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Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSE:FFH)
TSX:FFH
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Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings

(TSX:FFH)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$2,648.00
â–²(18.89% Upside)
Fairfax Financial Holdings scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including significant net earnings growth and investment gains. The stock's undervaluation adds to its appeal, although technical indicators suggest caution in the short term.
Positive Factors
Strong Net Earnings Growth
The significant increase in net earnings reflects Fairfax's effective business strategies and operational efficiency, enhancing its financial stability and capacity for future investments.
Robust Investment Gains
Strong investment gains underscore Fairfax's adept investment management, contributing to its profitability and providing a buffer against underwriting volatility.
Positive Underwriting Results
A solid combined ratio and underwriting profit indicate effective risk management and pricing strategies, reinforcing Fairfax's competitive position in the insurance market.
Negative Factors
Decline in Profits of Associates
The decline in associate profits may impact overall earnings, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in Fairfax's investment portfolio and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Challenges in North American Insurance Segment
Decreased premiums in the North American segment suggest competitive pressures or market challenges, potentially affecting Fairfax's revenue growth and market share.
Underperformance at Zenith
Zenith's underwriting loss indicates pricing or risk selection issues, which could strain Fairfax's profitability if not addressed, especially in the workers' compensation space.

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFairfax Financial Holdings Limited (FFH) is a Canadian-based financial services holding company with a diverse portfolio that includes property and casualty insurance, reinsurance, and investment management. Established in 1985, the company operates through various subsidiaries and provides a range of services across multiple sectors, focusing on underwriting, risk management, and investment strategies. Fairfax's core products include insurance policies, reinsurance contracts, and asset management services, aimed at both individual and institutional clients globally.
How the Company Makes MoneyFairfax Financial generates revenue primarily through its insurance and reinsurance operations, where it earns premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage against various risks. The company invests the premiums it collects into a diversified investment portfolio, which includes equities, fixed income, and alternative investments, generating investment income. Additionally, Fairfax benefits from underwriting profits, which occur when the premiums received exceed the claims paid out and operating expenses. Significant partnerships with other insurers and reinsurers enhance its market reach and capacity for risk acceptance, further contributing to its earnings. The company's strategic focus on long-term value creation through disciplined underwriting and proactive investment management also plays a crucial role in its profitability.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong financial performance with robust net earnings growth, increased book value per share, and significant investment gains. However, there were notable challenges in specific segments, particularly in associate profits and some North American insurance operations.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Earnings Growth
Net earnings increased to $1.4 billion in Q2 2025, up from $915 million in Q2 2024. Net earnings for the first half of 2025 totaled $2.4 billion.
Book Value Per Share Increase
Book value per share rose to $1,158 in Q2 2025, marking a 10.8% increase in the first half of the year, adjusted for a $15 dividend.
Robust Investment Gains
Net gains on investments were $952 million in the quarter, driven by equity exposures and bond portfolio gains.
Positive Underwriting Results
The combined ratio was 93.3%, producing an underwriting profit of $427 million. Most insurance and reinsurance operations posted profits.
International Growth
International insurance and reinsurance operations saw a 4.2% increase in gross premiums, with standout growth in Europe and Asia.
Rating Upgrades
Standard & Poor's upgraded the financial strength ratings of core operating companies to AA- and debt rating to A-; AM Best upgraded Allied World's rating to A+.
Negative Updates
Decline in Profits of Associates
Profits of associates decreased to $131 million, down from $221 million the previous year, driven by losses on the Waterous fund.
Challenges in North American Insurance Segment
The North American Insurance segment saw a 1% decrease in gross premiums, with Northbridge's gross premium down 2.9% in Canadian dollar terms.
Underperformance at Zenith
Zenith's combined ratio was 103.3%, representing an underwriting loss of $6 million due to multiple years of rate decreases in the workers' compensation space.
Gulf Insurance Challenges
Gulf Insurance had a combined ratio of 97.9%, negatively affected by elevated loss ratios on its health business and the loss of a major insurance contract.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 second quarter, Fairfax reported net earnings of $1.4 billion, up from $915 million in the second quarter of 2024, resulting in net earnings of $2.4 billion for the first half of 2025. Operating income from insurance and reinsurance, before risk margin, was $1.1 billion, with underwriting income at $427 million. Interest and dividend income increased to $666 million, while net gains on investments were $952 million. The book value per share rose to $1,158, marking a 10.8% increase for the first half, adjusted for a $15 dividend. Gross premiums written totaled $9.1 billion, up 2.6% year-over-year. The combined ratio was 93.3%, with underwriting profit at $427 million. Reserve development contributed $163 million. Fairfax maintained a strong financial position with $3 billion in cash and investments at the holding company level and a total debt to total capital ratio of 25.9%.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin and improving net profit margin. The company shows a solid financial foundation with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio and strong return on equity. Cash flow generation is robust, although there is room for improvement in converting operating income to cash.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 80% and a net profit margin improving to 14.61% in TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 4.06% in TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 in TTM, indicating balanced leverage. Return on equity is strong at 18.64%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial foundation.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 26.61% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.88, reflecting good cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.25B28.45B31.83B25.82B25.80B19.79B
Gross Profit25.26B28.45B25.80B25.82B25.80B19.79B
EBITDA7.93B7.04B6.09B2.03B-100.50M1.47B
Net Income4.57B3.87B4.38B1.15B3.40B37.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.57B96.78B91.99B92.13B86.65B74.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.04B7.28B7.96B11.70B25.34B16.30B
Total Debt13.22B13.06B10.80B9.32B7.75B8.81B
Total Liabilities73.57B68.43B64.28B71.79B65.33B56.53B
Stockholders Equity25.77B24.07B22.95B16.68B16.39B13.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.36B3.59B-553.50M-4.84B6.29B-133.50M
Operating Cash Flow3.79B3.99B-39.40M-4.42B6.64B139.80M
Investing Cash Flow-1.26B-1.32B92.00M384.80M1.84B-46.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.65B-1.56B-1.07B-1.29B-1.19B436.90M

