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Decisive Dividend Corp (TSE:DE)
:DE
Canadian Market
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Decisive Dividend (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DE

Decisive Dividend

(DE)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.00
▲(8.11% Upside)
Decisive Dividend's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in cash flow generation, which provides financial flexibility. However, the high P/E ratio suggests the stock may be overvalued, partially offset by an attractive dividend yield. Technical indicators show a neutral trend, indicating neither strong upward nor downward momentum.

Decisive Dividend (DE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Decisive Dividend Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDecisive Dividend (DE) is a Canadian investment company that specializes in acquiring and growing established, profitable businesses primarily in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. The company focuses on leveraging its operational expertise to enhance the performance of its subsidiaries, which are involved in various sectors including aerospace, industrial equipment, and specialty manufacturing. Through strategic acquisitions and active management, Decisive Dividend aims to create long-term value for its shareholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyDecisive Dividend generates revenue primarily through the ownership and operation of its subsidiary companies. The company acquires businesses that demonstrate stable cash flow and growth potential. Its revenue model is based on the performance of these subsidiaries, which contribute earnings through the sale of products and services in their respective markets. Key revenue streams include direct sales from manufacturing operations, service contracts, and ongoing operational improvements that increase efficiency and profitability. Additionally, Decisive Dividend may engage in strategic partnerships that enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Decisive Dividend Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant sequential improvements in sales and EBITDA in Q3 2024 compared to earlier quarters, driven by strong order activity and new market developments. However, there were challenges compared to the record Q3 2023, and the free cash flow payout ratio remains high. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook is positive with expectations of continued improvement into Q4 2024 and 2025.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Q3 2024
Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 were 12% higher than in Q2 2024, and 10% higher than Q1 2024, while overall adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was 65% higher than in Q2 2024 and 42% higher than in Q1 2024.
Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow less maintenance CapEx increased by 163% and 106% relative to Q2 2024 and Q1 2024, though down 29% from Q3 2023.
Strong Order Activity
Order activity in Q4 2024 is up over 65% relative to Q4 2023, spread across 8 of 12 businesses.
New Product and Market Developments
Blaze King and ACR received regulatory approvals for new product design for the U.K. and Europe, and Slimline enhanced its large scale wastewater evaporator product.
Negative Updates
Decline from Record Q3 2023
Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was down 14% and 28% relative to the record Q3 2023.
Free Cash Flow Payout Ratio High
On a TTM basis, the payout ratio increased to 95% in Q3 2024, which remains above the target payout ratio.
Challenges in Agriculture Sector
The agriculture sector had a challenging year, but order activity has recently picked up.
Company Guidance
During the Decisive Dividend Corporation Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Jeff Schellenberg detailed various metrics reflecting operational improvements and future guidance. Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 rose by 12% compared to Q2 2024 and 10% compared to Q1 2024, while adjusted EBITDA surged by 65% and 42%, respectively, over the same periods. Despite a 14% drop from the record Q3 2023 levels, the EBITDA margin percentage improved by over 5% from Q2 2024 and nearly 4% from Q1 2024. Non-variable operating expenses were reduced by over 2% from Q2 2024 and 3% from Q1 2024, contributing to enhanced free cash flow and a 163% and 106% increase relative to Q2 and Q1 2024, although still down 29% from Q3 2023 records. Looking forward, order activity in Q4 2024 is up more than 65% compared to Q4 2023, supporting expectations for continued sequential improvements in revenue and EBITDA into 2025.

