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Intact Financial Corporation (TSE:IFC)
TSX:IFC
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Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IFC

Intact Financial Corporation

(TSX:IFC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$327.00
â–²(20.41% Upside)
Intact Financial Corporation's overall stock score of 77 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights. While technical indicators suggest caution, the company's robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for future growth. The valuation is reasonable, and recent corporate events further support the company's positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong growth in personal auto and property premiums indicates robust demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Strategic Expansion
Expanding into new verticals and regions enhances market presence and diversifies revenue streams, positioning the company for sustained growth.
Balance Sheet Strength
A robust balance sheet with significant capital margin ensures financial stability and flexibility to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Commercial Lines
Limited growth in commercial lines due to competition could hinder revenue diversification and impact overall profitability if not addressed.
UK&I Premium Decline
Declining premiums in the UK&I region suggest market challenges that could affect international growth and profitability.
Catastrophe Losses Impact
Increased catastrophe losses can strain financial resources and impact underwriting profitability, posing a risk to future earnings stability.

Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Intact Financial Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and the Middle East. It offers personal auto insurance; insurance for motor homes, recreational vehicles, motorcycles, snowmobiles, and all-terrain vehicles; personal property insurance, such as protection for homes and contents from risks, including fire, theft, vandalism, water damage, and other damages, as well as personal liability coverage; and property coverage for tenants, condominium owners, non-owner occupied residences, and seasonal residences. The company also provides insurance products for commercial lines for a group of small and medium sized businesses; commercial property insurance for the protection of physical assets of the business; and liability coverages comprising commercial general, product, and professional liability, as well as cyber endorsement. In addition, it offers commercial vehicle insurance coverages for the protection for commercial auto, fleets, garage operations, light trucks, public vehicles, and the specific needs of the sharing economy. Further, the company provides various personal levels of coverage to customers for their home, motor, pet, and other insurance products; general insurance, specialty lines, and risk management solutions; specialty insurance products for various product and customer groups, including accident and health, technology, ocean and inland marine, public entities, and entertainment, as well as financial services and institutions; and various products to specialty property, surety, tuition reimbursement, management liability, cyber, and environmental institutions. The company was formerly known as ING Canada Inc. and changed its name to Intact Financial Corporation in 2009. Intact Financial Corporation was founded in 1809 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntact Financial Corporation generates its revenue primarily through the sale of insurance policies and the management of premiums collected from policyholders. The company's key revenue streams include personal insurance lines, such as automobile and property insurance, and commercial insurance products, which cover various industries and business needs. IFC also benefits from investment income earned on the premiums collected, which are invested in a diversified portfolio of assets. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships further enhance IFC's market position and revenue potential, enabling it to expand its product offerings and geographic reach.

Intact Financial Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a robust performance with strong net operating income and improvements in personal lines. However, challenges remain in commercial lines and specific regional markets such as the UK&I and the U.S. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negative, indicating a stable position with opportunities for growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Operating Income
Net operating income per share reached $5.23, an 8% increase from last year, driven by strong underwriting performance across all segments.
Improved Combined Ratio
The combined ratio was strong at 86.1%, with a 1 point improvement year-over-year despite higher catastrophe losses.
Growth in Personal Lines
Personal auto premiums grew 11%, with a combined ratio improvement of 1 point to 90.3%. Personal property premiums grew 10%, with a combined ratio of 84.5%.
Resilient Financial Position
Operating return on equity was above 16% for the third straight quarter, with a strong balance sheet and a total capital margin of $3.1 billion.
Positive Distribution Income
Distribution income of $165 million was driven by a strong contribution from BrokerLink and continued M&A activities.
Successful Climate Initiative
Launched 'Keep it intact,' a national program in Canada to help protect homes from climate threats, and increased funding for municipal climate resiliency grants.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Commercial Lines
Commercial lines remain challenged with only 1% growth due to elevated competition in large accounts.
Pressure in UK&I Business
Premiums in the UK&I business were 5% lower year-over-year due to remediation efforts, with a combined ratio of 92.9% slightly higher year-over-year.
Flat Growth in U.S. Premiums
U.S. premiums were flat year-over-year, with a 5-point drag from large property accounts.
Increased Catastrophe Losses
Second quarter catastrophe losses totaled $137 million, $41 million higher than last year.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 results conference call, Intact Financial Corporation provided guidance focusing on key performance metrics. The company's net operating income per share was reported at $5.23, with a 12% increase in book value per share year-over-year, and an operating return on equity (ROE) exceeding 16%. Top-line growth improved to 4% quarter-over-quarter, led by personal lines. The combined ratio was strong at 86.1%, a 1-point improvement year-over-year, despite higher catastrophe losses this quarter. In Canada, personal auto premiums grew by 11%, and personal property by 10%, with expectations of continued hard market conditions. Commercial lines in Canada saw a 1% premium growth, with a robust combined ratio of 74%. The UK&I business experienced a 5% drop in premiums due to portfolio remediation, although the combined ratio was stable at 92.9%. In the U.S., premiums were flat, yet the combined ratio improved to 87.8%. The company aims for a 10% annual growth in net operating income per share and intends to maintain an industry ROE outperformance by at least 500 basis points annually.

