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Hammond Power Solutions (TSE:HPS.A)
TSX:HPS.A
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Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HPS.A

Hammond Power Solutions

(TSX:HPS.A)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$221.00
▲(60.25% Upside)
Hammond Power Solutions demonstrates strong financial performance and growth potential, driven by revenue and backlog increases. However, high valuation, cash flow concerns, and margin pressures present risks. The technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions.

Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Hammond Power Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHammond Power Solutions (HPS.A) is a leading manufacturer of electrical transformers and related power products, serving the global market across various sectors, including industrial, commercial, and renewable energy. The company specializes in a wide range of products, including dry-type transformers, custom electrical enclosures, and power quality solutions, catering to the needs of diverse clients and applications in both North America and internationally.
How the Company Makes MoneyHammond Power Solutions generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electrical transformers and related products, which are essential components in the distribution and management of electrical power. Key revenue streams include standard transformer sales, custom transformer solutions, and aftermarket services, such as maintenance and support. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with distributors and suppliers, which enhance its market reach and provide access to a broader customer base. Additionally, HPS capitalizes on the growing demand for energy-efficient solutions and renewable energy applications, positioning itself to capture emerging market opportunities.

Hammond Power Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased strong revenue growth and significant backlog increase, primarily driven by the U.S. and data center segments. However, profitability was challenged by material cost pressures, tariff impacts, and unabsorbed overheads in new facilities. While the company is optimistic about future quarters, current margin pressures and economic uncertainties in certain markets present notable challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue reached $218 million, marking the second best quarter for shipments ever and a 14% increase compared to Q3 2024, driven by U.S. shipments and gains in all market channels.
Significant Backlog Increase
Order volume grew the backlog by 28% compared to the beginning of the year, mainly driven by the U.S. distribution network and OEM business.
Expansion of Manufacturing Capacity
New facilities and equipment in Mexico will add approximately $100 million of capacity, increasing total manufacturing capacity to around $1.2 billion by 2027.
Strong Data Center Segment Performance
Data center activity accelerated, with several large orders received, accounting for 53% of total Q3 closing backlog.
U.S. and Mexico Market Growth
Shipments to the U.S. and Mexico increased by 21% versus the previous year.
Negative Updates
Profitability Decline
Gross margin decreased to 30.1% from 33.8% in Q3 2024 due to ongoing material cost pressures and overhead expenses.
Impact of Tariffs and Input Costs
Changes to steel and aluminum tariffs affected certain products, contributing to reduced margins.
Unabsorbed Overheads in New Facilities
Newer factories in Mexico negatively impacted margins by 233 basis points due to unabsorbed overheads.
Weakness in Canadian Market
Canadian sales decreased by 3%, attributed to slower economic growth and greater uncertainty.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $30,290 million, lower than $34,377 million in Q3 2024, due to lower gross margins despite higher sales volumes.
Company Guidance
During the Hammond Power Solutions Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong performance with revenue reaching $218 million, reflecting a 14% increase compared to Q3 2024. The U.S. market led this growth, particularly through the private label and distribution channels, contributing significantly to a 28% increase in the backlog since the beginning of the year. Despite the rise in sales, the gross margin was pressured, decreasing to 30.1% due to material cost pressures and overheads from new facilities in Mexico, which impacted margins by 233 basis points. Nonetheless, pricing adjustments made in September are expected to improve margins in the fourth quarter. The company also noted a significant backlog, with 53% attributed to data center orders, and anticipates expanding its manufacturing capacity to approximately $1.2 billion by 2027, primarily from its Monterrey IV facility. Net earnings for the quarter were reported at $17,440 million, with adjusted EBITDA at $30,290 million, while adjusted EPS stood at $1.56. Looking forward, Hammond Power Solutions expects its increased backlog to alleviate under-absorption challenges and anticipates positive impacts from recent pricing actions.

Hammond Power Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hammond Power Solutions shows strong financial health with significant revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The balance sheet demonstrates low leverage and a strong equity base, though a decline in free cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows strong performance with a consistent upward trend in revenue and net income over the years. Gross Profit Margin stands at 32.7% for TTM, reflecting robust profitability, while Net Profit Margin is 11.2%, indicating efficient cost management. Revenue growth has been significant, with a TTM increase of 13.8% from the previous year, showcasing strong demand and market position. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 15.8% and 17.3% respectively, underscoring operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.15, indicating low financial leverage and a conservative capital structure. Return on Equity is impressive at 27.3% for TTM, highlighting effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is 64.4%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which provides stability. However, slight increases in total liabilities warrant monitoring to ensure continued financial health.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of -40.5% from the previous year, indicating a decline that could be due to increased capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.62 for TTM, suggesting reasonable cash generation relative to accounting profit. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.16, which is relatively low and signals potential constraints in liquidity, despite positive operational cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue826.27M788.34M710.06M558.46M380.20M322.10M
Gross Profit265.35M258.28M231.01M165.19M102.43M86.99M
EBITDA125.39M112.69M96.00M69.74M30.05M29.33M
Net Income79.59M71.53M63.40M44.83M15.18M14.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets526.05M493.14M408.34M302.67M235.10M189.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.86M34.09M52.59M28.13M20.91M14.79M
Total Debt64.26M36.23M37.03M17.59M28.76M25.39M
Total Liabilities199.61M185.10M177.97M125.78M109.10M75.48M
Stockholders Equity326.44M308.04M230.38M176.89M126.00M113.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.13M24.05M23.55M27.68M14.38M14.75M
Operating Cash Flow36.84M64.75M44.11M37.01M20.45M19.68M
Investing Cash Flow-65.50M-62.98M-19.36M-12.67M-10.91M-4.75M
Financing Cash Flow6.67M-24.21M755.00K-22.30M-4.26M-24.18M