Decisive Dividend Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Decisive Dividend demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability improvements. While leverage is relatively high, the company maintains a balanced capital structure. Cash flow generation is a significant strength, providing financial flexibility. Continued focus on improving profit margins and reducing leverage will enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a solid revenue growth rate of 5.49% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. Gross profit margin is stable at 33.36%, though slightly lower than previous periods. Net profit margin improved to 4.02%, reflecting better profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 9.59% and 16.82%, respectively, suggesting efficient operations. However, the decline in gross profit margin from previous years is a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.30, indicating a relatively high leverage, which could pose risks in volatile markets. Return on equity is moderate at 10.31%, showing decent profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is 34.50%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 39.38%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79, showing good cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, reflecting efficient cash utilization. Overall, cash flow metrics are strong, supporting the company's financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue145.25M127.85M134.88M98.59M62.49M48.46M
Gross Profit48.46M47.87M52.76M32.85M21.38M18.42M
EBITDA24.43M18.59M23.44M13.10M8.69M5.93M
Net Income5.84M2.01M8.33M4.08M2.28M-736.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.06M165.23M152.57M98.43M60.30M56.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.00M3.26M4.05M4.73M2.14M3.00M
Total Debt73.44M73.43M55.97M39.01M25.25M24.20M
Total Liabilities107.46M108.34M94.82M64.30M38.08M35.12M
Stockholders Equity56.60M56.88M57.75M34.13M22.22M21.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.71M6.02M11.87M6.29M1.90M9.99M
Operating Cash Flow20.25M12.78M15.79M8.43M3.75M10.75M
Investing Cash Flow-6.76M-14.55M-33.82M-17.20M-1.75M-579.00K
Financing Cash Flow-12.70M726.00K17.25M11.06M-2.82M-7.50M

Decisive Dividend Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.40
Price Trends
50DMA
7.49
Negative
100DMA
7.55
Negative
200DMA
6.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
43.25
Neutral
STOCH
19.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.61, below the 50-day MA of 7.49, and above the 200-day MA of 6.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DE.

Decisive Dividend Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$131.36M7.3714.23%0.50%12.69%-7.21%
69
Neutral
$291.18M190.408.02%17.08%
68
Neutral
C$540.93M20.779.64%7.40%7.68%-20.47%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
C$160.51M27.0410.07%7.52%16.69%111.74%
57
Neutral
C$212.94M-92.83-26.19%24.53%7.85%
52
Neutral
C$73.01M10.6517.74%5.81%-8.92%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DE
Decisive Dividend
7.40
1.57
26.93%
TSE:ELVA
Electrovaya
7.54
4.61
157.34%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.29
-1.19
-47.92%
TSE:DIV
Diversified Royalty Corp
3.49
0.69
24.64%
TSE:HMM.A
Hammond Mfg Cl A SV
11.96
2.49
26.29%
TSE:GRID
Tantalus Systems Holding
3.93
2.23
131.18%

Decisive Dividend Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Declares November Dividend and Schedules Q3 Results Call
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a monthly dividend of $0.045 per common share for November 2025, payable on November 14, 2025, to shareholders of record by October 31, 2025. The company will also host a conference call on November 5, 2025, to discuss its Q3 2025 financial results, which will be released on November 4, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder returns and maintaining transparency with stakeholders through regular financial updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares October 2025 Dividend
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for October 2025, payable on October 15 to shareholders of record as of September 30. Eligible shareholders can reinvest dividends through the company’s dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. This announcement aligns with the company’s strategy to provide sustainable and growing shareholder returns, reinforcing its commitment to maintaining steady cash flows and supporting the long-term success of its acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares September 2025 Dividend
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a dividend of $0.045 per common share for September 2025, payable on September 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This announcement aligns with the company’s ongoing monthly dividend policy and offers eligible shareholders the option to reinvest dividends through its dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. The dividend is designated as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax legislation, reflecting the company’s commitment to providing sustainable and growing shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Decisive Dividend Expands U.S. Market Reach with Venger Group Acquisition
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has acquired Venger Group, a company specializing in overnight cosmetic refurbishment and reskinning of refrigerated display cases for grocery retailers in the U.S., for $4.3 million. This acquisition is expected to enhance Decisive’s operational capabilities and market reach, providing synergies and cross-selling opportunities within its merchandising vertical. The acquisition is aligned with Decisive’s strategy of expanding its footprint in the U.S. market, and it is anticipated to be financially accretive, increasing sales and EBITDA.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Achieves Record Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation reported record financial results for Q2 2025, with a 26% increase in sales and a 56% rise in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company’s strong performance is attributed to its diversified business model, which has led to improved cash flow, reduced leverage ratios, and a lower dividend payout ratio. Despite potential challenges from U.S. trade policies affecting certain sectors, Decisive remains optimistic about its growth prospects, supported by recent acquisitions and robust demand in key product areas.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 18, 2025