tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
OceanaGold Corporation (TSE:OGC)
TSX:OGC

OceanaGold (OGC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
169 Followers

Top Page

TS

OceanaGold

(TSX:OGC)

81Outperform
OceanaGold's stock is rated highly due to its strong financial performance, evidenced by significant revenue and profit growth, and excellent cash management. Technical indicators support a positive market trend, and a reasonable valuation adds to its appeal. The optimistic earnings call further reinforces the company's robust outlook, despite minor operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Analyst Rating
Analyst rates OceanaGold shares Outperform, believing shares have the potential to re-rate closer to peer averages as the company executes on ramping up underground operations at Didipio, optimizing Haile and its New Zealand operations, and growing its resource base.
Exploration Investment
OGC looks to build on this success, budgeting $40M for exploration across all four sites, the highest exploration budget in five years.
Mineral Reserves
Total mineral reserves increased 27% to 6.2Moz Au, net of mining depletion at a 15% higher grade.
Negative Factors
Conservative Guidance
Updated mid-term guidance was slightly more conservative, featuring both lower gold production and higher AISC.
High Costs
High costs are due to the use of modified Avoca mining methods to address challenging geotechnical conditions and challenging remnant mining.
Production Guidance
Updated 2025 and 2026 guidance for gold production were both lower than previously disclosed.

OceanaGold (OGC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

OceanaGold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOceanaGold Corporation (OGC) is a multinational gold producer with operations in the Americas and Asia-Pacific region. The company is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of gold, silver, and copper, with core assets in New Zealand, the Philippines, and the United States. OceanaGold is committed to responsible mining practices and sustainable development, contributing to the economic growth of the regions where it operates.
How the Company Makes MoneyOceanaGold makes money primarily through the mining, production, and sale of gold. The company's key revenue streams include the extraction and processing of gold ore, which is then sold in the form of gold bullion. OceanaGold also generates revenue from the sale of by-products such as silver and copper, which are extracted during the gold mining process. Significant partnerships with local governments and stakeholders in the mining regions contribute to its earnings by ensuring stable operations and access to necessary resources. Additionally, the company benefits from fluctuations in global gold prices, which can significantly impact its revenue.

OceanaGold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OceanaGold demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth. The income statement shows a robust revenue increase and high profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage and strong equity. Cash flow analysis indicates healthy cash generation and efficient management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
OceanaGold's income statement shows robust performance with strong growth trends. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue reached $1.38 billion, a significant increase from previous years. Gross profit margin stands at 35.5%, indicating efficient production. Net profit margin improved to 21.2%, reflecting enhanced profitability. The company exhibits a solid revenue growth rate of 27.9% year-over-year from 2023 to 2024, with a notable increase in EBIT and EBITDA margins, highlighting operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 73.6%, underscoring a strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, indicating minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. Return on equity (ROE) is an impressive 15.4%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The company's robust stockholder's equity of $1.90 billion enhances its financial resilience.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reflects a healthy cash generation capacity. Operating cash flow of $690.2 million supports strong operational cash generation relative to net income, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.35. Free cash flow grew by 30.7% year-over-year, indicating improved cash management and reinvestment potential. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.95 shows efficient cash conversion from earnings.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.38B1.29B1.03B984.70M744.70M500.10M
Gross Profit
490.80M372.30M298.70M259.80M232.70M45.10M
EBIT
400.40M274.40M187.80M192.90M146.80M-37.30M
EBITDA
691.90M590.80M369.80M378.90M166.40M144.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
293.90M187.40M83.10M132.60M-3.70M-150.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
227.60M193.50M61.70M83.20M133.00M179.00M
Total Assets
2.59B2.49B2.45B2.29B2.26B2.25B
Total Debt
61.20M71.60M231.80M253.40M370.90M312.90M
Net Debt
-166.40M-121.90M170.10M170.20M237.90M133.90M
Total Liabilities
579.30M562.60M713.20M617.30M710.00M688.40M
Stockholders Equity
1.90B1.82B1.73B1.67B1.55B1.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
279.50M213.70M34.30M87.00M-63.30M-54.90M
Operating Cash Flow
690.20M593.90M384.20M368.70M261.40M198.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-378.00M-348.70M-341.80M-280.80M-315.80M-225.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-175.60M-120.50M-57.80M-130.20M25.10M159.50M

