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Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (TSE:PET)
TSX:PET
Canadian Market
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Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PET

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.

(TSX:PET)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$38.00
▲(5.29% Upside)
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. However, high leverage and a relatively high P/E ratio are concerns. Technical indicators suggest a neutral market position.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a robust market position and effective business model, supporting long-term financial health and expansion potential.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction, supporting long-term sustainability.
Profitability
Stable profit margins reflect efficient operations and pricing power, contributing to sustainable profitability and competitive advantage in the market.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Cash Flow Efficiency
Suboptimal cash flow efficiency suggests potential challenges in converting earnings into cash, which could affect liquidity and investment capacity over time.
Equity Ratio
A low equity ratio indicates limited equity buffer, which can heighten financial risk and reduce resilience against market fluctuations or economic stress.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) is a leading Canadian retailer of pet food and pet-related products, specializing in the sale of premium pet supplies and accessories. Operating primarily in the pet retail sector, Pet Valu offers a wide range of products including dog and cat food, treats, toys, grooming supplies, and health products. The company aims to cater to the needs of pet owners by providing high-quality products and expert advice through its network of stores across Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPet Valu generates revenue primarily through the sale of pet food and accessories in its retail locations and online platform. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes direct sales from its stores, e-commerce transactions, and various private label products. Key revenue streams include sales of premium pet food brands, grooming products, and pet-related accessories. Additionally, Pet Valu benefits from partnerships with leading pet product manufacturers, allowing them to offer exclusive products and promotions. The growth in pet ownership and the increasing trend of pet humanization contribute positively to its earnings, as consumers are willing to spend more on high-quality products and services for their pets.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a resilient performance by Pet Valu amidst challenging economic conditions. While the company faced negative same-store sales growth and macroeconomic headwinds, it achieved notable revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by strategic investments in supply chain and franchise expansion. The increase in free cash flow and proactive cost management underscored the company's strong financial position. However, challenges such as increased competitive pressure and the need for further price adjustments were acknowledged.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Despite flat system-wide sales and negative same-store sales growth, Pet Valu achieved over 5% revenue growth, driven by higher wholesale shipments and the addition of 50 franchise stores in the past 12 months.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Pet Valu reported a 13% growth in adjusted EBITDA, a significant financial accomplishment amidst challenging macroeconomic conditions.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Year-to-date, Pet Valu generated over $60 million in free cash flow, surpassing annual amounts in both 2022 and 2023, allowing earlier-than-expected share buybacks.
Supply Chain Transformation
Successful opening of a new distribution center in Surrey, BC, and significant advancements in supply chain capacity, supporting future store growth and improved operational efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Negative Same-Store Sales Growth
Same-store sales declined by 2.5%, with a 2% growth in average basket offset by a 4% decline in transactions.
Macroeconomic Headwinds
Persistent macroeconomic challenges resulted in constrained consumer spending, impacting Pet Valu's sales performance.
Increased Competitive Pressure
Heightened promotional intensity, particularly in discretionary categories like hardlines and treats, requiring adjustments to pricing strategies.
Company Guidance
In the Pet Valu Q3 2024 earnings call, management provided guidance indicating expectations for revenue between $1.08 billion and $1.1 billion, driven by the growth of their store network, increased wholesale penetration, and roughly flat same-store sales growth. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $243 million and $246 million, with softer margins anticipated in Q4 due to promotional and advertising intensity and strategic pricing actions. The company expects adjusted net income per diluted share to be between $1.50 and $1.53. Despite economic headwinds, Pet Valu has generated over $61 million in free cash flow year-to-date, surpassing previous years and enabling the commencement of share buybacks. Looking forward, Pet Valu anticipates continued earnings growth, particularly in the second half of 2025, while maintaining focus on generating over $100 million in free cash flow.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and profitability with stable margins. However, high leverage and the need for improved cash flow efficiency are concerns.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.38%, building on consistent annual growth. Gross profit and net profit margins are stable, with TTM margins at 33.6% and 8.2% respectively. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over the years suggests rising costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows high leverage with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 7.49, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is strong at 92.5%, reflecting effective use of equity, but the low equity ratio of 5.8% suggests potential financial vulnerability. The improvement in equity over the years is a positive sign, but the high debt levels remain a concern.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. has shown a robust free cash flow growth rate of 20.48% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.68 indicates room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.13B1.10B1.06B951.70M776.01M648.46M
Gross Profit379.56M364.64M365.14M352.30M287.18M230.63M
EBITDA241.03M231.16M215.41M206.12M206.78M136.13M
Net Income95.64M87.42M89.55M100.77M95.36M28.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets990.74M970.93M916.91M740.18M599.17M562.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.38M35.14M28.44M63.03M50.07M71.48M
Total Debt808.86M749.29M737.13M605.11M584.41M923.02M
Total Liabilities933.23M875.18M847.19M739.80M693.70M1.03B
Stockholders Equity57.50M95.75M69.72M376.00K-94.52M-588.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow150.59M133.42M72.17M79.11M109.70M131.02M
Operating Cash Flow212.57M200.08M135.34M123.52M138.16M152.14M
Investing Cash Flow-5.97M-8.52M-16.15M-17.32M3.99M11.55M
Financing Cash Flow-218.90M-183.82M-153.78M-92.80M-163.34M-135.90M

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.09
Price Trends
50DMA
36.85
Negative
100DMA
35.27
Negative
200DMA
30.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
36.96
Neutral
STOCH
52.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.63, below the 50-day MA of 36.85, and above the 200-day MA of 30.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PET.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$9.57B12.6213.84%4.15%0.05%99.91%
$9.55B18.8013.84%2.87%0.05%99.91%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
C$2.46B26.48126.66%1.30%5.18%17.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PET
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.
34.75
9.64
38.39%
TSE:CTC
Canadian Tire
253.00
28.84
12.87%
TSE:CTC.A
Canadian Tire
166.12
20.48
14.07%

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Pet Valu Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Announces CEO Succession
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. reported a strong financial performance in the second quarter of 2025, with a 2.6% growth in same-store sales and a 6% increase in revenue. The company raised its 2025 outlook and announced a CEO succession plan, with Greg Ramier set to succeed Richard Maltsbarger as CEO. The completion of a multi-year distribution centre transformation positions Pet Valu for long-term growth, aiming for over 1,200 stores. The leadership transition is expected to continue the momentum achieved under Maltsbarger’s tenure, as the company remains focused on growth and innovation in the pet retail industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 19, 2025