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Verde Agritech Plc J (TSE:NPK)
TSX:NPK
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Verde Agritech (NPK) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NPK

Verde Agritech

(TSX:NPK)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▲(4.17% Upside)
Verde Agritech's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which is challenged by declining revenues, high leverage, and cash flow issues. The technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, and the valuation is unattractive due to negative profitability and lack of dividends. These factors collectively result in a lower stock score.

Verde Agritech (NPK) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Verde Agritech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVerde Agritech Plc, an agricultural technology company, produces and sells fertilizers in Brazil and internationally. The company offers multi-nutrient potassium fertilizer under the K Forte, BAKS, and Super Greensand brand names. It holds 100% interests in the Cerrado Verde project, which is the source of potassium silicate rock, a glauconitic siltstone material located in the western Alto Paranaiba region of Minas Gerais State, Brazil. The company was formerly known as Verde Potash PLC and changed its name to Verde Agritech Plc in June 2016. Verde Agritech Plc was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyVerde Agritech makes money through the sale of its mineral fertilizers to farmers, agricultural businesses, and distributors. The company's primary revenue stream is derived from the production and sale of its Super Greensand product, which is used as a soil conditioner and fertilizer to enhance crop productivity. Additionally, Verde Agritech may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other agricultural firms to expand its market reach and distribution channels. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global agricultural demand, commodity prices, and environmental regulations that encourage sustainable farming practices.

Verde Agritech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with successful cost-cutting measures and debt renegotiations as positive aspects. However, significant challenges remain, such as declining sales, revenue, and cash position, compounded by a tough economic environment and credit market issues in Brazil.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Reduction Efforts
The company achieved a reduction in general and administrative expenses by 21% in the quarter and 13% year-to-date.
Improvement in EBITDA
EBITDA before non-cash events was almost zero or CAD 30,000 negative, compared to CAD 620,000 in 2023, showing an improvement.
Successful Debt Renegotiation
The company has successfully renegotiated 92% of its debt with creditors, aiming to move 95% of total loans to long-term.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales Volume and Revenue
Sales in Q3 were 101,000 tonnes, compared to 108,000 tonnes in Q3 2023, with revenue dropping from CAD 9.4 million to CAD 7.1 million.
Credit Market Challenges
The company faces significant challenges due to increased bankruptcy protections for farmers and distributors, impacting credit policies.
Cash Position Decline
Cash and other receivables held by the Group decreased to CAD 14.7 million from CAD 25.4 million the previous year.
High Interest Rates Impacting Farmers
Brazil's high interest rates are creating a 'disaster' for farmers, complicating credit and financial conditions in the agriculture sector.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Verde AgriTech, several key metrics and market insights were addressed. The company reported sales of 101,000 tonnes in Q3 2024, slightly down from 108,000 tonnes in the same quarter of 2023. Revenue also declined to CAD 7.1 million from CAD 9.4 million the previous year, reflecting a challenging market environment. Despite these setbacks, Verde AgriTech managed to improve its EBITDA, reducing it from a negative CAD 620,000 in Q3 2023 to nearly breaking even at CAD 30,000 negative in Q3 2024. The call highlighted significant cost reduction efforts, including a 21% decrease in general and administrative expenses and a 43% reduction in sales agent fees. The company's total loan balance stood at CAD 42.2 million, with cash and receivables totaling CAD 14.7 million, marking a decrease from CAD 25.4 million in 2023. The management discussed the impacts of fluctuating KCl prices, which have dropped significantly to around $285 per tonne in Brazil, and the challenging credit environment for farmers due to high interest rates. Additionally, Verde AgriTech outlined its strategic focus on expanding market presence through field sales teams and exploring opportunities in carbon monetization and rare earths, while emphasizing the need for a conservative approach to credit risk.

