Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.94B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 105.83K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 35.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.38
• Revenue Growth: 3.78%
• EPS Growth: -54.87%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 4,462
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 46,063,976
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 106,859
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 105,825
• PEG Ratio: -1.81
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.26
• P/FCF Ratio: 15.59
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.00
• 1Y Price Target: $18.77
• Price Target Upside: 6.31% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: C$18.50 ▲(4.76% Upside)

Canada Goose Holdings' overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and strong DTC sales growth, offset by high leverage, declining profit margins, and valuation concerns. Technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, while strategic investments in new products and markets offer long-term growth potential.

Positive Factors

Direct-to-Consumer Sales Growth

The strong growth in direct-to-consumer sales indicates a successful strategy in capturing higher margins and customer loyalty, enhancing long-term revenue potential.

New Product Offerings

The increase in revenue from new products demonstrates innovation and adaptability, crucial for maintaining competitive advantage and market relevance.

Gross Margin Improvement

Improved gross margins reflect efficient cost management and favorable sales mix, supporting profitability and financial health over the long term.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns, potentially impacting long-term stability.

Pressure on Operating Margin

Continued pressure on operating margins due to increased expenses may hinder profitability, affecting the company's ability to reinvest in growth.

Revenue Decline in Key Regions

Declining revenue in key markets like North America suggests challenges in maintaining market share, which could impact overall growth prospects.

Canada Goose Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. is a Canadian luxury apparel company known for its premium outerwear, particularly its down-filled jackets designed for extreme weather conditions. Founded in 1957, the company operates primarily in the apparel sector, catering to consumers looking for high-quality, stylish, and functional clothing. Canada Goose's core products include parkas, jackets, vests, and accessories, with a strong emphasis on craftsmanship and sustainability, often utilizing ethically sourced materials. The brand has a significant presence in both retail and e-commerce, appealing to a global clientele.

How the Company Makes Money

Canada Goose generates revenue primarily through the sale of its high-end outerwear and apparel products. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model that includes branded retail stores and an online platform, which allows for higher profit margins compared to wholesale distribution. Key revenue streams include sales from both international and domestic markets, with a notable increase in direct-to-consumer sales contributing to overall growth. Additionally, Canada Goose has established partnerships with select luxury retailers and department stores to expand its reach. The brand's strong reputation and loyal customer base, along with seasonal demand for winter apparel, further bolster its earnings.

Canada Goose Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Canada Goose Holdings demonstrates solid financial performance with strong cash flow generation and stable revenue growth. However, challenges with declining profit margins and high leverage could impact future profitability and financial stability.

Income Statement

Canada Goose Holdings shows a stable revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.45%. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 70%, indicating efficient production and pricing strategies. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 3.44% in the TTM, reflecting increased costs or reduced pricing power. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting potential operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.67, indicating significant leverage which could pose risks in economic downturns. Return on equity has decreased to 10.30% in the TTM, showing reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to financing assets.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 40.1% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.75, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.94, reflecting efficient cash management and conversion of profits into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.37B	1.35B	1.33B	1.22B	1.10B	903.70M
Gross Profit	956.70M	943.10M	917.40M	815.20M	733.60M	554.00M
EBITDA	233.70M	299.80M	244.30M	236.50M	263.70M	192.10M
Net Income	47.00M	94.80M	58.40M	72.70M	94.60M	70.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.53B	1.62B	1.48B	1.59B	1.34B	1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	180.50M	334.40M	144.90M	286.50M	287.70M	477.90M
Total Debt	721.90M	742.80M	728.40M	754.00M	620.70M	622.60M
Total Liabilities	1.08B	1.06B	1.06B	1.11B	912.70M	907.10M
Stockholders Equity	431.70M	541.20M	417.00M	469.50M	427.90M	600.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	275.10M	274.00M	108.10M	68.20M	114.40M	261.70M
Operating Cash Flow	292.50M	292.40M	164.60M	116.30M	151.60M	293.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-17.40M	-18.40M	-72.40M	-45.30M	-37.20M	-32.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-165.30M	-93.60M	-232.80M	-80.70M	-298.20M	197.00M

Canada Goose Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 17.66
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GOOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.80, below the 50-day MA of 19.04, and above the 200-day MA of 15.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GOOS.

Canada Goose Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ATZ	79 Outperform	$11.19B	37.88	26.49%	―	26.51%	172.52%
GIL	77 Outperform	$11.93B	18.28	31.12%	1.51%	6.64%	27.37%
PBL	68 Neutral	C$545.68M	15.11	10.85%	1.01%	10.36%	-4.77%
GOOS	65 Neutral	$1.94B	35.38	6.07%	―	3.78%	-54.87%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
ROOT	55 Neutral	C$129.93M	-4.19	-19.83%	―	4.47%	-3217.53%
UNI	46 Neutral	C$23.77M	-8.92	-16.28%	―	-3.10%	67.01%

Canada Goose Holdings Corporate Events

Canada Goose Reports Mixed Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., a Canadian company known for its high-performance outerwear and apparel, operates in the fashion and retail industry with a focus on craftsmanship and individuality. In its second quarter fiscal 2026 results, Canada Goose reported a 1.8% increase in total revenue to $272.6 million, with direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenue showing a significant rise of 21.8%. The company highlighted its strategic investments in product offerings and brand elevation, alongside expanding its global retail footprint with new store openings.

Canada Goose’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

Canada Goose’s latest earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, with the company showcasing robust sales growth in its direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel and a surge in new product offerings, particularly in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. However, challenges such as operating margin pressures and revenue declines in certain regions were also highlighted. Despite these hurdles, the company expressed confidence in its strategic investments aimed at long-term growth, even as it navigates short-term margin pressures.

Canada Goose Reports Q2 2025 Financial Loss Amid Rising Costs

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. released its consolidated interim financial statements for the second quarter ending September 28, 2025. The company reported a net loss of $17.4 million for the quarter, compared to a net income of $6.3 million in the same period last year. Despite an increase in revenue to $272.6 million, up from $267.8 million, the company faced higher selling, general, and administrative expenses, which contributed to the loss. The financial results reflect challenges in maintaining profitability amidst rising costs, impacting the company’s financial performance and potentially affecting its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GOOS) stock is a Hold with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canada Goose Holdings stock, see the TSE:GOOS Stock Forecast page.

Canada Goose Holdings Amends Term Loan Facility for Financial Flexibility

On August 21, 2025, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. announced an amendment to its senior secured term loan facility, originally established in 2016. The amendment includes an extension of the maturity of certain existing term loans and the borrowing of new refinancing term loans, totaling an aggregate principal amount of $300 million. This financial restructuring aims to refinance existing loans and support general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing the company’s financial stability and operational flexibility. The new loans will mature on August 23, 2032, and are subject to specific interest rates and amortization terms, reflecting a strategic move to optimize the company’s financial commitments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GOOS) stock is a Hold with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canada Goose Holdings stock, see the TSE:GOOS Stock Forecast page.

Canada Goose Announces Director Elections and Auditor Reappointment

On August 8, 2025, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. announced the results of its annual meeting of shareholders, where all nominated directors were elected with a majority of votes. Deloitte LLP was also reappointed as the company’s auditor for the ensuing year, reflecting strong shareholder support and stability in the company’s governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GOOS) stock is a Hold with a C$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canada Goose Holdings stock, see the TSE:GOOS Stock Forecast page.