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Intact Financial Corporation (TSE:IFC)
TSX:IFC
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Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IFC

Intact Financial Corporation

(TSX:IFC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$301.00
â–²(13.51% Upside)
Intact Financial Corporation's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators suggest some short-term weakness, the company's robust financial health and strategic initiatives support a positive outlook. Valuation metrics indicate the stock is fairly valued, providing a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong growth in personal auto premiums indicates robust demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
ROE Improvement
The significant improvement in ROE reflects efficient capital utilization and strong profitability, enhancing shareholder value over time.
AI Investments
AI investments contribute to pricing optimization and underwriting efficiencies, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
UK&I Premium Decline
The decline in UK&I premiums highlights challenges in that market, which could impact overall growth if remediation efforts do not succeed.
High Catastrophe Losses
Significant catastrophe losses can strain financial resources and impact profitability, posing a risk to future earnings stability.
Increased Expense Ratio
Rising expense ratios due to higher broker commissions and compensation can pressure margins, affecting long-term profitability.

Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Intact Financial Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and the Middle East. It offers personal auto insurance; insurance for motor homes, recreational vehicles, motorcycles, snowmobiles, and all-terrain vehicles; personal property insurance, such as protection for homes and contents from risks, including fire, theft, vandalism, water damage, and other damages, as well as personal liability coverage; and property coverage for tenants, condominium owners, non-owner occupied residences, and seasonal residences. The company also provides insurance products for commercial lines for a group of small and medium sized businesses; commercial property insurance for the protection of physical assets of the business; and liability coverages comprising commercial general, product, and professional liability, as well as cyber endorsement. In addition, it offers commercial vehicle insurance coverages for the protection for commercial auto, fleets, garage operations, light trucks, public vehicles, and the specific needs of the sharing economy. Further, the company provides various personal levels of coverage to customers for their home, motor, pet, and other insurance products; general insurance, specialty lines, and risk management solutions; specialty insurance products for various product and customer groups, including accident and health, technology, ocean and inland marine, public entities, and entertainment, as well as financial services and institutions; and various products to specialty property, surety, tuition reimbursement, management liability, cyber, and environmental institutions. The company was formerly known as ING Canada Inc. and changed its name to Intact Financial Corporation in 2009. Intact Financial Corporation was founded in 1809 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntact Financial Corporation generates its revenue primarily through the sale of insurance policies and the management of premiums collected from policyholders. The company's key revenue streams include personal insurance lines, such as automobile and property insurance, and commercial insurance products, which cover various industries and business needs. IFC also benefits from investment income earned on the premiums collected, which are invested in a diversified portfolio of assets. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships further enhance IFC's market position and revenue potential, enabling it to expand its product offerings and geographic reach.

Intact Financial Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong financial performance with significant income and ROE growth, especially in North American operations. However, challenges such as UK&I premium decline and high catastrophe losses were noted, though they aligned with expectations.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Operating Income Growth
Net operating income per share of $4.46, showcasing robust underwriting performance across all geographies and lines of business.
Significant ROE Improvement
Operating ROE improved by 4 points year-over-year to 20%, highlighting successful market navigation and earnings growth.
Positive Growth in Personal Lines
Personal auto premiums grew 11% with a 3% increase in units. Personal property premiums grew 10% with a 2% increase in units.
Distribution Income Growth
Distribution income increased 11% to $147 million, with BrokerLink reaching $5 billion in annual premiums.
U.S. Specialty Lines Performance
U.S. premiums up 8% year-over-year with the combined ratio of 83.6% improving by 4 points. Fast-growing segments exceeded 20% growth.
Negative Updates
UK&I Premium Decline
UK&I premiums were down 5% year-over-year due to ongoing remediation efforts within the DLG portfolio.
High Catastrophe Losses
Catastrophe losses totaled $394 million due to wildfires in Newfoundland and other weather events, aligning with expectations but still significant.
Increased Expense Ratio
Consolidated expense ratio rose by 1.7 points to 34.2%, driven by higher broker commissions and employee compensation.
Company Guidance
During Intact Financial Corporation's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on various financial metrics and market conditions. The company reported a net operating income per share of $4.46, driven by strong underwriting performance and top-line growth of 6%. The combined ratio was maintained at a sub-90 level, highlighting effective margin management. The operating return on equity (ROE) improved by 4 points year-over-year to 20%, reflecting robust performance across all regions, particularly in personal and commercial lines. The Canadian market showed an 11% growth in personal auto premiums and a 10% growth in personal property, with the combined ratio in personal lines at 91.5% and 92.4%, respectively. Intact's UK&I business experienced a 5% decline in premiums due to ongoing remediation efforts, but the company expects growth to rebound as these efforts taper off. In the U.S., premiums increased by 8%, with certain segments growing over 20% and maintaining low 80s combined ratios. The company's investments in AI have generated over $150 million in annual recurring benefits, contributing to pricing optimization and underwriting efficiencies. Intact's capital margin stands at $3.3 billion, and it remains well-positioned to pursue M&A opportunities, with a focus on maintaining an operating ROE above mid-teens and achieving net operating income per share growth of 10% annually.