Verde Agritech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Verde Agritech faces financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, high leverage, and cash flow constraints. While the gross profit margin remains robust, operational inefficiencies and high debt levels pose significant risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Verde Agritech has experienced declining revenue and profitability over the recent periods. The TTM data shows a negative revenue growth rate of -8.67%, and the company has been operating at a net loss with a net profit margin of -64.26%. The gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 55.90%, but the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative at -38.08%, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from its equity base. The equity ratio stands at 34.54%, suggesting moderate financial stability but with potential risks due to high leverage.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -83.50% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.17, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.70M21.60M37.86M80.27M27.71M9.17M
Gross Profit9.89M12.25M24.70M62.25M20.58M5.65M
EBITDA-3.93M-4.54M1.98M24.36M5.29M1.48M
Net Income-11.37M-12.56M-5.98M17.80M3.52M550.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.62M72.02M96.17M97.31M41.40M28.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.38M3.48M6.97M1.16M1.53M2.24M
Total Debt45.47M39.75M46.20M38.37M5.58M3.47M
Total Liabilities48.84M41.68M50.67M48.96M15.04M7.59M
Stockholders Equity25.78M30.34M45.51M48.35M26.36M21.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-114.00K-2.84M1.63M-30.83M-4.28M-525.00K
Operating Cash Flow604.00K-1.89M4.62M11.47M-1.68M1.06M
Investing Cash Flow-718.00K753.00K-4.02M-42.02M-2.55M-1.47M
Financing Cash Flow-437.00K-3.12M5.02M30.03M3.67M2.08M

Verde Agritech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.48
Price Trends
50DMA
0.50
Negative
100DMA
0.52
Negative
200DMA
0.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.03
Neutral
STOCH
42.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NPK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, below the 50-day MA of 0.50, and below the 200-day MA of 0.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NPK.

Verde Agritech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
544.68M3.5826.96%15.95%
57
Neutral
32.48M-5.7049.17%-1068.82%
49
Neutral
36.06M-12.3137.50%
45
Neutral
C$25.28M-36.07%-36.74%15.76%
43
Neutral
5.33M-6.7651.79%
39
Underperform
36.42M-3.3318.64%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NPK
Verde Agritech
0.48
-0.18
-27.27%
TSE:GSP
Gensource Potash
0.08
>-0.01
-11.11%
TSE:KRN
Karnalyte Resources
0.10
-0.06
-37.50%
TSE:MRZ
Mirasol Resources
0.44
-0.03
-6.38%
ITFS
Itafos
2.07
0.94
83.19%
MGROF
MustGrow Biologics
0.44
-0.36
-45.00%

Verde Agritech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Verde AgriTech Secures Patent for Sustainable Fertilizer Technology
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

Verde AgriTech has been granted a Brazilian patent for a new fertilizer production technology that combines glauconitic siltstone with beneficial microorganisms. This innovation eliminates the drying stage in fertilizer manufacturing, reducing production costs and preserving microorganism viability, which enhances sustainable agriculture practices. The patent strengthens Verde’s intellectual property portfolio and positions the company as a leader in agricultural innovation, allowing it to meet the growing demand for sustainable solutions and support long-term business growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NPK) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verde Agritech stock, see the TSE:NPK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Verde AgriTech Reports Resilient Q2 2025 Amid Market Challenges
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

Verde AgriTech Ltd reported its Q2 2025 financial results, highlighting a 6% decrease in sales volume compared to the previous year, yet maintaining a strong gross margin of 58%. The company successfully renegotiated its debt, converting the majority into long-term liabilities, which strengthens its financial position amidst challenging market conditions. Verde’s products continue to offer significant environmental benefits, including carbon capture and chloride reduction, which differentiate it in the fertilizer market. Despite a tough economic environment in Brazil’s agricultural sector, Verde remains resilient and focused on long-term growth by launching new multi-nutrient formulations and maintaining a conservative commercial strategy.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Verde AgriTech Secures Shareholder Approval at 2025 AGM
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

Verde AgriTech announced the successful approval of all items at its 2025 Annual General Meeting of shareholders, including the re-election of directors and the adoption of the 2024 audited statement of accounts. The meeting’s outcomes reinforce Verde’s strategic direction and stability, potentially strengthening its position in the potash industry, particularly in Brazil, which heavily relies on potash imports. This approval could have positive implications for stakeholders, as it ensures continuity in leadership and operational plans.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025