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Colliers International Group (CIGI) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:CIGI

Colliers International Group

(TSX:CIGI)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:CAD 143.00â–²(5.70% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The score is driven primarily by stable-to-constructive financial performance (positive cash flow and continued revenue growth) offset by notable margin compression and elevated/rising leverage. The latest earnings call was a meaningful positive, with reaffirmed guidance, strong segment momentum, backlog visibility, and a stated deleveraging plan. Technicals are moderately supportive, while valuation is the key constraint due to the high P/E and low dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue MixA majority recurring earnings mix provides greater visibility than reliance on transaction fees alone. It can support steadier cash generation through property-market cycles, improve planning confidence, and make the broader platform more resilient over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionMaterial margin compression has reduced the amount of revenue converting into earnings, leaving the company more exposed to execution and cost pressures. Thin net profitability also provides less cushion if transaction activity weakens or operating expenses remain elevated.

Colliers International Group (CIGI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%TSE:CIGI-37.96%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 4.81B
Dividend Yield
0.31%
Average Volume (3M)
116.69K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
44.7
Beta (1Y)
1.19
Revenue Growth
14.17%
EPS Growth
-4.41%
Country
Canada
Employees
23,660
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Services

Colliers International Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI.TO) is a global professional services firm specializing in commercial real estate and investment management. They cater to a diverse clientele of corporate and institutional organizations across the Americas, E...

How the Company Makes Money

Colliers primarily makes money by charging fees for services delivered to property owners, occupiers (tenants), investors, and developers, along with fee-based earnings from its investment management operations. 1) Advisory & Transaction Services (co...

Colliers International Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-4.77%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented strong top-line momentum and improved earnings quality across all three platforms (commercial real estate, engineering, and investment management) with notable fundraising progress, AUM growth, completed strategic acquisition (Ayesa), and a healthy engineering backlog. Near-term challenges include margin pressure in investment management due to platform-building costs, higher interest expense affecting EPS, localized outsourcing timing issues in Europe and Asia, and typical engineering seasonality. Management expects deleveraging through H2, continued fundraising acceleration, and margin recovery in 2027, leading to a positive near-to-medium-term outlook despite some short-term headwinds.

Positive Updates

Strong Consolidated Revenue and Net Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenues of $1.6 billion, up 16% year-over-year; net revenues of $1.4 billion, also up 16% (presented in local currency).

Negative Updates

Investment Management Margin Pressure
Investment management net margin was 36.5%, down versus longer-term targets due to planned global platform building and integration costs; management expects margins to stabilize in the low-40% range in 2027, implying continued near-term margin drag.

Company Guidance

Management reaffirmed Colliers' full-year 2026 outlook and gave specific forward-looking metrics: Q3 leasing is expected up mid-single-digits and capital markets about +15% YoY; investment management margins will be pressured in H2 but are expected to stabilize in the low-40% range in 2027; engineering entered Q3 with a 12-month backlog, year-to-date internal engineering growth of 5% and net revenue up 27% in Q2; Harrison Street AUM is $110 billion with revenues +17% and asset realizations returned $1.9 billion in Q2 ($3.0 billion YTD) while fundraising was $2.2 billion in Q2 (~$3.0 billion 6M) toward a $6–$9 billion 2026 target with acceleration expected in H2; the balance sheet finished Q2 at 2.8x leverage, management expects to delever to ~2.3x by year-end (long‑term target 1.5–2.0x) and may opportunistically repurchase stock (e.g., ~$100M would buy ~2.1% of the float).

Colliers International Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue is still growing (TTM +3.2%) and the company remains profitable with positive free cash flow, including a sharp TTM FCF increase (+49%). However, profitability is under pressure (gross margin down to ~24% in TTM; net margin ~1.5%) and leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~1.75x), which reduces financial flexibility and makes results more sensitive to a downturn.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.92B5.66B4.82B4.34B4.46B4.09B
Gross Profit1.96B1.74B1.92B1.74B1.71B1.57B
EBITDA659.18M654.35M618.49M509.39M515.56M24.87M
Net Income108.43M104.90M161.72M65.54M194.54M-237.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.94B6.78B6.10B5.48B5.10B3.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments318.42M318.12M224.83M204.66M173.66M396.75M
Total Debt3.31B2.29B2.06B2.14B2.10B1.30B
Total Liabilities5.09B3.96B3.62B3.56B4.60B2.75B
Stockholders Equity1.54B1.53B1.32B847.99M493.37M581.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow200.10M232.34M260.92M81.14M-650.00K231.03M
Operating Cash Flow296.49M312.42M326.01M165.66M67.03M288.98M
Investing Cash Flow-1.01B-385.12M-783.10M-133.98M-872.84M-49.41M
Financing Cash Flow802.88M143.49M452.21M-7.81M612.92M18.60M

Colliers International Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price135.29

Price Trends

50DMA131.61Positive
100DMA134.81Positive
200DMA144.82Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.98Negative
RSI60.49Neutral
STOCH83.96Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CIGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 135.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.19, above the 50-day MA of 131.61, and below the 200-day MA of 144.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CIGI.

Colliers International Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

TSE:CIGI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:PKTTSE:PKT70OutperformCAD 106.40M7.888.51%―-15.23%0.74%
TSE:AIFTSE:AIF67NeutralCAD 1.72B-82.04-5.13%1.19%-7.33%54.42%
TSE:MEQTSE:MEQ66NeutralCAD 1.59B9.219.49%0.18%5.14%-43.08%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
TSE:FSVTSE:FSV65NeutralCAD 9.25B44.7511.82%0.82%2.98%7.81%
TSE:CIGITSE:CIGI62NeutralCAD 6.91B44.747.23%0.31%14.17%-4.41%
TSE:SVITSE:SVI44NeutralCAD 1.47B-34.93-50.22%0.30%8.75%-1098.96%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%TSE:CIGITSE:FSVTSE:AIFTSE:MEQTSE:SVITSE:PKTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:CIGI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:CIGIColliers International Group135.29-87.33-39.23%
TSE:FSVFirstService Corporation202.27-16.89-7.71%
TSE:AIFAltus Group Limited50.39-6.04-10.70%
TSE:MEQMainstreet Equity173.13-14.52-7.74%
TSE:SVIStoragevault Canada4.01-0.88-17.93%
TSE:PKTParkit Enterprise7.73-0.22-2.77%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026