Intact Financial Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intact Financial Corporation demonstrates strong financial health with solid revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and the company shows resilience in generating cash. While there are minor concerns regarding revenue fluctuations and debt levels, the overall financial position remains robust, supporting future growth prospects.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Intact Financial Corporation shows strong revenue growth with a 7.13% increase in TTM. The company maintains robust profitability with a net profit margin of 13.81% and an EBIT margin of 18.38% in TTM. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a slight decline in revenue compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity is strong at 13.08%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, supporting financial stability. However, the slight increase in debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 7.14% growth in free cash flow in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 90.12%, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which may indicate potential issues in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.50B23.74B22.07B19.67B723.00M12.46B
Gross Profit19.53B4.03B22.09B398.00M570.00M12.46B
EBITDA3.98B3.83B2.40B3.08B3.03B1.74B
Net Income2.42B2.30B1.32B2.45B2.07B1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.85B59.53B55.98B53.74B66.35B35.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.51B18.90B17.94B23.85B4.12B2.47B
Total Debt5.43B5.47B5.74B5.28B6.31B3.49B
Total Liabilities41.64B41.38B39.50B37.61B38.20B25.54B
Stockholders Equity19.22B18.15B16.19B15.84B15.67B9.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.51B2.96B1.39B3.25B2.80B2.19B
Operating Cash Flow3.90B3.39B1.85B3.67B3.13B2.35B
Investing Cash Flow-2.42B-1.61B-2.00B-2.75B-5.97B-2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-1.59B-2.01B321.00M-2.21B4.19B79.00M

Intact Financial Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price265.18
Price Trends
50DMA
267.80
Negative
100DMA
282.52
Negative
200DMA
283.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.70
Negative
RSI
51.14
Neutral
STOCH
67.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 265.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 263.09, below the 50-day MA of 267.80, and below the 200-day MA of 283.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:IFC.

Intact Financial Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$47.29B20.3213.23%1.96%5.25%15.06%
76
Outperform
$53.64B7.6918.70%0.96%16.79%20.82%
76
Outperform
C$54.79B14.8614.19%4.01%15.27%4.72%
75
Outperform
C$48.64B15.3513.38%3.98%-0.61%6.69%
73
Outperform
C$15.47B15.5113.43%2.20%-4.55%42.41%
73
Outperform
C$7.99B19.3711.48%1.10%18.98%0.82%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
265.18
6.04
2.33%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
86.50
7.21
9.10%
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,245.00
443.31
24.61%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
59.53
12.73
27.20%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
167.55
40.55
31.93%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
65.68
10.81
19.70%

Intact Financial Corporation Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Intact Financial Reports Strong Q3-2025 Results with Robust Growth
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation reported strong Q3-2025 results, with a 6% increase in operating direct premiums written, driven by growth in commercial and personal lines. The company achieved a combined ratio of 89.8% and a significant increase in net operating income per share to $4.46, reflecting robust underwriting performance and lower catastrophe losses. The operating return on equity rose to 19.6%, highlighting the company’s ability to navigate market cycles effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFC) stock is a Buy with a C$358.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intact Financial Corporation stock, see the TSE:IFC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025