OceanaGold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.59
Price Trends
50DMA
4.79
Positive
100DMA
4.46
Positive
200DMA
4.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
59.49
Neutral
STOCH
59.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.23, above the 50-day MA of 4.79, and above the 200-day MA of 4.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGC.

OceanaGold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSOGC
81
Outperform
$3.93B9.7516.21%0.50%35.81%693.32%
TSDPM
79
Outperform
C$3.27B10.7319.71%1.19%10.57%24.23%
TSKNT
75
Outperform
C$3.04B12.0939.28%105.06%481.75%
TSSSL
73
Outperform
$3.37B83.432.05%0.69%6.23%36.40%
68
Neutral
$3.05B26.612.71%0.76%-16.65%
TSTXG
68
Neutral
$3.55B19.388.12%20.97%-24.55%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.06-21.29%3.61%1.95%-30.60%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGC
OceanaGold
5.59
2.33
71.26%
TSE:SSRM
SSR Mining
15.02
7.26
93.56%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
11.47
3.28
40.00%
TSE:TXG
Torex Gold Resources
41.19
19.36
88.69%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
12.68
4.81
61.12%
TSE:DPM
Dundee Precious Mtl
18.86
7.74
69.60%

OceanaGold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.82%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights a strong start to the year with robust financial performance, record gold prices, and strategic project advancements. Despite some operational challenges, particularly at Haile and Didipio, the company maintains a positive outlook with no debt and a strong balance sheet.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
First quarter profit and free cash flow both exceeded market expectations with free cash flow of nearly $70 million and a cash balance increase by 18% to $228 million. EBITDA was $192 million with a margin of 53%.
Record Gold Prices and Production
Record average realized gold price of $2,858 per ounce, with significant free cash flow generation and no hedging, allowing full benefit from price increases.
Debt-Free and Strong Balance Sheet
Zero debt and a significant increase in cash holdings position the company well for growth and shareholder returns.
Successful Exploration and Project Advancements
Significant progress in exploration with new mineral discoveries, such as the Pisces discovery at Haile, and submission of the Fast Track application for the Waihi North project.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges at Haile
Stripping programs at Haile are on schedule but were previously delayed, impacting production timelines.
Flooding Issues at Didipio
Ongoing flooding issues in the lower levels of Didipio, expecting resolution by early in the second half of the year.
Company Guidance
During OceanaGold's first quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the year, highlighting impressive financial and operational metrics. The company reported a strong free cash flow of nearly $70 million, with a free cash flow per ounce of $585, outperforming the industry average. Over the past twelve months, OceanaGold generated $312 million in free cash flow, yielding approximately 16% on its average market capitalization. The balance sheet is robust with zero debt, and cash holdings increased by about 20% by the end of the quarter. The company maintained its full-year guidance for production, costs, and capital expenditures (CapEx). Revenue for the first quarter was $360 million, supported by a record average realized gold price of $2,858 per ounce. The EBITDA margin stood at 53%, with an operating cash flow per share of $0.28. OceanaGold remains committed to funding growth projects, maintaining a strong balance sheet, paying dividends, and continuing share repurchases. They are also on track for a significant increase in production in the fourth quarter, particularly from high-grade ore at Haile and Macraes.

OceanaGold Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OceanaGold Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Announces New Discoveries
Positive
May 7, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, producing 117,400 ounces of gold and 3,400 tonnes of copper, marking a 12% increase from the previous year. The company achieved a net profit of $101 million and maintained a robust financial position with zero debt and a cash balance of $228 million. OceanaGold announced a new mineral discovery at Haile and high-grade drill results at Wharekirauponga, indicating promising future growth. The company is on track with its production and cost guidance for the year and plans to continue investing in growth opportunities, including the Waihi North Project, which is in the fast-track permitting process. Additionally, OceanaGold has approved a share buyback program and declared a quarterly dividend, reflecting its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Spark’s Take on TSE:OGC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:OGC is a Outperform.