Fairfax Financial Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2227.22
Price Trends
50DMA
2381.67
Negative
100DMA
2402.71
Negative
200DMA
2248.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-42.05
Positive
RSI
36.24
Neutral
STOCH
33.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FFH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2227.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2342.98, below the 50-day MA of 2381.67, and below the 200-day MA of 2248.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -42.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:FFH.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$47.29B20.3216.27%1.96%2.51%44.44%
76
Outperform
$53.64B7.6918.70%0.96%16.79%20.82%
76
Outperform
C$54.79B14.8614.19%4.02%15.27%4.72%
75
Outperform
C$48.64B15.3513.38%3.98%-0.61%6.69%
73
Outperform
C$15.47B15.5114.34%2.27%-25.13%16.40%
73
Outperform
C$7.99B19.3711.48%1.10%18.98%0.82%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,227.22
425.53
23.62%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
87.03
7.74
9.77%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
59.32
12.52
26.75%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
162.85
35.85
28.23%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
269.73
10.59
4.09%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
67.36
12.49
22.76%

Fairfax Financial Holdings Corporate Events

Fairfax Sells Eurolife Life Insurance Stake to Eurobank
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced the sale of its 80% equity interest in the life insurance business operated by Eurolife FFH Insurance Group Holdings S.A. to Eurobank for €813 million. Fairfax will retain its 80% interest in Eurolife’s property and casualty insurance business and acquire a 45% equity interest in Eurobank’s property and casualty insurance operations in Cyprus for €59 million. This strategic move allows Fairfax to focus on its core property and casualty insurance operations while benefiting from Eurolife’s continued success under Eurobank’s ownership.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2792.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Fairfax Sells Eurolife Life Insurance Stake to Eurobank
Neutral
Oct 13, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the sale of its 80% equity interest in the life insurance business of Eurolife FFH Insurance Group Holdings S.A. to Eurobank for €813 million. This strategic move allows Fairfax to focus on its core operations in property and casualty insurance while maintaining a stake in the life insurance sector through Eurobank. Additionally, Fairfax will acquire a 45% equity interest in Eurobank’s property and casualty insurance business in Cyprus, with an option to increase its stake over time. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, and it positions Fairfax to strengthen its presence in the Greek insurance market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2792.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial Announces New Share Buyback Program
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced its intention to commence a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) for its Subordinate Voting Shares and several series of Preferred Shares, as approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange. The NCIB, effective from September 30, 2025, to September 29, 2026, aims to purchase shares that Fairfax believes represent an attractive investment opportunity, potentially enhancing shareholder value. Fairfax has also implemented an automatic share purchase plan to facilitate purchases during regulatory or internal trading black-out periods.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2712.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial Announces September 2025 Quarterly Dividends
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced its quarterly dividends for Series G, H, I, J, and K preferred shares, with payment dates set for late September 2025. Additionally, the company disclosed the quarterly dividend rate for Series J preferred shares for the period ending December 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Fairfax’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact stakeholders by providing clarity on expected returns and financial planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2655.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial to Redeem Preferred Shares in September 2025
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited announced its plan to redeem all outstanding Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares, Series G, and Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares, Series H, on September 30, 2025. The redemption will be at a price of C$25.00 per share, totaling C$250.0 million, plus accrued dividends. Following the redemption, these shares will be delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange, impacting the company’s capital structure and potentially affecting stakeholders’ investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2655.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Completes C$700 Million Senior Notes Offering
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited successfully completed a C$700 million senior notes offering, consisting of C$400 million in 4.45% Senior Notes due 2035 and C$300 million in 5.10% Senior Notes due 2055. The proceeds from this offering are intended for refinancing, repaying, or redeeming existing debt and equity obligations, pursuing acquisition or investment opportunities, and for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Fairfax Financial Launches C$700 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced a C$700 million senior notes offering, consisting of C$400 million due in 2035 and C$300 million due in 2055. The proceeds from this offering will be used to refinance existing debt, pursue potential acquisitions, and for general corporate purposes, which may include increasing cash reserves or short-term investments. This strategic move is expected to enhance Fairfax’s financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$2200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Growth
Aug 2, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd is a Toronto-based holding company primarily engaged in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, along with investment management through its subsidiaries.

Fairfax Financial’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by substantial net earnings growth, an increase in book value per share, and robust investment returns. The call highlighted positive underwriting results and expansion in global insurance and reinsurance sectors, alongside ratings upgrades. However, challenges were noted, including a decline in the share of profits from associates and issues at Zenith and Gulf Insurance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Boosted by Investment Gains
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings reported net earnings of $1,436.7 million in Q2 2025, a significant increase from $915.4 million in the same quarter of 2024, driven by substantial net gains on investments. The company’s property and casualty insurance operations showed robust performance with a combined ratio of 93.3% and an underwriting profit of $426.9 million, indicating strong market positioning and effective risk management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$1850.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Schedules Q2 2025 Results Conference Call
Jul 25, 2025

On July 25, 2025, Fairfax Financial Holdings announced a conference call scheduled for August 1, 2025, to discuss its second quarter results for 2025. The results will be released after market close on July 31, 2025, and will be accessible on the company’s website. This announcement indicates Fairfax’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially impacting investor relations and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FFH) stock is a Buy with a C$1850.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fairfax Financial Holdings stock, see the TSE:FFH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 18, 2025