M648.46M
Gross Profit379.56M364.64M365.14M352.30M287.18M230.63M
EBITDA241.03M231.16M215.41M206.12M206.78M136.13M
Net Income95.64M87.42M89.55M100.77M95.36M28.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets990.74M970.93M916.91M740.18M599.17M562.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.38M35.14M28.44M63.03M50.07M71.48M
Total Debt808.86M749.29M737.13M605.11M584.41M923.02M
Total Liabilities933.23M875.18M847.19M739.80M693.70M1.03B
Stockholders Equity57.50M95.75M69.72M376.00K-94.52M-588.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow150.59M133.42M72.17M79.11M109.70M131.02M
Operating Cash Flow212.57M200.08M135.34M123.52M138.16M152.14M
Investing Cash Flow-5.97M-8.52M-16.15M-17.32M3.99M11.55M
Financing Cash Flow-218.90M-183.82M-153.78M-92.80M-163.34M-135.90M

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.35
Price Trends
50DMA
36.38
Negative
100DMA
35.35
Negative
200DMA
31.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.07
Positive
RSI
20.81
Positive
STOCH
24.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.93, below the 50-day MA of 36.38, and below the 200-day MA of 31.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.81 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PET.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$8.89B11.7513.84%4.81%0.05%99.91%
68
Neutral
$8.89B17.6513.84%3.17%0.05%99.91%
63
Neutral
C$2.04B22.16106.59%1.60%5.09%14.05%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PET
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.
29.35
4.38
17.54%
TSE:CTC
Canadian Tire
245.00
23.74
10.73%
TSE:CTC.A
Canadian Tire
161.18
14.94
10.21%

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Pet Valu’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. recently reported a positive earnings call, highlighting solid growth in revenue and sales. This growth was primarily driven by an expansion in their store network and success in digital channels. However, the company acknowledged challenges due to uneven discretionary demand and macroeconomic uncertainties, which are influencing consumer spending behaviors.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pet Valu Reports Strong Q3 Growth and Strategic Expansion
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. reported a 2.3% growth in same-store sales and a 5% increase in revenue for the third quarter of 2025. Despite a slight decrease in adjusted EBITDA, the company opened 16 new stores and launched a new distribution center in Calgary, indicating strategic expansion and operational efficiency. The company narrowed its 2025 financial outlook, projecting revenue between $1.175 and $1.185 billion, demonstrating confidence in its growth trajectory. The announcement highlights Pet Valu’s commitment to leveraging supply chain investments and enhancing customer experience, positioning it well for the holiday season and long-term growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Pet Valu Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Announces CEO Succession
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. reported a strong financial performance in the second quarter of 2025, with a 2.6% growth in same-store sales and a 6% increase in revenue. The company raised its 2025 outlook and announced a CEO succession plan, with Greg Ramier set to succeed Richard Maltsbarger as CEO. The completion of a multi-year distribution centre transformation positions Pet Valu for long-term growth, aiming for over 1,200 stores. The leadership transition is expected to continue the momentum achieved under Maltsbarger’s tenure, as the company remains focused on growth and innovation in the pet retail industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025