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Itafos (TSE:IFOS)
:IFOS
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Itafos (IFOS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IFOS

Itafos

(IFOS)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(2.46% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/10/26
The score is primarily driven by solid financial resilience from a low-leverage balance sheet and ongoing profitability, offset by weakened cash generation (negative TTM free cash flow and low cash conversion). Technicals are a notable drag with a clear downtrend and weak momentum, while the low P/E provides some valuation support.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Conservative leverage gives Itafos meaningful financial capacity to manage operating volatility and fund essential investment without relying heavily on debt. The improvement from a 1.90 debt-to-equity ratio in 2021 also indicates a materially stronger capital structure and greater resilience.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow means current operations are not fully covering capital needs, reducing the cash available for debt reduction, reinvestment, or shareholder returns. If this persists, Itafos may need to draw on its balance-sheet capacity or rely on external funding.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Conservative leverage gives Itafos meaningful financial capacity to manage operating volatility and fund essential investment without relying heavily on debt. The improvement from a 1.90 debt-to-equity ratio in 2021 also indicates a materially stronger capital structure and greater resilience.
Read all positive factors

Itafos (IFOS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Itafos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Itafos, Inc. engages in the provision of phosphate fertilizers and specialty products. It operates through the following segments: Itafos Conda, Itafos Arraias, Development and Exploration, and Corporate. The Itafos Conda segment produces and sell...
How the Company Makes Money
Itafos makes money primarily by selling phosphate-based products to customers in the fertilizer and industrial markets. Its core revenue stream is the sale of processed phosphate products (including merchant-grade phosphate and related materials) ...

Itafos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (low leverage; debt-to-equity ~0.19) and continued profitability in TTM support the score, but margins and net income have stepped down materially versus 2024–2025. The biggest concern is cash flow quality: TTM free cash flow is negative (~-$36.8M) and operating cash flow covers only ~0.36x of earnings, raising near-term funding and earnings-quality risk if it persists.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue575.90M567.74M491.24M465.52M593.29M413.25M
Gross Profit85.50M138.75M148.79M118.56M214.88M136.88M
EBITDA135.08M157.80M149.25M53.75M219.59M134.33M
Net Income56.98M118.16M87.79M3.86M115.10M51.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets825.61M861.76M695.86M587.23M614.01M633.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.20M70.36M74.37M31.05M42.81M31.57M
Total Debt83.87M112.47M108.17M103.83M143.90M254.09M
Total Liabilities391.48M427.52M348.03M328.50M360.89M499.25M
Stockholders Equity434.13M434.24M347.83M258.73M252.35M133.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-36.79M4.69M52.57M39.96M169.37M60.42M
Operating Cash Flow47.40M84.19M120.05M94.72M208.37M94.50M
Investing Cash Flow-53.12M-41.29M-65.20M-53.33M-39.00M-34.08M
Financing Cash Flow-40.23M-47.71M-9.37M-54.23M-158.32M-38.43M

Itafos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.44
Price Trends
50DMA
2.36
Positive
100DMA
2.60
Negative
200DMA
2.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
63.18
Neutral
STOCH
84.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFOS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, above the 50-day MA of 2.36, and below the 200-day MA of 2.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:IFOS.

Itafos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.70B11.2419.27%4.75%12.36%20.53%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
C$479.16M6.7311.79%6.53%10.52%-53.33%
47
Neutral
C$28.48M-5.86-1618.13%-20.81%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFOS
Itafos
2.51
-0.25
-9.06%
TSE:CHE.UN
Chemtrade Logistics
14.95
2.66
21.60%
TSE:ARGO
Argo Living Soils Corp.
1.00
0.22
28.21%

Itafos Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Itafos Grows Q2 Revenue but Faces Margin Pressure Amid Global Phosphate Turmoil
Negative
Aug 5, 2026
Itafos reported Q2 2026 revenues of $144.0 million, up 14% year on year, driven by higher prices and fertilizer and sulfuric acid volumes in Brazil, while safety performance improved and fertilizer output at Conda and Arraias remained strong despi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026