Want to see TSE:FM full AI Analyst Report?
First Quantum Minerals (FM) AI Stock Analysis
Top Page
First Quantum Minerals
(TSX:FM)
The score is held back primarily by weakened cash-flow quality (negative TTM free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings-call commentary and financial recovery trends provide support, but valuation is a major headwind given the very high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
First Quantum Minerals (FM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
- Market Cap
- CAD 19.33B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 2.53M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 116.7
- Beta (1Y)
- 2.56
- Revenue Growth
- 28.43%
- EPS Growth
- 279.02%
- Country
- Canada
- Employees
- 15,661
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Copper
First Quantum Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
First Quantum Minerals Ltd., through its associated companies, specializes in the exploration, development, and extraction of mineral resources. Its core business involves seeking out and mining a range of ores, including copper, nickel, pyrite, gold...
How the Company Makes Money
First Quantum Minerals makes money primarily by selling metal products produced from its mining and processing operations. Its main revenue stream is copper sales, typically in the form of copper concentrate and/or copper cathode depending on the sit...
First Quantum Minerals Earnings Call Summary
The call was broadly positive, supported by record copper prices, a 37% increase in revenue, EBITDA of $844 million, higher quarterly copper production, progress at Cobre Panama, balance sheet improvement and increased nickel and Guelb Moghrein gold guidance. However, the company also reported lower or revised production guidance in several areas, higher cost guidance from fuel and currency pressures, operational delays at Kansanshi and ongoing legal, commercial and timing uncertainty surrounding a full Cobre Panama restart. Overall, the positive financial and operational developments significantly outweighed the stated challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For 2026, copper production guidance has been narrowed to between 175,000 and 185,000 tonnes, gold production guidance has been lowered to between 95,000 and 105,000 ounces, Sentinel production guidance has been updated to between 190,000 and 200,000 tonnes of copper, Cobre Panama stockpile processing is expected to produce 30,000 to 40,000 tonnes of copper and 10,000 to 15,000 ounces of gold, Enterprise production guidance has increased to between 40,000 and 45,000 tonnes of contained nickel, Guelb Moghrein copper production guidance is approximately 7,000 tonnes and gold production guidance has increased to 45,000 to 50,000 ounces, copper C1 cost guidance is $2.50 to $2.65 per pound, all-in sustaining cost guidance is $4.10 to $4.25 per pound, Enterprise nickel cost guidance is $3 to $3.25 per pound, and total capital expenditure guidance is $1.15 billion to $1.25 billion; acid sales are assumed at around 45,000 tonnes through the balance, with acid prices above $200 supporting continued sales and potentially about a 1,000-tonne impact per quarter on copper production, Cobre Panama is expected to ramp up to 80% or so in 6 to 9 months and ultimately move toward 100 million tonnes per year, and the company is targeting the region of 1x net debt to EBITDA before project sanction.
First Quantum Minerals Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income statement and balance sheet show an improving recovery (revenue up and profitability back to positive; leverage has moderated), but cash flow is the key weakness with TTM free cash flow turning negative and not covering net income, signaling reduced near-term financial flexibility.
Income Statement
62PositiveBalance Sheet
64PositiveCash Flow
45Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.49B | 5.24B | 4.80B | 6.46B | 7.63B | 7.21B |
| Gross Profit | 1.67B | 1.46B | 1.35B | 1.29B | 2.20B | 2.56B |
| EBITDA | 2.32B | 1.78B | 1.59B | 2.22B | 3.27B | 3.57B |
| Net Income | 172.00M | -28.00M | 2.00M | -954.00M | 1.03B | 832.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 25.16B | 25.24B | 24.11B | 23.76B | 25.08B | 25.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 796.00M | 716.00M | 843.00M | 1.16B | 1.69B | 1.86B |
| Total Debt | 6.11B | 5.91B | 6.37B | 7.58B | 7.38B | 7.91B |
| Total Liabilities | 13.43B | 13.70B | 12.21B | 12.98B | 12.84B | 13.78B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.50B | 11.16B | 11.47B | 10.25B | 10.90B | 10.02B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -107.00M | 462.97M | 365.00M | 127.00M | 1.17B | 1.89B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.03B | 1.62B | 1.65B | 1.43B | 2.33B | 2.88B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -988.08M | -1.16B | -1.29B | -1.38B | -1.17B | -1.10B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -226.77M | -621.70M | -501.00M | -776.00M | -1.33B | -841.00M |
First Quantum Minerals Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.60 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.78, below the 50-day MA of 41.60, and below the 200-day MA of 38.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:FM.
First Quantum Minerals Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
TSE:HBM74Outperform
TSE:TKO74Outperform
TSE:LUN71Outperform
TSE:ERO67Neutral
TSE:CS66Neutral
TSE:FM51Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74Outperform | CAD 13.52B | 12.84 | 18.43% | 0.10% | 13.43% | 129.98% | |
| 74Outperform | CAD 3.77B | 894.27 | 1.33% | ― | 68.28% | ― | |
| 71Outperform | CAD 24.73B | 11.71 | 22.97% | 0.38% | 28.67% | ― | |
| 67Neutral | CAD 4.24B | 9.77 | 30.09% | ― | 93.28% | 113.62% | |
| 66Neutral | CAD 8.43B | 12.81 | 9.18% | ― | 30.49% | 4.99% | |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
| 51Neutral | CAD 27.20B | 116.65 | 1.53% | ― | 28.43% | 279.02% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:FM | First Quantum Minerals (OTC) | 32.60 | 4.12 | 14.47% | |
| TSE:HBM | Hudbay Minerals | 30.43 | 8.18 | 36.76% | |
| TSE:TKO | Trekor Metals Limited | 10.30 | 4.02 | 64.01% | |
| TSE:LUN | Lundin Mining Corp | 28.90 | 6.54 | 29.23% | |
| TSE:CS | Capstone Copper Corp | 11.00 | -1.29 | -10.50% | |
| TSE:ERO | Ero Copper Corp. | 40.67 | 11.68 | 40.29% |
First Quantum Minerals Corporate Events
First Quantum Posts Strong Q3 2026 Results as Cobre Panamá Recommissioning Advances
PositiveFirst Quantum Minerals reported a sharp improvement in third-quarter 2026 financial performance, driven by higher copper production, stronger realized metals prices and lower fuel costs. Gross profit more than doubled to $678 million and EBITDA rose...
First Quantum Opens Door to New Cobre Panamá Pact After Government Report
PositiveFirst Quantum Minerals says it will engage constructively with the Government of Panama after a ministerial commission submitted a comprehensive report on the Cobre Panamá mine and recommended opening formal negotiations for a new operating agre...
First Quantum Sets Date for Third-Quarter 2026 Results Amid Operational Shifts
NeutralFirst Quantum Minerals Ltd. will release its third quarter 2026 financial and operating results after the close of the Toronto Stock Exchange on October 28, 2026. The company will follow this disclosure with a conference call and webcast on October 2...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026