Intact Financial Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intact Financial Corporation demonstrates strong financial health with solid revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and the company shows resilience in generating cash. While there are minor concerns regarding revenue fluctuations and debt levels, the overall financial position remains robust, supporting future growth prospects.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Intact Financial Corporation shows strong revenue growth with a 7.13% increase in TTM. The company maintains robust profitability with a net profit margin of 13.81% and an EBIT margin of 18.38% in TTM. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a slight decline in revenue compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity is strong at 13.08%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, supporting financial stability. However, the slight increase in debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 7.14% growth in free cash flow in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 90.12%, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which may indicate potential issues in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.50B23.74B22.07B19.67B723.00M12.46B
Gross Profit19.53B4.03B22.09B398.00M570.00M12.46B
EBITDA3.98B3.83B2.40B3.08B3.03B1.74B
Net Income2.42B2.30B1.32B2.45B2.07B1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.85B59.53B55.98B53.74B66.35B35.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.51B18.90B17.94B23.85B4.12B2.47B
Total Debt5.43B5.47B5.74B5.28B6.31B3.49B
Total Liabilities41.64B41.38B39.50B37.61B38.20B25.54B
Stockholders Equity19.22B18.15B16.19B15.84B15.67B9.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.51B2.96B1.39B3.25B2.80B2.19B
Operating Cash Flow3.90B3.39B1.85B3.67B3.13B2.35B
Investing Cash Flow-2.42B-1.61B-2.00B-2.75B-5.97B-2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-1.59B-2.01B321.00M-2.21B4.19B79.00M

Intact Financial Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price271.58
Price Trends
50DMA
283.99
Negative
100DMA
294.21
Negative
200DMA
282.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.69
Positive
RSI
41.91
Neutral
STOCH
21.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 271.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 273.83, below the 50-day MA of 283.99, and below the 200-day MA of 282.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:IFC.

Intact Financial Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
59.26B8.4516.10%0.87%16.79%20.82%
77
Outperform
C$48.43B20.8113.23%1.91%5.25%15.06%
76
Outperform
9.07B21.9910.32%0.97%18.98%0.82%
75
Outperform
14.46B14.4712.86%2.36%-4.55%42.41%
75
Outperform
46.68B14.7312.17%4.14%-0.61%6.69%
72
Outperform
49.74B13.4413.06%4.43%15.27%4.72%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
271.58
20.00
7.95%
SLF
Sun Life Financial
60.19
5.62
10.30%
FRFHF
Fairfax Financial Holdings
1,790.63
565.06
46.11%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
53.84
9.89
22.50%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
156.36
50.37
47.52%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
74.55
21.91
41.62%

Intact Financial Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Intact Financial Corporation Achieves Strong Q2-2025 Results Amidst Challenging Conditions
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation reported a solid performance in Q2-2025, with a 4% growth in operating direct premiums written, driven by personal lines. The company achieved a strong combined ratio of 86.1% and an 8% increase in net operating income per share, reflecting robust underwriting and stable investment income. Despite higher catastrophe losses, Intact maintained a solid operating ROE of 16.3%, supported by a resilient balance sheet and strategic growth in personal lines. The company remains well-positioned to capture opportunities and continue delivering on its financial objectives, with expectations of favorable market conditions in the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFC) stock is a Buy with a C$275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intact Financial Corporation stock, see the TSE:IFC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Completes $2.9 Billion Note Amendment
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation announced the successful completion of its consent and proxy solicitation regarding $2.9 billion of medium term notes. The company received the necessary consents to amend the indenture governing these notes, allowing for a proposed amendment to take effect. This move reflects Intact’s strategic financial management and could enhance its operational flexibility, potentially impacting stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFC) stock is a Buy with a C$263.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intact Financial Corporation stock, see the TSE:IFC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Seeks Amendments to $2.9 Billion Medium-Term Notes
Neutral
May 14, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation has initiated a consent and proxy solicitation to amend the indenture governing ten series of its Canadian dollar-denominated medium-term notes, totaling $2.9 billion in principal. The company seeks approval from noteholders for a proposed amendment, with a meeting scheduled if the required consent threshold is not met. This move could impact Intact’s financial operations and stakeholder relations, as it involves potential changes to the terms of significant debt instruments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFC) stock is a Buy with a C$275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intact Financial Corporation stock, see the TSE:IFC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Corporation Announces Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders virtually, where the election of directors, appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as auditor, and the approach to executive compensation were approved by shareholders. The results indicate strong support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction, which may reinforce its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Financial Disclosures
Intact Financial Corporation Reports Strong Q1-2025 Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation reported a strong start to 2025, with a 3% growth in operating direct premiums written, driven by momentum in personal lines. The company maintained a stable combined ratio of 91.3% despite increased catastrophe losses, and achieved a 10% increase in net operating income per share to $4.01. The company’s operating return on equity stood at 16.5%, supported by solid underwriting results and increased investment and distribution income. Intact Financial is well-positioned to continue achieving its financial objectives amidst economic uncertainties, with expectations of continued premium growth in both personal and commercial lines.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025