Hammond Power Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price137.91
Price Trends
50DMA
133.05
Positive
100DMA
127.96
Positive
200DMA
109.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
20.89
Negative
RSI
88.23
Negative
STOCH
97.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HPS.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 137.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.26, above the 50-day MA of 133.05, and above the 200-day MA of 109.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 20.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 88.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:HPS.A.

Hammond Power Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$127.17M7.1315.17%0.53%11.45%-2.19%
$363.77M229.048.02%17.08%
C$2.14B26.4825.65%0.51%11.19%19.13%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
C$214.99M-93.72-26.19%24.53%7.85%
C$22.70M-341.84%27.76%-0.37%
C$11.46M-405.71%163.76%-113.54%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HPS.A
Hammond Power Solutions
214.00
98.25
84.88%
TSE:ELVA
Electrovaya
9.07
6.21
217.13%
TSE:HMM.A
Hammond Mfg Cl A SV
11.22
1.54
15.91%
TSE:LPS
Legend Power Systems
0.15
-0.09
-37.50%
TSE:EXRO
Exro Technologies
0.02
-0.11
-84.62%
TSE:GRID
Tantalus Systems Holding
4.49
2.79
164.12%

Hammond Power Solutions Corporate Events

Hammond Power Solutions Reports Strong Growth Amid Profit Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

The recent earnings call for Hammond Power Solutions (OTC) highlighted a mixed sentiment, with strong revenue growth and a significant backlog increase being overshadowed by challenges in profitability. The company expressed optimism for future quarters, but current margin pressures and economic uncertainties in certain markets remain significant hurdles.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hammond Power Solutions Sees Strong Q3 2025 Growth Amid Market Challenges
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions reported a strong third quarter in 2025, with sales reaching $218 million, marking a 13.7% increase compared to the same period in 2024. The company experienced significant growth in the U.S. market, particularly in private label and distribution channels, despite facing challenges such as material cost inflation and tariffs. The backlog increased by 27.7% since the beginning of the year, with substantial orders from data centers expected to be fulfilled primarily in 2026 from their new facilities in Mexico. This growth trajectory is supported by strategic pricing actions and capital investments to accommodate the rising demand.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HPS.A) stock is a Buy with a C$156.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hammond Power Solutions stock, see the TSE:HPS.A Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Hammond Power Solutions to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. announced it will release its third-quarter financial results for 2025 on October 23, after market close, followed by a conference call and webcast on October 24. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its industry positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HPS.A) stock is a Buy with a C$129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hammond Power Solutions stock, see the TSE:HPS.A Stock Forecast page.

Other
Hammond Power Solutions Recognized in 2025 TSX30 Ranking
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions has been recognized in the 2025 TSX30 ranking, which highlights the top-performing companies on the Toronto Stock Exchange. This inclusion signifies the company’s successful execution of its mission to simplify electrification and underscores its strong market positioning and growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HPS.A) stock is a Buy with a C$144.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hammond Power Solutions stock, see the TSE:HPS.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Hammond Power Solutions Addresses Impact of U.S. Tariff Changes
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. has announced that the recently expanded U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum derivative products will affect certain materials and components in its products. The company believes these tariffs will have a uniform impact across the industry and plans to work with customers and suppliers to manage the additional costs. Despite potential short-term implications, HPS does not expect a material impact on its business and remains focused on its long-term strategy to grow market share in the U.S. and select global markets.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HPS.A) stock is a Buy with a C$144.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hammond Power Solutions stock, see the TSE:HPS.A Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Hammond Power Solutions Declares Quarterly Dividend
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.275 per Class A Subordinate Voting Share and Class B Common Share, payable on September 25, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 18, 2025. This dividend is designated as an ‘eligible dividend’ for Canadian income tax purposes, which may have implications for shareholders’ tax situations.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:HPS.A) stock is a Buy with a C$144.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hammond Power Solutions stock, see the TSE:HPS.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025