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Firm Cap Mortgage Invest (TSE:FC)
TSX:FC
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Firm Cap Mortgage Invest (FC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FC

Firm Cap Mortgage Invest

(TSX:FC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$13.50
â–²(14.31% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and improved leverage, supported by an attractive income/valuation profile (moderate P/E and ~8.5% yield). The main offsets are a weaker recent revenue trend, uneven/declining recent free cash flow versus the prior period, and only neutral technical momentum.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained TTM net margins near 57% indicate durable earnings power for a mortgage investor. High margins provide a buffer against credit losses and funding cost rises, support steady distributions, and allow reinvestment into the portfolio without immediate reliance on growth.
Negative Factors
Softening Revenue
Declining revenue indicates weaker originations or yield compression in the mortgage portfolio. For a lender/asset manager, sustained top‑line weakness limits scale economies, curtails future earnings growth and can pressure distributions if not offset by margin expansion or cost reductions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained TTM net margins near 57% indicate durable earnings power for a mortgage investor. High margins provide a buffer against credit losses and funding cost rises, support steady distributions, and allow reinvestment into the portfolio without immediate reliance on growth.
Read all positive factors

Firm Cap Mortgage Invest (FC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Firm Cap Mortgage Invest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Firm Capital Mortgage Investment Corporation, operating through its mortgage banker Firm Capital Corporation, offers a comprehensive range of real estate financing solutions throughout Canada. Their services cater to both residential and commercia...
How the Company Makes Money
Firm Cap Mortgage Invest generates revenue by investing in and managing a diversified portfolio of mortgage-backed assets. The company earns income through interest payments on loans and mortgages it originates or acquires, as well as from fees as...

Firm Cap Mortgage Invest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (TTM net margin ~57%) and improved leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.30) support a solid financial profile. Offsetting factors are softening revenue (TTM down ~6.8%) and historically volatile cash flow, with TTM free cash flow down ~31% versus the prior period despite being positive.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue63.56M66.72M68.63M66.22M58.02M45.30M
Gross Profit55.39M62.01M50.82M40.81M40.14M35.36M
EBITDA47.76M49.91M58.66M34.16M32.23M29.99M
Net Income36.11M37.47M35.23M34.16M32.23M29.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets558.74M594.78M631.22M589.61M656.18M640.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.04M14.26M0.009.37M0.000.00
Total Debt128.62M160.85M199.90M182.80M251.24M252.36M
Total Liabilities133.58M169.66M207.84M190.42M257.13M257.61M
Stockholders Equity425.16M425.12M423.39M399.19M399.05M382.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.59M47.26M-13.76M63.47M51.86M40.95M
Operating Cash Flow52.59M47.26M-13.76M63.47M51.86M40.95M
Investing Cash Flow51.39M42.67M0.0062.79M-18.80M-83.19M
Financing Cash Flow-84.65M-63.98M-7.30M-88.26M-27.75M40.35M

Firm Cap Mortgage Invest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.81
Price Trends
50DMA
11.94
Negative
100DMA
11.86
Positive
200DMA
11.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
47.36
Neutral
STOCH
31.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.90, below the 50-day MA of 11.94, and above the 200-day MA of 11.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:FC.

Firm Cap Mortgage Invest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$437.56M12.128.48%8.38%-8.75%-3.51%
70
Outperform
C$1.00B12.2612.71%7.33%10.47%9.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
C$561.83M11.429.35%7.95%-11.74%-1.31%
60
Neutral
C$563.21M28.197.80%8.78%-8.34%-48.32%
55
Neutral
C$538.72M17.934.48%10.00%-10.08%-35.26%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FC
Firm Cap Mortgage Invest
11.91
0.59
5.17%
TSE:AI
Atrium Mortgage Invest
11.70
1.39
13.44%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
5.31
-0.16
-2.85%
TSE:MKP
MCAN Financial
24.63
6.43
35.36%
TSE:TF
Timbercreek Financial
6.51
-0.23
-3.37%

Firm Cap Mortgage Invest Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Firm Capital Posts Higher 2025 Earnings, Trims Portfolio but Maintains Monthly Dividend
Neutral
Mar 13, 2026
Firm Capital Mortgage Investment Corporation reported a 4.7% decline in fourth-quarter 2025 net income to $8.7 million, though full-year net income rose 6.4% to $37.5 million, with annual earnings per share edging up to $1.02. The mortgage investm...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026