OceanaGold demonstrates strong financial health with significant growth potential in the mining sector. Its robust financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths. Technical indicators show a stable trend, while the valuation remains reasonable, providing a balanced risk-reward profile.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:OGC stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
OceanaGold Announces Q1 2025 Results Release and Virtual AGM
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation announced the release of its first quarter 2025 operational and financial results scheduled for May 7, 2025, followed by a conference call on May 8, 2025. The company also plans to hold its Annual General and Special Meeting of Shareholders on June 4, 2025, which will be conducted virtually. These announcements reflect OceanaGold’s ongoing commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Spark’s Take on TSE:OGC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:OGC is a Outperform.

OceanaGold demonstrates strong financial health with significant growth potential in the mining sector. Its robust financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths. Technical indicators show a stable trend, while the valuation remains reasonable, providing a balanced risk-reward profile.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:OGC stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
OceanaGold Advances Waihi North Project with Fast-Track Application and New Discoveries
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

OceanaGold has submitted an application for fast-track approval for its Waihi North Project in New Zealand, which includes the Wharekirauponga Underground. This move is expected to expedite the permitting process by the end of 2025, marking a significant milestone in the project’s development. The company also reported promising results from its exploration program at Wharekirauponga, with high-grade mineralization identified in several drill holes. These developments underscore OceanaGold’s commitment to expanding its resource base and enhancing its position in the gold mining industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
OceanaGold Unveils New Discovery and Boosts Exploration Budget at Haile
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

OceanaGold has announced a new discovery and high-grade drill results at the Haile Gold Mine in the United States, highlighting the potential of the Pisces and Horseshoe areas. The company has increased its 2025 exploration budget by 20% to $10 million, reflecting its commitment to enhancing shareholder value through exploration success.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
OceanaGold Unveils New Discovery and Boosts Exploration Budget at Haile Mine
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

OceanaGold has announced a significant new discovery and high-grade drill results at its Haile Gold Mine in the United States. The exploration success at Haile, particularly the Pisces and Horseshoe areas, has led to an increase in the 2025 exploration budget by 20% to $10 million, the largest since the mine’s production began. This move underscores the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value through exploration, with the new findings potentially benefiting mining operations due to their proximity to existing infrastructure.

Executive/Board Changes
OceanaGold Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation has appointed Stefanie Loader as a Non-Executive Director to its Board of Directors. Loader brings extensive experience in geology, mining operations, and corporate strategy, with a history of leadership roles in major mining companies such as Rio Tinto and CMOC International. Her appointment is expected to enhance OceanaGold’s board with her expertise in mineral exploration and project development, potentially influencing the company’s strategic direction and value for shareholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OceanaGold Reports 27% Increase in Mineral Reserves for 2024
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

OceanaGold has reported a significant increase in its mineral reserves and resources for the year ending 2024, with a 27% rise in mineral reserves totaling 6.2 million ounces of gold, net of mining depletion, at a higher average grade. Key developments include the declaration of initial mineral reserves at Wharekirauponga and increases in reserves at Didipio, alongside a boost in indicated mineral resources at Waihi and Macraes. This growth reflects the company’s strategic focus on value creation through exploration, underscored by a planned $40 million investment in exploration for 2025, marking its highest budget in five years.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
OceanaGold Achieves Record Production and Financial Milestones in 2024
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation has reported its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, achieving record outcomes. The company met its updated production guidance with a substantial increase in annual production, resulting in a record net profit of $192 million and free cash flow of $245 million. Key achievements include a doubling of the annual dividend and plans to repurchase up to $100 million of shares in 2025, highlighting a robust financial position.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.